Resolving the differences in the simulated and reconstructed climate response to volcanism over the last millennium
- 1University of Southern California, Earth Sciences, Los Angeles, USA (fengzhu@usc.edu)
- 2Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Washington, Seattle, USA (ghakim@uw.edu)
- 3Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, USA (jonking93@email.arizona.edu, kanchukaitis@email.arizona.edu)
- 4Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, USA (jonking93@email.arizona.edu, kanchukaitis@email.arizona.edu)
- 5School of Geography and Development, University of Arizona, Tucson, USA (kanchukaitis@email.arizona.edu)
Explosive volcanism imposes impulse-like radiative forcing on the climate system, providing a natural experiment to study the climate response to perturbation. Previous studies have identified disagreements between paleoclimate reconstructions and climate model simulations (GCMs) with respect to the magnitude and recovery from volcanic cooling, questioning the fidelity of GCMs, reconstructions, or both. Using the paleoenvironmental data assimilation framework of the Last Millennium Reanalysis, this study investigates the causes of the disagreements, using both real and simulated data. We demonstrate that the disagreement may be resolved by assimilating tree-ring density records only, by targeting growing-season temperature instead of annual temperature, and by performing the comparison at proxy locales. Our work suggests that discrepancies between paleoclimate models and data can be largely resolved by accounting for these features of tree-ring proxy networks.
How to cite: Zhu, F., Emile-Geay, J., Hakim, G., King, J., and Anchukaitis, K.: Resolving the differences in the simulated and reconstructed climate response to volcanism over the last millennium, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-2477, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-2477, 2020