Influence of Saharan Dust and Other Aerosols on Hurricane Nadine (2012) as Revealed by the Comparison of Ensemble Model Results and NASA HS3 Data

This presentation will focus on simulations of the early stages of Hurricane Nadine (2012), which interacted with the SAL and never intensified beyond a minimal hurricane. Given the complexity of aerosol effects on cloud microphysics and radiation and their subsequent effects on deep convective clouds, there is a need to assess the combined microphysical and radiative effects of aerosols. We use the Goddard Space Flight Center version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model with interactive aerosol-cloud-radiation physics to study the influence of the SAL and other aerosols (sea salt and black/organic carbon) on Nadine via a series of model sensitivity runs. The results from the control experiment with all aerosols will be compared to the dropsonde and CPL aerosol lidar backscatter data collected during the NASA Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) field campaign. Comparison of model results and dropsonde data shows evidence of the intrusion of Saharan air into the storm core. Simulation results also show the possible intrusion of biomass-burning aerosols that originated from forest fires in the Northwestern United States a few days before Nadine reached hurricane strength. In addition, we will also present results from three sets of 30-member ensemble simulations: 1) without aerosol coupling, 2) with all aerosols, and 3) with only dust aerosol, to study the aerosol impact on Nadine.