NH9.19 | Which resilience of urban systems through hazard, vulnerability or sustainability planning?
EDI
Which resilience of urban systems through hazard, vulnerability or sustainability planning?
Convener: Bruno Barroca | Co-conveners: Gaïa MarchesiniECSECS, Zhuyu Yang, Maria Fabrizia ClementeECSECS
Orals
| Wed, 26 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 1.34
Posters on site
| Attendance Wed, 26 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST)
 
Hall X4
Posters virtual
| Attendance Wed, 26 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST)
 
vHall NH
Orals |
Wed, 16:15
Wed, 10:45
Wed, 10:45
Today, 55% of the global population lives in urban areas (75% in Europe). Therefore, urban systems, such as transportation, water, waste, or energy networks, are key to the life of billions of people. Yet, they are vulnerable to natural hazards, as shown recently with the disastrous consequences of the 2021 summer floods in Belgium and Germany. The sprawl of the urban networks and their deep interconnection increase the risk of propagation of the impacts. It is then necessary to develop sustainable planning for urban infrastructures, which takes into account the potential hazards and integrate all the stakeholders involved. Such risk-based planning enables urban systems to be more resilient, i.e. to adapt to future changes and risks.

The session aims at discussing how researchers, practitioners and professionals are planning the urban systems to respond to natural hazards and are setting up new risk management approaches to design more resilient and flexible cities. The session will enable exchanges on hazard, vulnerability and sustainability planning for urban systems in different countries.

We encourage abstracts on:
- Multi-hazard (flooding, heat wave, etc.) approach and crisis management planning.
- Vulnerability and resilience planning: methods, frameworks, tools designed to reduce risks in cities, urban catchments, etc.
- Resilience assessment for planning: modelling, indicators, databases built for assessment, etc.;
- Decision-making: implementation, operationalisation, simulation, risk mappings, etc.;
- Case studies: planning application, disaster feedback, vulnerability studies, etc.;
- Stakeholders (governments, NGOs, private organisations, citizens, etc.): roles and responsibilities in planning, coordination, etc.;
- Multidisciplinary works on conceptual elements but also tangible applications.

According to the contributions, we would like to propose a special issue in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Orals: Wed, 26 Apr | Room 1.34

Chairpersons: Maria Fabrizia Clemente, Gaïa Marchesini, Zhuyu Yang
16:15–16:20
16:20–16:30
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EGU23-3724
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On-site presentation
Tsung-Yi Pan, Jing-Ting Wang, Cheng-Chi Cheng, and Jihn-Sung Lai

In recent years, the impact of climate change and extreme weather has not only expanded the scale of disasters, but also increased the frequency of disasters. In order to reduce the impact of natural disasters on cities, Making Cities Resilient (MCR) 2030 promoted by the international community has become an important issue. This study uses the "Ten Essentials" Toolkit for Resistant City constructed by the UNDRR to evaluate the disaster prevention and resilience capabilities of cities. However, the key to quantifying urban resilience is to link the indicators of the Disaster Resilience Scorecard with the operations of local government departments to strengthen urban resilience. Taking Taipei City as an example, this study uses the causal loop diagram (CLD) method to explore the business relationship between "Ten Essentials" and various bureaus, and builds a localized disaster resistance scorecard through expert meetings. CLD provides a visual map of the links between resilience indicators and local government operations, providing a clear conceptual model of operating resilient systems.

It can be seen from the analysis results that through the questionnaire survey, Taipei City's disaster prevention and resilience capabilities have achieved satisfied results in various Essentials. Among them, "Organizational Resilience", "Enhancing Organizational Resilience and Disaster Resilience", "Increasing Infrastructure Resilience", and "Ensuring Effective Disaster Response" performed best. At the same time, it is necessary to continue to strengthen the actuarial calculation of disaster risks, enhance financial resilience through catastrophe funds, and implement various measures such as community disaster prevention and business continuity plans, so as to continue to strengthen Taipei's urban resilience in the future.

