Developing a variable time-interval continuous verification method for ensemble flood forecasts

Most continuous verification metrics for hydrometeorological forecasts are based on equal interval forecasts and observations (e.g. daily, 6-hourly, etc.). For some purposes of verification, however, it might be more beneficial to have variable time intervals that take into account the duration of events, e.g. rainfall or flood event (or discharge exceeding a flood warning threshold). Such verification, however, is challenged by defining the length of the non-event intervals for scoring correct rejections and false alarms, needed for continuous verification.  The work presented here suggests how to approach this challenge and presents verification results of a continuous forecast verification method that take into account variable duration of events.