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PICO HS4.5/NH1.14


Operational forecasting and warning systems for natural hazards: challenges and innovation (co-organized)PICO session
Convener: Michael Cranston 
Co-Conveners: Ilias Pechlivanidis , Femke Davids , Gabriela Guimarães Nobre , Konstantinos Bischiniotis , Liz Stephens 
Session details
 / Tue, 10 Apr, 13:30–15:00 / 15:30–17:00 / PICO spot A
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Tuesday, 10 Apr 2018
PICO spot A
Chairperson: Michael Cranston
13:30–13:32 PICOA.1
Moving towards Forecast Based Flood Preparedness in Nepal: Linking Science of Predictions to Preparedness Actions
Madhab Uprety, Dilip Gautam, Puja Shakya, Sumit Dugar, Sanchita Neupane, Damodar Kanel, Man Kshetri, Ram Gopal Kharbuja, Binod Parajuli, Rajendra Sharma, and Shankar Hari Acharya
13:32–13:34 PICOA.2
Advanced Flood Forecasting and Warning for Switzerland
Martin Ebel, Therese Bürgi, and Karsten Jasper
13:34–13:36 PICOA.3
Flood alert forecast and mapping: test and validation of two hydrological stress indices over Italy
Annalina Lombardi, Barbara Tomassetti, Valentina Colaiuda, and Marco Verdecchia
13:36–13:38 PICOA.4
EGU2018-1939 | Presentation | OSPP: volunteer to judge
Evaluating the effectiveness of impact-based, extreme weather warnings and behavioural recommendations
Philippe Weyrich, Anna Scolobig, and Anthony Patt
13:38–13:40 PICOA.5
The upgraded, high-resolution Latin American Flood and Drought Monitor (LAFDM) for improved risk management
Eric F. Wood, Hylke E. Beck, Ming Pan, Colby Fisher, Gabriele Coccia, Koen Verbist, and Justin Sheffield
13:40–13:42 PICOA.6
Operational flood forecasting and warning services at the sub catchment scale over the whole of Sweden
Anna Kuentz, Elinor Andersson, and Sara-Sofia Asp
13:42–13:44 PICOA.7
Operational short-term water quantity and quality forecasting in reservoirs intended for potable water production*.
Evangelos Romas, Apostolos Tzimas, Kyriakos Kandris, Ilias Pechlivanidis, George Boultadakis, Alkiviadis Giannakoulias, Karin Schenk, Claudia Giardino, and Mariano Bresciani
13:44–13:46 PICOA.8
Development of a Flood Forecasting System in developing country contexts using low cost hydrological sensors and mobile phone networks
Ian Pattison, Abdou Khouakhi, Robert Edwards, Paul Lepper, Oliver Mendoza- Cano, Jesus Lopez de la Cruz, Raul Aquino, and Victor Rangel
13:46–13:48 PICOA.9
Flow forecasting system downstream the Itaipu dam and flood hazard assessment
Giovanni Gomes, Auder Lisboa, Roberto Takahashi, Mariana Werlang, and Tannia Villanueva
13:48–13:50 PICOA.10
Linking operational hydrological forecasts with a route guidance system to support inland navigation
Dennis Meißner, Hanno Schellenberg, Gerald Tretter, and Elena Matta
13:50–13:52 PICOA.11
Mechanistic and statistical analysis of the summer 2016 flash-flood event in Luxembourg: lessons learned and new perspectives in monitoring
Jean François Iffly, Christine Bastian, Audrey Douinot, Daniel Göhlhausen, Renaud Hostache, Patrick Matgen, Franck Minette, Noemie Patz, Ivonne Trebs, and Laurent Pfister
13:52–13:54 PICOA.12
EGU2018-16526 | OSPP: volunteer to judge
GEOframe-NewAge: a web-based early warning decision support system
Marialaura Bancheri, Leonardo Mita, Donato Viaggiano, and Salvatore Manfreda
13:54–13:56 PICOA.13
SecaVista – a web application for operational drought forecasts in Ceará, NE-Brazil
Klaus Vormoor, Sebastian Voss, Aline Murawski, José Miguel Delgado, and Till Francke
13:56–13:58 PICOA.14
Development of a reliability-based early-warning framework for toe erosion induced dike failure in steep channel
Yin-Lung Chang, Yeou-Koung Tung, Chien-Hua Chen, Pei-Chi Chen, and Shu-Chin Huang
