Impact analysis of surface water level and discharge from the new generation of altimetry observations

Surface water level and river discharge are key observables of the water cycle and among the most sensible indicators that integrate long-term change within a river basin. Satellite altimetry provides valuable information on water level variation in rivers, lakes and reservoirs and once combined with satellite imagery, river discharge and lake storage changes can be estimated. Over the last decade, a two-dimensional observational field is derived by merging innovative space and in-situ data. The new generation of spaceborne altimeters includes Delay Doppler since 2010 with CryoSat-2, laser technique since 2018 with ICESAT-2 and bistatic SAR altimeter techniques with SWOT planned to be launched late this year. This shows a potential for monitoring the impact of water use and to characterize climate change. The mission SWOT will provide river discharge innovatively derived from contemporaneous river slope, height and width observations.

Our hypothesis is that the new space missions provide (a) surface water levels of higher accuracy and resolution compared to previous altimetric and in-situ observations and (b) new parameters to estimate river discharge and water storage change. A better sampling of flood event detection and of the long-term evolution is expected. We discuss here methodology and applications for satellite altimetry in the fields of hydrology and consider the two open research questions: (1) How can we fully exploit the new missions to derive best estimates of water level and storage change and river discharge and (2) can we separate natural variability from human water use.

For the first goal, we derive a multi-sensor database in an automatic processing which identifies the virtual gauge location and constructs the water height and water extension time-series. Water heights of the official release and of enhanced processing in project Hydrocoastal and in-house are used. Discharge and storage change time-series are derived from hydraulic equations using water extension and slope. First river basin considered is the Rhine river basin, where we obtain at 20 virtual stations a mean accuracy of 15 cm comparing altimeter and river height data. The derived discharge agrees within 18% with the in-situ discharge estimate.

For the second goal, we study past and present discharge and storage change, which are responses to both anthropogenic (deforestation, land use change, urbanization, reservoirs) and natural (climate modes, climate variability, rainfall, glacier and snow melting) processes. We discuss potential and limitations of satellite altimetry constellations for monitor recent river extremes and long-term changes. The work is part of Collaborative Research Centre CRC1502 “Regional Climate Change: Disentangling the role of Land Use and water management” of the German Research Foundation DFG.