EGU23-12987
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12987
EGU General Assembly 2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Rethinking tipping points in spatial ecosystems

Swarnendu Banerjee1, Mara Baudena1,2, Paul Carter3, Robbin Bastiaansen4, Arjen Doelman5, and Max Rietkerk1
Swarnendu Banerjee et al.
  • 1Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands (s.banerjee@uu.nl)
  • 2National Research Council of Italy, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (CNR-ISAC), Torino, Italy
  • 3Department of Mathematics, University of California, Irvine, CA, USA
  • 4Mathematical Institute, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
  • 5Mathematical Institute, Leiden University, Leiden, Netherlands

The theory of alternative stable states and tipping points has garnered a lot of attention in recent years. However, typically the ecosystem models that predict tipping behaviors do not resolve space explicitly. Ecosystems being inherently spatial, it is important to understand the implication of incorporating spatial processes in theoretical models and their applicability to real world. In this talk, I will illustrate several pattern formation phenomena that may arise when incorporating spatial dynamics in models exhibiting alternative stable state. For this, we use simple mathematical models of savannas to study the behavior of these spatial ecosystems in the face of environmental change. Model analyses presented here challenge the simplistic notion of tipping and lay down a way forward regarding studying ecosystem response to global change.

How to cite: Banerjee, S., Baudena, M., Carter, P., Bastiaansen, R., Doelman, A., and Rietkerk, M.: Rethinking tipping points in spatial ecosystems, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-12987, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12987, 2023.