EGU2020-2357
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-2357
EGU General Assembly 2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Future changes in high-impact events in pan-European convection-permitting projections

Elizabeth Kendon1, Steven Chan2, Segolene Berthou3, Colin Manning2, and Abdullah Kahraman2
Elizabeth Kendon et al.
  • 1Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK (elizabeth.kendon@metoffice.gov.uk)
  • 2Newcastle University and visiting scientist at Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
  • 3Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK

At the UK Met Office we have recently completed climate change simulations at convection-permitting resolution (2.2km grid scale) across a pan-European domain, which are feeding into the CORDEX-FPS and European Climate Prediction System (EUCP) projects. At such high resolution, the model gives a much better representation of convection and is able to capture hourly precipitation characteristics, including extremes, as well as better representing the influence of mountains, coastlines and cities. In this talk, I will present results from these new convection-permitting climate simulations, looking at future changes in high impact events, including hourly precipitation extremes and severe winds. I will also discuss remaining outstanding issues, such as the deficiencies in land-surface-atmosphere coupling, and work underway to try and address these.

How to cite: Kendon, E., Chan, S., Berthou, S., Manning, C., and Kahraman, A.: Future changes in high-impact events in pan-European convection-permitting projections, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-2357, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-2357, 2020

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