How much more carbon can be sorbed to soil?

Quantifying the upper limit of stable soil carbon storage and relative saturation is essential for guiding policies designed to increase soil carbon storage, such as ‘4 per 1000’ sequestration initiative. Carbon stabilization processes are diverse, but one particular pool of carbon that is considered stable across climate zones and soil types is the mineral-associated fraction, measured using density or size fractionation. Some soil carbon decomposition models assume sorption to minerals is the main form of stabilization in this fraction. We estimate the global capacity of mineral soils in six soil orders to sorb additional dissolved organic carbon (DOC). We gathered data from 400 DOC sorption experiments representing 133 soil profiles across six soil orders. We used the relationship between DOC added and DOC sorbed to calibrate a modified Langmuir sorption equation, from which we quantified the DOC sorption potential in each soil. We found that the sorption potential is empirically related to climate variables (including mean annual temperature and mean annual precipitation) and soil geochemical variables (chiefly, percent clay, pH, and soil order). From this relationship, we then estimated the DOC sorption potential for 14631 profiles distributed globally. This amount was 1.4 (global median; 95% CI: 0.50, 2.8) kg C m^-3, totaling 102 Pg C globally across six soil orders, representing up to a 7% increase in the existing total C stock. We show that there is greater capacity for additional DOC sorption in subsoils (30cm-1m) compared to top-soils (0-30cm). The gap between the modest potential of mineral sorption processes found in this study and the large total capacity of long-term organic matter stabilization (2541 Pg C for the six soil orders of this study) indicates that other mechanisms such as aggregation, the sorption of microbial necromass, layering, and co-precipitation also play a critical role in stable organic matter formation and persistence.