Recurrent Neural Networks for Ionospheric Time Delays Prediction Using Global Navigation Satellite System Observables

Total Electron Content (TEC) is the integral of the location-dependent electron density along the signal path and is a crucial parameter that is often used to describe ionospheric variability, as it is strongly affected by solar activity. TEC is highly depended on local time, latitude, longitude, season, solar and geomagnetic conditions. The propagation of the signals from GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) throughout the ionosphere is strongly influenced by short- and long-term changes and ionospheric regular or irregular variations. 
Long short-term memory network (LSTM) is a specific recurrent neural network architecture and is capable of learning time dependence in sequential problems and can successfully model ionosphere variability. As LSTM networks “memorize” long term correlations in a sequence, they can model complex sequences with various features, where solar radio flux at 10.7 cm and magnetic activity indices are taken into consideration to provide more accurate results. 
Here, we propose a deep learning architecture to create regional TEC models around a station. The proposed model allows different solar and geomagnetic parameters to be inserted into the model as features. Our model has been evaluated under different solar and geomagnetic conditions. Also, the proposed model is tested for different time periods and seasonal variations and for varying geographic latitudes.