EGU23-14932
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14932
EGU General Assembly 2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Correcting errors in the SPITFIRE fire model that result in excessively large and intense fires

Luke Oberhagemann1, Maik Billing2, Markus Drüke2, Boris Sakschewski2, and Kirsten Thonicke2
Luke Oberhagemann et al.
  • 1Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
  • 2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

The SPITFIRE fire model is used with several Dynamic Global Vegetation Models to model fire-vegetation interactions on a global scale. Since its development in 2010 it has been used for multiple studies in this field. The model consists of components that calculate ignitions, fire spread, post-fire mortality, and emissions. We find that the fire spread component of this model contains errors that introduce significant biases to its results. In particular, errors in the application of the Rothermel equation result in fires that are significantly too large and intense. Further, unphysically low live grass moistures in the model result in excessively fire-prone grasslands, and therefore a strong link between the presence of grasslands and the presence of fire. This combination results in areas where the SPITFIRE model calculates excessive tree mortality and consequent grassland formation. We perform a detailed analysis of these errors and examine the impact that corrections to them have on SPITFIRE model results.

How to cite: Oberhagemann, L., Billing, M., Drüke, M., Sakschewski, B., and Thonicke, K.: Correcting errors in the SPITFIRE fire model that result in excessively large and intense fires, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-14932, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14932, 2023.

Supplementary materials

Supplementary material file