EGU21-13466, updated on 14 Jan 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-13466
EGU General Assembly 2021
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Improving nowcasting and forecasting of the Sun-to-Belts space weather chain through the H2020 SafeSpace project

Ioannis A. Daglis1,9, Sebastien Bourdarie2, Juan Cueto Rodriguez3, Fabien Darrouzet4, Benoit Lavraud5,10, Stefaan Poedts6, Ingmar Sandberg7, Ondrej Santolik8, and the SafeSpace Team*
Ioannis A. Daglis et al.
  • 1National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Department of Physics, Athens, Greece (iadaglis@phys.uoa.gr)
  • 2ONERA, Toulouse, France
  • 3Thales Alenia Espana, Madrid, Spain
  • 4BIRA-IASB, Brussels, Belgium
  • 5Laboratoire d'Astrophysique de Bordeaux, Univ. Bordeaux, CNRS, Pessac, France
  • 6Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
  • 7SPARC, Athens, Greece
  • 8IAP, Prague, Czechia
  • 9Hellenic Space Center, Athens, Greece
  • 10IRAP, CNRS, UPS, CNES, Université de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
  • *A full list of authors appears at the end of the abstract

The H2020 SafeSpace project aims at advancing space weather nowcasting and forecasting capabilities and, ultimately, at contributing to the safety of space assets. This will be achieved through the synergy of five well-established space weather models covering the complete Sun – interplanetary space – Earth’s magnetosphere – radiation belts chain. The combined use of these models will enable the delivery of a sophisticated model of the Van Allen electron belt and of a prototype space weather service of tailored particle radiation indicators. Moreover, it will enable forecast capabilities with a target lead time of 2 to 4 days, which is a tremendous advance from current forecasts that are limited to lead times of a few hours. SafeSpace will improve radiation belt modelling through the incorporation into the Salammbô model of magnetospheric processes and parameters of critical importance to radiation belt dynamics. Furthermore, solar and interplanetary conditions will be used as initial conditions to drive the advanced radiation belt model and to provide the link to the solar origin and the interplanetary drivers of space weather. This approach will culminate in a prototype early warning system for detrimental space weather events, which will include indicators of particle radiation of use to space industry and spacecraft operators. Indicator values will be generated by the advanced radiation belt model and the performance of the prototype service will be evaluated in collaboration with space industry stakeholders. The work leading to this paper has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 870437 for the SafeSpace (Radiation Belt Environmental Indicators for the Safety of Space Assets) project.

SafeSpace Team:

Sigiava Aminalragia-Giamini, Georgios Balasis, Edith Botek, Antoine Brunet, Nourallah Dahmen, Stefanos Doulfis, Gaizka Eiguren, Vincent Génot, Marina Georgiou, Omiros Giannakis, Benjamin Grison, Zafar Iqbal, Jose Jiménez, Christos Katsavrias, Rungployphan Kieokaew, Andrea Kolínská, Ivana Kolmasova, Vincent Maget, Eleftheria Mitsakou, Konstantina Moutsouroufi, Afroditi Nasi, Constantinos Papadimitriou, Vivianne Pierrard, Rui Pinto, Alexis Rouillard, Angelica Sicard, Jan Soucek, Ulrich Taubenschuss

How to cite: Daglis, I. A., Bourdarie, S., Cueto Rodriguez, J., Darrouzet, F., Lavraud, B., Poedts, S., Sandberg, I., and Santolik, O. and the SafeSpace Team: Improving nowcasting and forecasting of the Sun-to-Belts space weather chain through the H2020 SafeSpace project, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-13466, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-13466, 2021.

Display materials

Display file

Comments on the display material

to access the discussion