EGU23-14052
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14052
EGU General Assembly 2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Achievements of the Second Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign (2nd EOP PCC)

Justyna Śliwińska1, Tomasz Kur1, Jolanta Nastula1, Małgorzata Wińska2, Henryk Dobslaw3, Aleksander Partyka1, and the 2nd EOP PCC Participants*
Justyna Śliwińska et al.
  • 1Centrum Badań Kosmicznych Polskiej Akademii Nauk (CBK PAN), Warsaw, Poland
  • 2Faculty of Civil Engineering, Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
  • 3GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
  • *A full list of authors appears at the end of the abstract

The accurate determination of Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) requires post-processing of observational data collected from various space geodetic techniques, which causes delays in providing EOP solutions. However, receiving instantaneous information about EOP in real time is crucial in precise positioning and navigation. Therefore, EOP prediction (particularly short-term) has become a subject of increased attention within the international geodetic community.

In the light of the developments of advanced geodetic data processing, modelling effective angular momentum functions, and developing new prediction methods, a re-assessment of the various EOP predictions was pursued in the frame of the Second Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign (2nd EOP PCC). The campaign was run by Centrum Badań Kosmicznych Polskiej Akademii Nauk (CBK PAN), in cooperation with GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) and under the auspices of the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS). The campaign started on 1st September 2021 and finished on 28th December 2022, giving 7327 submitted predictions within 82 weeks. The campaign was a great success of the geodetic community thanks to international cooperation.

The presentation provides the summary of the 2nd EOP PCC. We focus on the recap of the statistics on the involved participants, i.e., the number of prediction methods and input data. Then we will present the accuracy of EOP predictions based on the mean absolute error computed for IERS 14 C04 solution as a reference. Additionally, we present the quality of predictions in clusters created from the campaign participants (IDs) based on their modern prediction methods combined with input data (EOP observations and data on the Earth’s surficial fluids) We conclude the presentations with plans for the prediction assessment, also in terms of the possible continuation of the campaign involving new release of IERS C04 20.

2nd EOP PCC Participants:

Benedikt Soja, CanCan Xu, ChengLi Huang, Christian Bizouard, Christopher Irrgang, Dale Boggs, Daniela Thaller, Erik Schoenemann, Fei Wu, Guocheng Wang, Harald Schuh, Henryk Dobslaw, Jacek Kudrys, Jan Saynisch, Jia Li, José M. Ferrándiz, Junyang Gou, Leyang Wang, Lintao Liu, Lue Chen, Maciej Michalczak, Maik Thomas, Marcin Ligas, Matthias Schartner, Michiel Otten, Mike Chin, Mostafa Kiani Shahvandi, PengShuo Duan, Richard Gross, Robert Dill, Robert Heinkelmann, Sadegh Modiri, Santiago Belda, Sara Bruni, Shrishail Raut, Songtao Han, Sonia Guessoum, Sujata Dhar, Todd Ratcliff, Volker Mayer, Wei Miao, Weitao Lu, Xiaoqing Su, Xin Zhao, Xinyu Yang, Xueqing Xu, Yuanwei Wu, Zhijin Zhou

How to cite: Śliwińska, J., Kur, T., Nastula, J., Wińska, M., Dobslaw, H., and Partyka, A. and the 2nd EOP PCC Participants: Achievements of the Second Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign (2nd EOP PCC), EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-14052, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14052, 2023.