A sequential calibration technique to improve IRI using TEC estimates of the GNSS network in Europe

The development of space-geodetic observation techniques has brought out a wide range of applications such as positioning and navigation, where the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) is the main tools to provide surveying measurements in these applications. Though GNSS signals enable the calculation of receiver's position, some errors restrict their accuracy. Among these errors, the ionospheric delay is considered as an important error source in the Standard Point Positioning (SPP) applications. Empirical ionospheric models such as Klobuchar, International Reference Ionosphere (IRI), and NeQuick are often applied for computing the Total Electron Content (TEC) within ionosphere and its equivalent delays. However the simulation and forecasting skills of these models are limited due to the simplified model structures and model sensitivity to the calibration period. In this study, we present a novel sequential Calibration approach based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (C-EnKF) to improve the performance of TEC estimations for SPP applications. To demonstrate the results, the IRI model is used as our basis and the TEC estimates from 56 IGS stations in Europe are applied as observation. The C-EnKF is applied to calibrate some selected model parameter so that IRI can be tuned over Europe. The numerical assessments are performed against the TEC estimates from dual frequency GNSS measurements and against the final IONEX products (that are available with 11 days delays). Based on the forecasting results (during September 2017), we show that the accuracy of TEC estimates from the C-EnKF is improved in the range of 3.7-64.87% compared to IRI. Keywords: Ionosphere, Sequential Calibration, Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), IRI, Total Electron Content (TEC), Standard Point Positioning (SPP), GNSS