PICO HS4.5/NH1.14
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HS4.5/NH1.14 Operational forecasting and warning systems for natural hazards: challenges and innovation (co-organized) |
| Convener: Michael Cranston | Co-Conveners: Ilias Pechlivanidis , Femke Davids , Gabriela Guimarães Nobre , Konstantinos Bischiniotis , Liz Stephens |
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PICO
/ Tue, 10 Apr, 13:30–17:00
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Tuesday, 10 April 2018 PICO spot A Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:30–13:32 PICOA.1 |
EGU2018-7393
Moving towards Forecast Based Flood Preparedness in Nepal: Linking Science of Predictions to Preparedness Actions Madhab Uprety, Dilip Gautam, Puja Shakya, Sumit Dugar, Sanchita Neupane, Damodar Kanel, Man Kshetri, Ram Gopal Kharbuja, Binod Parajuli, Rajendra Sharma, and Shankar Hari Acharya |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:32–13:34 PICOA.2 |
EGU2018-16961
Advanced Flood Forecasting and Warning for Switzerland Martin Ebel, Therese Bürgi, and Karsten Jasper |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:34–13:36 PICOA.3 |
EGU2018-4731
Flood alert forecast and mapping: test and validation of two hydrological stress indices over Italy Annalina Lombardi, Barbara Tomassetti, Valentina Colaiuda, and Marco Verdecchia |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:36–13:38 PICOA.4 |
EGU2018-1939
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Evaluating the effectiveness of impact-based, extreme weather warnings and behavioural recommendations Philippe Weyrich, Anna Scolobig, and Anthony Patt |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:38–13:40 PICOA.5 |
EGU2018-5094
The upgraded, high-resolution Latin American Flood and Drought Monitor (LAFDM) for improved risk management Eric F. Wood, Hylke E. Beck, Ming Pan, Colby Fisher, Gabriele Coccia, Koen Verbist, and Justin Sheffield |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:40–13:42 PICOA.6 |
EGU2018-19208
Operational flood forecasting and warning services at the sub catchment scale over the whole of Sweden Anna Kuentz, Elinor Andersson, and Sara-Sofia Asp |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:42–13:44 PICOA.7 |
EGU2018-7090
Operational short-term water quantity and quality forecasting in reservoirs intended for potable water production*. Evangelos Romas, Apostolos Tzimas, Kyriakos Kandris, Ilias Pechlivanidis, George Boultadakis, Alkiviadis Giannakoulias, Karin Schenk, Claudia Giardino, and Mariano Bresciani |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:44–13:46 PICOA.8 |
EGU2018-10671
Development of a Flood Forecasting System in developing country contexts using low cost hydrological sensors and mobile phone networks Ian Pattison, Abdou Khouakhi, Robert Edwards, Paul Lepper, Oliver Mendoza- Cano, Jesus Lopez de la Cruz, Raul Aquino, and Victor Rangel |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:46–13:48 PICOA.9 |
EGU2018-9083
Flow forecasting system downstream the Itaipu dam and flood hazard assessment Giovanni Gomes, Auder Lisboa, Roberto Takahashi, Mariana Werlang, and Tannia Villanueva |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:48–13:50 PICOA.10 |
EGU2018-8211
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Linking operational hydrological forecasts with a route guidance system to support inland navigation Dennis Meißner, Hanno Schellenberg, Gerald Tretter, and Elena Matta |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:50–13:52 PICOA.11 |
EGU2018-12777
Mechanistic and statistical analysis of the summer 2016 flash-flood event in Luxembourg: lessons learned and new perspectives in monitoring Jean François Iffly, Christine Bastian, Audrey Douinot, Daniel Göhlhausen, Renaud Hostache, Patrick Matgen, Franck Minette, Noemie Patz, Ivonne Trebs, and Laurent Pfister |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:52–13:54 PICOA.12 |
EGU2018-16526
GEOframe-NewAge: a web-based early warning decision support system Marialaura Bancheri, Leonardo Mita, Donato Viaggiano, and Salvatore Manfreda |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:54–13:56 PICOA.13 |
EGU2018-14805
SecaVista – a web application for operational drought forecasts in Ceará, NE-Brazil Klaus Vormoor, Sebastian Voss, Aline Murawski, José Miguel Delgado, and Till Francke |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:56–13:58 PICOA.14 |
EGU2018-6088
Development of a reliability-based early-warning framework for toe erosion induced dike failure in steep channel Yin-Lung Chang, Yeou-Koung Tung, Chien-Hua Chen, Pei-Chi Chen, and Shu-Chin Huang |
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Chairperson: Michael Cranston |
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13:58–14:00 PICOA.15 |