How to cite: Pan, T.-Y., Wang, J.-T., Cheng, C.-C., and Lai, J.-S.: Applying causal loop diagram to localize the Disaster Resilience Scorecard of UNDRR - a case study of Taipei City, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-3724, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-3724, 2023.

16:30–16:40
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EGU23-16347
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Martina Di Palma and Marina Rigillo

Urban and sub-urban systems are increasingly exposed to high vulnerability to climate risks with a long-term cascading impact on communities, the physical environment and ecosystems.Cities represent the areas where the world's population is most concentrated (UN World Urbanization Prospects,2018) with major impacts on land use change and reduction of permeable surfaces. This condition increases the level of climate risk for urban areas as it increases the exposure of assets and individuals but also affects the ability of urban systems to respond to extreme weather phenomena.

In this framework, Urban Green Infrastructure (UGI) is recognised by international literature and policy as a strategic factor in reducing the vulnerability of urban systems to climate change impacts such as heat island, heat canyon, flooding, runoff. I.G.U., in fact, produce ecosystem services capable of mitigating climate stress phenomena in cities by cooling (shading and evapotranspiration) and controlling runoff.
The scientific literature shows that interest in the U.G.I. project has shifted from a predominantly empirical and qualitative approach to an approach that sees the analytical implementation of information as an indispensable support of the project in terms of simulation, monitoring and control of the climate efficiency of infrastructures.

In particular, the analytical approach is functional to the "site-specific" and "hazard-specific" condition that characterises the U.G.Is. project. Among the main objects of investigation, the scientific community has long identified ecosystem services as a discriminating factor in assessing the climate efficiency of urban green areas. Recent studies have also made explicit the need to develop methods for the analytical measurement of ecosystem services in order to guide design towards appropriate climate performance thresholds.Starting from the assumption that information is the opposite of uncertainty (Ciribini, 1984), the U.G.I. design process must necessarily take advantage of new knowledge methods aimed at reducing the risk of failure and error, according to a predictive logic that aims to identify the most appropriate solution for a given urban context.

Remote sensing is an essential source of information on ecosystems and the state of natural capital for large-scale applications, but in the last two decades, the availability and advent of optical remote sensing and Earth observation data with various spectral, radiometric, spatial and temporal resolutions have increased significantly and constitute a very useful source of data even at the urban and site scale.

The paper presents a methodology for using remote sensing in the context of the U.G.I. project and in particular for mapping ecosystem services at the urban district scale.The methodology is tested on a case study chosen in the context of the metropolitan city of Naples and specifically in the eastern area, characterised by a peri-urban condition with strong environmental criticality.

 

 

How to cite: Di Palma, M. and Rigillo, M.: Remote Sensing for Urban Green Infrastructure. The analytical approach to meta-design process for climate risk reduction., EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-16347, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-16347, 2023.

16:40–16:50
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EGU23-13418
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Kihong Park, Hyeon-Joon Kim, and Changhyun Jun

The crisis in cities with high vulnerability are interlinked and cannot be addressed in isolation. The consideration of integrated approach to disaster management is essential to urban for resilience. This study aims to investigate the role of urban forests on reducing any potential risks from compound disasters in urban areas, represented by floods, air pollution, and human thermal comfort. At first, types of urban forests are investigated in a perspective of nature-based solutions (NbS) with various design criteria appropriate for urban rivers, potentially threatened by river flooding. Here, different kinds of scenarios are considered to figure out optimal design conditions as one of mitigating measures for individual disaster in urban areas adjacent to the river. From comparative analysis on hydrodynamic modelling with microclimate analysis and prediction, this study also evaluates main differences of changes in critical indicators for compound urban crises, such as water level, runoff, PM10, predicted mean vote (PMV), etc. Finally, it suggests how to maximize major functions of urban forests in the multi-criteria decision making context, towards a greener and more resilient city.

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF) grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT) (2020R1G1A1013624) and in part by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF) grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT) (No. NRF-2022R1A4A3032838).