13:58–14:00 PICOA.15
EGU2018-1842 | Presentation
Marine Disaster Prevention Information Service Platform
Yang-Ming Fan, En-Chi Wu, and Chia Chuen Kao
Interactive presentations at PICO screens

Coffee break
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
15:30–15:32 PICOA.1
EGU2018-8084 | OSPP: volunteer to judge
GloFAS-Seasonal: A new global scale seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system
Rebecca Emerton, Ervin Zsoter, Louise Arnal, Hannah Cloke, Christel Prudhomme, Elisabeth Stephens, Peter Salamon, and Florian Pappenberger
15:32–15:34 PICOA.2
Global Flood Forecasting Information System (GLOFFIS)
Albrecht Weerts
15:34–15:36 PICOA.3
On the added-value of high resolution meteorological forcings for continental scale impact modelling
Louise Crochemore, Magnus Lindskog, Tomas Landelius, and Ilias Pechlivanidis
15:36–15:38 PICOA.4
Statistical prediction of seasonal discharge in Central Asia for water resources management with GRACE gravity based water anomaly estimation
Heiko Apel, Ben Gouweleeuw, and Andreas Güntner
15:38–15:40 PICOA.5
The MiKlip Decadal Climate Forecast Website
Sebastian Hettrich, Christopher Kadow, Jens Grieger, Sebastian Illing, Freja S.E. Vamborg, Bente Tiedje, Andreas Paxian, Wolfgang Müller, Holger Pohlmann, Alexander Pasternack, Andy Richling, Hendrik Feldmann, and Jochem Marotzke
15:40–15:42 PICOA.6
Heat spell and cold spell warnings verification at the Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia
Lovro Kalin
15:42–15:44 PICOA.7
International Collaboration: Early Adopters for the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) Mission Applications
Margaret Srinivasan, Faisal Hossain, R. Edward Beighley, Bradley Doorn, and Alice Andral
15:44–15:46 PICOA.8
EGU2018-13971 | OSPP: volunteer to judge
Extension of a model-based flood forecasting system for decision support utilizing the dimension of risk
Roman Schotten, Daniel Bachmann, Daniel Twigt, and Tom Bogaard
15:46–15:48 PICOA.9
EGU2018-13978 | OSPP: volunteer to judge
Forecasting and coping with maize yield anomalies through cash transfers in Kenya | Highlight
Gabriela Guimarães Nobre, Frank Davenport, Konstantinos Bischiniotis, Ted Veldkamp, Brenden Jongman, Christopher C. Funk, Gregory Husak, Philip Ward, and Jeroen Aerts
15:48–15:50 PICOA.10
Operationalizing Early Warning Systems (EWSs) for Hydrologically Induced Landslides in West Nepal: Challenges and Opportunities | Highlight
Madhab Uprety, Sumit Dugar, Puja Shakya, Dilip Gautam, Wouter Buytaert, Jonathan David Paul, Mirianna Budimir, and Megh Raj Dhital
15:50–15:52 PICOA.11
Data Preparedness for Forecast-based Financing: a pilot study on vulnerability and impact data for Malawi
Maud Broeken, Marc van den Homberg, Jannis Visser, Edward Bolton, Niel de Jong, Roberto Jaramillo, Aklilu Teklesadik, Simon Tembo, Wonderful Kunje, and Jimmi Lutete Larsen
15:52–15:54 PICOA.12
Operational Use of New Probabilistic Forecasts of Rainfall at Points (“ecPoint-Rainfall”)
Timothy Hewson and Fatima Pillosu
15:54–15:56 PICOA.13
Flood Foresight: Near real-time and forecast flood information for proactive flood management.
Beatriz Revilla-Romero, Charles Allatson, Robert Berry, John Bevington, Andrew Gubbin, Barry Hankin, Paul Mattingley, Marc Pinnell, Kay Shelton, and Elizabeth Wood
15:56–15:58 PICOA.14
Predicting flash-floods in small Mediterranean catchments: application and results of a probabilistic hydrological nowcasting technique.
Maria Laura Poletti, Francesco Silvestro, Nicola Rebora, and Flavio Pignone
15:58–16:00 PICOA.15
Flood nowcasting procedure for small and very small basins
Federica Martina, Francesco Silvestro, Francesca Giannoni, and Maria Laura Poletti
Interactive presentations at PICO screens