EGU General Assembly 2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Future circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domain

Tugba Ozturk1,2,3, Dominic Matte1,3, and Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen1,3,4
Tugba Ozturk et al.
  • 1Physics of Ice, Department of Climate and Earth, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
  • 2Isik University, Faculty of Science and Arts, Physics, Istanbul, Turkey
  • 3Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
  • 4NORCE Norwegian Research Centre AS, Bergen, Norway

The occurrence of extreme weather events and climate extremes over Europe and the Mediterranean region are believed to be associated with changes and variability in the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation. CMIP5 models exhibits a substantial decrease in mid-latitude mean storm track activity for summer under climate change for a variety of scenarios. In this work, we aim to investigate future change in summer circulation and its implication for summer temperature and precipitation extremes over Europe particularly focusing on the Southeastern Mediterranean. EURO-CORDEX regional climate projections at 0.11° grid-mesh are used to analyze future climate projections addressing climate warming targets of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C, respectively. Simple scaling with the global mean temperature change is applied to the regional climate projections for the variables in concern in order to provide robust signals not to be dependent on climate sensitivity. Our focus in this study is on monthly mean geopotential height, winds at mid- and lower-troposphere as indicators of the simulated circulation changes.

How to cite: Ozturk, T., Matte, D., and Christensen, J. H.: Future circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domain, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-971,, 2019

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