How to cite: Park, K., Kim, H.-J., and Jun, C.: The role of urban forests in compound urban crises: focusing on floods, air pollution, and human thermal comfort, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-13418, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-13418, 2023.

16:50–17:00
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EGU23-9444
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Marco Bevilacqua

Recent climate, health and economic emergencies have put a strain on sustainable transition national and supranational systems and it has been showed how much human beings depend on the environment. In this context, it is relevant to address which role public law should embody in climate change adaptation. It is of course a complex question and it has at least two sides: public law could be an essential vehicle for implementing adaptation policy across a range of sector and a source for providing policies aimed at changing behaviour.

For instance, in the field of climate change, the regulatory problem arises in terms of good administration/governance. Public law could also, however, be interpreted as a tool for communicative action that may enhance co-operation in the municipal organization. In fact, the local government and private actors play an important role in the implementation of climate change adaptation. It follows that law-making is one of the key institutions providing the means to set priorities for climate action.

Being more specific, policy intervention sets objectives; the law (or regulation) tells how to reach them, determining the procedures that must be respected. Thus, policies are more widespread internationally, while laws at the domestic level.

Using the words of the HRH Sultan Azlam Shah, former Chief Justice of Malaysia, «legal principles and rules help convert our knowledge of what needs to be done into binding rules that govern human behaviour. Law is the bridge between scientific knowledge and political action» (23 August 1997). In order to catch the characteristics of the two tools in question it will be measured the effectiveness of non-binding solutions, such as the Glasgow Climate Pact (COP26), and legislative tools as the European regulation n. 2021/1119 on green deal. The expected results of the study are a lack of effectiveness of planning tools at an international level, while local legislation keeps exceptional leeway for local administrators, free not to proactively involve stakeholders.

It will also address the relationship between national and supranational level’s planning: for these purposes, it will be relevant to analyse, in a comparative perspective, the impact of the Italian Piano per la Transizione energetica and Spanish legislation 2021/7, on Cambio Climático y Transición Energética.

How to cite: Bevilacqua, M.: Roles of law and planning for a sustainable approach: institutional profiles, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-9444, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-9444, 2023.

17:00–17:10
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EGU23-10071
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Julia Zimmerman, Sukhwan Chung, Cassandra Everett, Grace Maze, Gaurav Savant, and Margaret Kurth

Urban infrastructure systems are vulnerable to both anthropogenic and natural threats that have inherent uncertainty in scale, impact, directness, and timing. Traditional risk management approaches neglect to prepare for both compound disturbance that are not well defined or are novel and for non-stationary threats including future coastal scenarios impacted by sea level rise. Thus, a framework for evaluating the resilience of an infrastructure system rather than its’ risk tolerance is required.

In this work, resilience is defined as the ability of a system to prepare for, withstand, recover from, and adapt to future unknown disruptions. New York City NY, Gulfport MS, and Camp Lejeune NC were chosen as case study locations to evaluate a framework combining threat data and network analysis. For the current case studies threat data principally consists of flood depths from hydrologic models and the transportation network was used for analysis. Compound disturbances, consisting of GSSHA flood model output during Super Storm Sandy and randomized bridge failures were applied to the New York City roadway network. The impacts of this were analyzed using 10-minute travel time ego-nets around critical points in the city including hospitals, fire stations, and FEMA shelters. Compound disturbances near Camp Lejeune were represented on a regional level including NC-DOT regions one, two, and three with flooding data provided by FIMAN-T. For this location both the transportation network and the power grid were considered. In Gulfport, sea level rise was projected out to 2100 and used to drive an Adaptive Hydraulics 2D Shallow Water (AdH-SW2D) model of the area. This nonstationarity was added to with the inclusion of different river flow scenarios retrieved from StreamStats, a USGS tool. A similar effort was undertaken for Camp Lejeune, North Carolina.

This work aims to take knowledge and developed processes from the case studies described above to create a framework for resilience quantification. This framework will be able to take in threat data from a variety of sources and disciplines and apply this data any infrastructure network. The framework would enable forecasted or near-real time emergency response to natural hazards. Additionally planned infrastructure improvements and new construction could be efficiently evaluated for resilience during the design phase.

