New approaches to predictions and predictability estimation for geophysical fluid
Convener: Mu Mu | Co-conveners: Alexander Feigin, Wansuo Duan, Jürgen Kurths, Stéphane Vannitsem
| Attendance Wed, 06 May, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)

Accurate predictions of geophysical fluid have enormous social and economic values but remain to have significant uncertainties at different time and spatial scales. Although some dynamical, statistical, and their combined (“scholastic”) approaches were often used to make predictions and showed their respective usefulness, there exist great limitations in improving prediction level. This session will bring together experts to jointly address new approaches to predictions of geophysical fluid and to identification and quantification of uncertainties associated with predictability, and create an exchange of ideas likely to advance the state of predictions. Papers are invited on all aspects of conventional dynamical and statistical approaches to predictions and predictability estimation, and underlying that justification of the appropriateness of the use of any of them in a particular situation is particularly welcome. Papers on techniques that combine the dynamical and statistical approaches with newly emerging techniques of machine learning are also welcome.

Public information:
Our session is scheduled for a live, text-based chat on Wed, 06 May, 08:30–10:15, a total of 105 minutes. The conveners encourage all of the authors upload the presentation materials and enjoy the discussion time of the session.

The way to proceed the session discussion is as follows.

(1) Each presenting author to present their work for about 1-2 minutes, with an introduction to contents, methods and results, then the participants will have a general idea of what it is about. After it, I'll open the floor for questions or comments.
(2) For the invited talk, it will have 8 minutes for discussion. And each of other talks will have about 3-4 minutes for discussion.
(3) We'll go through the presentations as listed in the right panel of the chat room.
(4) If there are authors to be absent and time to spare is left, we will have free discussion time interval and the participants can have questions or comments to the presentation of your interests during this time interval.