Anomalously deep earthquakes in the March 2018 swarm along the Western Margin of Afar

During the evolution of continental rift systems, extension focuses along on-axis magmatic segments while extensional structures along the rift margins seem to progressively become inactive. However, how strain is partitioned between rift axes and rift margins is still poorly understood. The Afar Rift is the locus of extension between Nubia, Arabia and Somalia and is believed to record the latest stages of rifting and incipient continental break-up. The Afar rift axis is bounded at its western margin by a seismically active system of normal faults separating the Afar depression from the Ethiopian Plateau through a series of large bounding faults and marginal grabens. Although most of the extension in Afar is currently accommodated on-axis, several earthquakes with Mw > 5.0 occurred in the past decades on the Western Afar Margin (WAM). Here we analysed the most recent M_w 5.2 earthquake on the WAM on 24 March 2018 and the following seismic sequence using data recorded by a temporary seismic network, set up between 2017 and 2018. We located 800 events from the 20 March to the 30 April 2018 using twenty-three local seismic stations and a new velocity model for the WAM based on a new receiver function study. Preliminary results show that seismicity during the 2018 event focused at mid-to-low crustal depths (from ~15 km to ~35 km) along west-dipping fault planes. Shallower upper crustal earthquakes also occurred on west-dipping fault planes.

The hypocentral location of the mainshock has also been investigated using InSAR. We processed four independent interferograms using Sentinel-1 data acquired from a descending track. None of them shows any significant surface deformation, confirming the large depth of the hypocenters. Furthermore, we tested possible ranges of depth by producing a series of forward models assuming fault located at progressively increasing depths and corresponding to a Mw 5.2 earthquake. Our models show that surface deformations are < 1 cm at depths greater than 15 km, in agreement with our hypocentral depth of 18 km for the main shock estimated from seismic data. 

Our seismicity observations of slip along west-dipping faults show that deformation across the WAM is currently accommodated by antithetic faulting, as suggested by structural geology studies. Lower crustal earthquakes might occur in a strong lower crust due to the presence of mafic lower crust and/or be induced by migrating fluids such as magma or CO².