How to cite: Zimmerman, J., Chung, S., Everett, C., Maze, G., Savant, G., and Kurth, M.: A Network Analysis Approach to Infrastructure Resiliency to Compounding and Nonstationary Threats, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-10071, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10071, 2023.

17:10–17:20
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EGU23-16484
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Marion Perney and Mattia Leone

Key words: governance, collaborative tools, environmental design, resilience, Climate change adaptation, Disaster risk reduction

In the last decades, two specific themes are at the centre of contemporary debate on climate change or disaster risk issues in urban areas: the “sustainable city”, that integrates a balanced economic, social, and environmental development, and the “resilient city”, that includes the capacity of urban systems to anticipate and face extreme events. Those principles are emerging as innovation and experimentation hubs in which challenges related to climate change and natural hazards are tackled as opportunities for the social, economic, and environmental transition, in line with imperatives of global agendas as the Paris Agreement, the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030, and the New Urban Agenda, but also European agendas as European GreenDeal, European Adaptation Strategy, and NextGenerationEU. Therefore, urban planners and decision-makers need to integrate efforts to mitigate the causes of climate change (mitigation) and adapt to changing climatic conditions (adaptation).

 

To support this transition, the central challenge is to bring evidence-based concepts in action and consider the complexity of dynamic interdependencies in terms of climate benefits and co-benefits for the community and at the same time provide consistent decision-making support for stakeholders. To implement integrated climate mitigation and adaptation strategies in cities, a transdisciplinary, trans-sectoral and transnational process is needed, to bring science into practice and to identify and implement transformations at local scale. Community and institutional coordination have a central place in this domain. In order to keep an interdisciplinarity and connections between policy experts, technical services, and urban designers, resilient cities need a strong an effective risk governance framework, based on the promotion of knowledge-based decision-making processes. Such processes are aimed at evolving traditional approaches to environmental and spatial planning in orded to develop effective responses at local scale, raising questions over both technical solutions and appropriate governance structures in place. The development of a collaborative, socio-technical process appears vital to meet contemporary city challenges. This multi-dimensionality requires tools and methods of analysis to streamline links between research advancements and practice. Soft tools enabling stakeholder and community engagement, co-production of knowledge, collaborative mapping of priorities and co-design of solutions are crucial to support the needed radical shift in governance, planning and design practice.

 

The contribution will present methods and tools developed withing ongoing EU collaborative research projects: Erasmus+ KA220 “UCCRN_edu - Urban Climate Change Research Network for Higher Education: Climate-Resilient Design, Planning and Governance of Cities” (www.uccrn.education) and Horizon Europe “KNOWING - Framework for defining climate mitigation pathways based on understanding and integrated assessment of climate impacts, adaptation strategies and societal transformation”. In these experiences local authorities, stakeholders, and community are engaged to collaboratively envision city transformation pathways, to identify common goals and divergence elements, to evaluate climate benefits and social, economic and environmental co-benefits of possible technical solutions.

How to cite: Perney, M. and Leone, M.: Local governance and collaborative tools in climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction strategies, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-16484, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-16484, 2023.

17:20–17:30
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EGU23-17319
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ECS
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On-site presentation
KyungSu Choo, JungRyel Choi, DongHo Kang, and ByungSik Kim

