Foreshocks preceding moderate earthquakes in Western Yunnan, China

Although the physical mechanism of earthquake nucleation processes and the link with foreshocks are under debate, foreshocks are still considered as the most reliable earthquake precursors. Investigating the temporal and spatial evolution of foreshock sequences with high resolution and monitoring b-values in real time may shed light on these key issues. Many foreshock and aftershock sequences accompanying moderate mainshocks have been reported in the west of Yunnan Province, China, such as the 2016 Yunlong M 5.1 and 2021 Yangbi Ms 6.4 earthquake sequences. The recently improved coverage of seismic network in western Yunnan provides the opportunity to investigate how the foreshock sequence evolved and establish the temporal transient in b values. To find missing earthquakes and built more comprehensive earthquake catalogs, we carried out earthquake detection using the matched-filter detector. We used events in the standard catalog of China Earthquake Networks Center as templates to scan through continuous waveforms 3-6 months before and after the main shock. We then estimated the b-value and its temporal changes based on the newly developed catalogs. An obvious reduction in b-values before the major earthquake is observed in both the 2016 Yunlong and 2021 Yangbi sequences. We also found that the scattered spatial pattern of foreshocks exhibits a cascading manner and does not support the hypothesis of slow slip driving nucleation of mainshocks.