EGU23-7061, updated on 25 Feb 2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-7061
EGU General Assembly 2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Forecasting southward pointing magnetic fields in solar coronal mass ejections

Christian Möstl1, Ute Amerstorfer1, Hannah T. Rüdisser1,2, Andreas J. Weiss3, Tanja Amerstorfer1, Maike Bauer1,2, Emma E. Davies1, Rachel L. Bailey4, and Martin A. Reiss5
Christian Möstl et al.
  • 1Austrian Space Weather Office, GeoSphere Austria, Graz, Austria (chris.moestl@outlook.com)
  • 2Institute of Physics, University of Graz, Graz, Austria
  • 3Heliophysics Science Division, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, USA
  • 4Conrad Observatory, GeoSphere Austria, Vienna, Austria
  • 5Community Coordinated Modeling Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA

The problem of forecasting southward pointing magnetic fields in coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is closely tied to our ability to measure their magnetic field configuration between the Sun and 1 AU. I will review some of the ideas that have been developed to tackle this problem, from using solar proxies, heliospheric images, Faraday rotation and measuring the in situ magnetic field near the Sun Earth-line. Another way to make progress is to use the L1 data as boundary conditions for fast ensemble simulations, focusing on the flux rope parts inside CMEs. However, for any type of modeling and forecasting we need to better understand the global magnetic structure and shape of CME flux ropes from multi-spacecraft observations, now delivered by spacecraft such as Parker Solar Probe, Solar Orbiter, BepiColombo, STEREO-Ahead and Wind, ACE or DSCOVR. In the future, the PUNCH mission will allow for the first time to extract 3D information from heliospheric images, forming another trailblazer towards developing models for ESA's Vigil mission, and setting the stage for possible interplanetary fleets of small spacecraft.



How to cite: Möstl, C., Amerstorfer, U., Rüdisser, H. T., Weiss, A. J., Amerstorfer, T., Bauer, M., Davies, E. E., Bailey, R. L., and Reiss, M. A.: Forecasting southward pointing magnetic fields in solar coronal mass ejections, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-7061, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-7061, 2023.