Weather dependency of European wind and photovoltaic power production for present and future installations

European countries are increasing their share of power production from wind and solar energy to mitigate climate change. Also the relative contributions from PV and wind power production in Europe change over time. At present, the installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) power for all of Europe is smaller than that of wind power with a ratio of 3:4. Future scenarios for the installations of PV and wind power capacities for 2050 suggest that this ratio will substantially change. Namely, the PV power capacity might exceed the wind power capacity with a ratio of 3:2 to 2:1. We test the hypothesis that the weather dependency of anomalies in the PV plus wind power production will change in the future compared to today. Specifically, we examine which synoptic weather patterns are associated with anomalies in the PV plus wind power production for the present and future installed capacities in Europe. To that end, we developed a renewable energy model for the installed capacity of 2019 and 2050. This model allows us to simulate hourly PV and wind power production at 6 km horizontal resolution for all of Europe. We analyze the weather dependency of power-production anomalies by pairing our model output with results of the classification of weather patterns from the German Weather Service. Our results highlight similar weather patterns associated with positive anomalies in the hourly PV plus wind power production for the 2019 and 2050 installation, namely weather patterns with prevailing westerly winds. However, weather patterns associated with negative anomalies strongly change between the two installations. We also assess the dependency of the results on the duration of the production anomalies. Particularly for long production anomalies, the associated weather patterns are different for the 2019 and 2050 installation. One exception is the weather pattern Anticyclonic Southeasterly that is associated with the lowest 10-day power production in Europe for both 2019 and 2050. Regionally, weather patterns have different impacts on different regions in Europe, when comparing the associated patterns between the 2019 and 2050 installation. For instance, anomalously low power production differ for the Iberian peninsula and Southeastern Europe when the two installed capacities are compared. Taken together, our study gives a systematic overview on changes in the weather dependency of anomalies in the mix of PV and wind power between 2019 and 2050.