EGU2018-1842
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Marine Disaster Prevention Information Service Platform Yang-Ming Fan, En-Chi Wu, and Chia Chuen Kao |
| 14:00–15:00 |
Interactive presentations at PICO screens
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:30–15:32 PICOA.1 |
EGU2018-8084
GloFAS-Seasonal: A new global scale seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system Rebecca Emerton, Ervin Zsoter, Louise Arnal, Hannah Cloke, Christel Prudhomme, Elisabeth Stephens, Peter Salamon, and Florian Pappenberger |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:32–15:34 PICOA.2 |
EGU2018-14017
Global Flood Forecasting Information System (GLOFFIS) Albrecht Weerts |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:34–15:36 PICOA.3 |
EGU2018-14878
On the added-value of high resolution meteorological forcings for continental scale impact modelling Louise Crochemore, Magnus Lindskog, Tomas Landelius, and Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:36–15:38 PICOA.4 |
EGU2018-17780
Statistical prediction of seasonal discharge in Central Asia for water resources management with GRACE gravity based water anomaly estimation Heiko Apel, Ben Gouweleeuw, and Andreas Güntner |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:38–15:40 PICOA.5 |
EGU2018-8133
The MiKlip Decadal Climate Forecast Website Sebastian Hettrich, Christopher Kadow, Jens Grieger, Sebastian Illing, Freja S.E. Vamborg, Bente Tiedje, Andreas Paxian, Wolfgang Müller, Holger Pohlmann, Alexander Pasternack, Andy Richling, Hendrik Feldmann, and Jochem Marotzke |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:40–15:42 PICOA.6 |
EGU2018-9799
Heat spell and cold spell warnings verification at the Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia Lovro Kalin |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:42–15:44 PICOA.7 |
EGU2018-11776
International Collaboration: Early Adopters for the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) Mission Applications Margaret Srinivasan, Faisal Hossain, R. Edward Beighley, Bradley Doorn, and Alice Andral |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:44–15:46 PICOA.8 |
EGU2018-13971
Extension of a model-based flood forecasting system for decision support utilizing the dimension of risk Roman Schotten, Daniel Bachmann, Daniel Twigt, and Tom Bogaard |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:46–15:48 PICOA.9 |
EGU2018-13978
Forecasting and coping with maize yield anomalies through cash transfers in Kenya Highlight Gabriela Guimarães Nobre, Frank Davenport, Konstantinos Bischiniotis, Ted Veldkamp, Brenden Jongman, Christopher C. Funk, Gregory Husak, Philip Ward, and Jeroen Aerts |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:48–15:50 PICOA.10 |
EGU2018-15316
Operationalizing Early Warning Systems (EWSs) for Hydrologically Induced Landslides in West Nepal: Challenges and Opportunities Highlight Madhab Uprety, Sumit Dugar, Puja Shakya, Dilip Gautam, Wouter Buytaert, Jonathan David Paul, Mirianna Budimir, and Megh Raj Dhital |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:50–15:52 PICOA.11 |
EGU2018-16394
Data Preparedness for Forecast-based Financing: a pilot study on vulnerability and impact data for Malawi Maud Broeken, Marc van den Homberg, Jannis Visser, Edward Bolton, Niel de Jong, Roberto Jaramillo, Aklilu Teklesadik, Simon Tembo, Wonderful Kunje, and Jimmi Lutete Larsen |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:52–15:54 PICOA.12 |
EGU2018-15432
Operational Use of New Probabilistic Forecasts of Rainfall at Points (“ecPoint-Rainfall”) Timothy Hewson and Fatima Pillosu |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:54–15:56 PICOA.13 |
EGU2018-16413
Flood Foresight: Near real-time and forecast flood information for proactive flood management. Beatriz Revilla-Romero, Charles Allatson, Robert Berry, John Bevington, Andrew Gubbin, Barry Hankin, Paul Mattingley, Marc Pinnell, Kay Shelton, and Elizabeth Wood |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:56–15:58 PICOA.14 |
EGU2018-17022
Predicting flash-floods in small Mediterranean catchments: application and results of a probabilistic hydrological nowcasting technique. Maria Laura Poletti, Francesco Silvestro, Nicola Rebora, and Flavio Pignone |
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Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis |
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15:58–16:00 PICOA.15 |
EGU2018-17288
Flood nowcasting procedure for small and very small basins Federica Martina, Francesco Silvestro, Francesca Giannoni, and Maria Laura Poletti |
| 16:00–17:00 |
Interactive presentations at PICO screens
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