EGU2020-8636, updated on 12 Jun 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-8636
EGU General Assembly 2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

The role of spatial and temporal model resolution in a flood event storyline approach in Western Norway

Nathalie Schaller1, Jana Sillmann1, Malte Müller2, Reindert Haarsma3, Wilco Hazeleger4, Trine Jahr Hegdahl5, Timo Kelder6, Gijs van den Oord7, Albrecht Weerts8,9, and Kirien Whan3
Nathalie Schaller et al.
  • 1CICERO, Oslo, Norway (nathalie.schaller@cicero.oslo.no)
  • 2The Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
  • 3KNMI, De Bilt, The Netherlands
  • 4Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
  • 5NVE, Olso, Norway
  • 6Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
  • 7Netherlands eScience Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
  • 8Deltares, Delft, The Netherlands
  • 9Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands

A physical climate storyline approach is applied to an autumn flood event caused by an atmospheric river in the West Coast of Norway. The aim is to demonstrate the value and challenges of higher spatial and temporal resolution in simulating impacts. The modelling chain used is the same as the one used operationally, to issue flood warnings for example. Its output is therefore familiar to many users, which we expect will facilitate stakeholder engagement. Two different versions of a hydrological model are run to show that on the one hand, the higher spatial resolution between the global and regional model is necessary to realistically simulate the high spatial variability of precipitation in such a mountainous region. On the other hand we also show that the intensity of the peak streamflow is only captured realistically with hourly data. The higher resolution regional atmospheric model is able to simulate the fact that with the passage of an atmospheric river, some valleys receive high amounts of precipitation and others not. However, the coarser resolution global model shows uniform precipitation in the whole region. Translating the event into the future leads to similar results: while in some catchments, a future flood might be 50% larger than a present one, in others no event occurs because the atmospheric river does not hit that catchment.

How to cite: Schaller, N., Sillmann, J., Müller, M., Haarsma, R., Hazeleger, W., Jahr Hegdahl, T., Kelder, T., van den Oord, G., Weerts, A., and Whan, K.: The role of spatial and temporal model resolution in a flood event storyline approach in Western Norway, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-8636, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-8636, 2020

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