EGU2020-12734, updated on 12 Jun 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-12734
EGU General Assembly 2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Long-term runoff forecast using BP neural network based on climatic factors and mutual information method in the Qujiang Catchment of China

Huihui Dai
Huihui Dai
  • Wuhan University, Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, China (1147248553@qq.com)

The formation of runoff is extremely complicated, and it is not good enough to forecast the future runoff only by using the previous runoff or meteorological data. In order to improve the forecast precision of the medium and long-term runoff forecast model, a set of forecast factor group is selected from meteorological factors, such as rainfall, temperature, air pressure and the circulation factors released by the National Meteorological Center  using the method of mutual information and principal component analysis respectively. Results of the forecast in the Qujiang Catchment suggest the climatic factor-based BP neural network hydrological forecasting model has a better forecasting effect using the mutual information method than using the principal component analysis method.

How to cite: Dai, H.: Long-term runoff forecast using BP neural network based on climatic factors and mutual information method in the Qujiang Catchment of China, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-12734, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-12734, 2020