Sweet-spot mapping of the Kimmeridge Clay Formation in the UK North Sea for unconventional resource exploitation using a geostatistical modelling approach

With increasing global demand for oil and gas, the exploration of unconventional resource plays (shale oil and gas) continues to gain relevance. Such plays could be significant for maximising the production value in proven geological basins, allowing the exploration of a cleaner fossil fuel. Unconventional resources could play a part in the energy transition to lower-impact CO₂ fuels while meeting current energy security needs.

For several decades, the UK North Sea has been a prolific oil and gas province, with numerous conventional oil and gas discoveries sourced predominantly by the Kimmeridge Clay Formation (KCF). In this study, we have used 3-D geostatistical modelling of the distribution of key geochemical and geomechanical properties for the KCF to investigate the potential of shale oil and gas plays within Quadrant 15 in the Outer Moray Firth region of the UK North Sea.

The utilized geochemical and geomechanical property logs were generated from sixteen selected drilled wells using machine learning and established property equations, while the top and base KCF structural depth maps used for modelling were created using grid- and isopach creation tools in Zetaware's Trinity software, an existing Base Cretaceous Unconformity (BCU) map of the UK North Sea and well top information from 58 wells within the study area.

The geostatistical property maps created for the KCF in Schlumberger’s Petrel software were then normalised and integrated to identity sweet spots for potential shale oil/gas exploitation, after the application of various cut-offs using standard industry thresholds for unconventional resources.

The modelling results suggest that the KCF show good potential for shale oil and gas exploitation within the central part of the Witch Ground Graben and limited areas of the Piper Shelf and Claymore-Tartan Ridge in the study area.  Further investigations on maturity, saturation and producibility will be conducted by 3-D basin modelling.