Variability of the hydrological characteristics of the Eastern Mediterranean over the last decade

A hydrodynamic simulation is carried out over the entire Mediterranean basin at a resolution of 3 to 4 km and a duration of about 10 years (2011-2020). The results are systematically evaluated using Argo profiles focusing on the spatial distribution of water mass properties along their path, the main mesoscale structures, the mean vertical temperature and salinity profiles by sub-basins as well as their "pseudo temporal evolution" biased by the variability of the spatial and temporal distribution of Argo observations.

The simulation has generally very low mean biases (of the order of 0.01 for salinity) and correlations on the monthly time series reconstructed from the observations, of the order of 0.9 at the scale of the eastern basin, both in surface waters and at 200 m in intermediate waters.

The evolution of salinity over the decade is then analyzed from the simulation. Particular attention is paid to the main basins of water mass formation, the Adriatic, the Levantine basin and the South Aegean Sea. The factors driving this evolution are analyzed in each of these basins. The propagation of the changes from these formation areas to the entire eastern basin is then examined, with a particular focus on the intermediate waters.