Impact forecasting means providing information on potential socioeconomic risks according to weather conditions, away from the existing weather factor-oriented forecast. The importance of impact information-based forecasting services that can support decision-making to reduce damage from weather disasters is being emphasized by the World Meteorological Organization. In countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom are investing manpower and finance in technology development to provide and spread impact information, but awareness of impact forecasts has not spread in Korea. In addition, the focus is on disasters such as floods and typhoons, which cause a lot of damage to the impact forecast, and research on vehicle risk impact assessment due to strong winds in the transportation sector, which is relatively less damaged, is insufficient. In Korea, there are not many cases of damage to vehicle conduction due to strong winds, but there are cases of damage, the need for research is increasing, and it is insufficient compared to advanced countries. In order to assessment the risk of a vehicle due to strong winds, road vulnerability, high wind strength, and vehicle exposure are required, and the purpose of this study is to calculate the criteria for road vulnerability, which is a risk assessment factor of a vehicle. Road vulnerabilities were presented by dividing them into minimal, minor, significant, and severe through density analysis, and verification was conducted by substituting them for past damage cases. It is judged that the results of this study can be used as a criterion for preparing an objective evaluation of potential risks for vehicle drivers.

Acknowledgments This research was support by a (2022-MOIS63-002) of Cooperative Research Method and Safety Management Technology in National Disaster funded by Ministry of Interior and Safety(MOIS, Korea).

How to cite: Choo, K., Choi, J., Kang, D., and Kim, B.: Estimation of road vulnerability criteria for vehicle overturning hazard impact assessment, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-17319, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-17319, 2023.

17:30–17:40
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EGU23-14548
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Sara Verde, Federica Dell'Acqua, and Mario Losasso

Keywords: climate vulnerability, digital modelling, Key Enabling Technologies


According to the IPCC, climate risks on a global scale will intensify with every tenth of a degree and therefore climate adaptation and mitigation must be at the core of the global response to climate change. 
According to European Green Deal on the transition to climate neutrality, strategies and actions on the built environment through sustainable building renovation become a priority for reducing climate vulnerability in the urban context. These actions require the development of knowledge processes and methodological workflows supported by ICT tools, able to define new operational environments and procedures for appropriate climate-resilient strategies.

The study reported in the paper aims to test a methodological workflow, based on digital simulation tools, for the evaluation of the effectiveness of climate mitigation and adaptation measures on the building-open space system.
The paper reports the results of the project experimentation on the application case of the PRIN 2017 Research "Tech-Start_key enabling TECHnologies and Smart environmenT in the Age of gReen economy Convergent innovations in the open space/building system for climaTe mitigation". The application case is the former Polifunzionale building in Piscinola district in northern Naples.

The methodological approach is based on the combination and integration of digital tools for assessing the effectiveness of design solutions for the mitigation and climate adaptation of indoor and outdoor spaces. The study focuses on the modelling and simulation of environmental performances before and after the building renovation. To this end, the following software was used: ENVI-met for 3D microclimatic and thermodynamic modelling, Dragonfly for district-scale modelling, Grasshopper for parametric modelling, and i-Tree software for ecosystem services provided by greening.
In the 3D modelling, some geometric simplifications were carried out for speeding up the simulation. The dimensional limits due to the ENVI-met open-source enforced a double simulation scale, referring first to the full area and then to detailed zones, producing synthetic and specific data.
The following indicators were selected to assess the performance of design solutions for the renovation of the Polifunzionale building: Predicted Mean Vote, Mean Radiant Temperature, Surface Temperature, Potential Air Temperature, and CO2 concentration (through ENVI-met). In addition, the benefits in terms of CO2 sequestration and air quality were quantified using i-Tree as well as the provision of certain ecosystem services.

Results showed that, due to the increase of design solutions such as greening and porous pavements, there is an average reduction of 3% in the Predicted Mean Vote value, 0.5 °C in the Potential Air Temperature, 1°C in the Surface Temperature and Mean Radiant Temperature and 0.4 ppm in the CO2 concentration. 

The results demonstrate that the methodological approach is effective in evaluating mitigation and adaptation actions to tackle climate change through the definition of a set of indicators for monitoring the physical, functional and environmental aspects of the climate-resilient design solutions. The open-source versions of digital tools and database packages in the modelling and simulation allow for effective replicability of the process.

How to cite: Verde, S., Dell'Acqua, F., and Losasso, M.: Modeling and Simulation for Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Design. A Case Study in Northern Naples District, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-14548, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14548, 2023.

17:40–17:50
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EGU23-4391
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
Implementing Urban Resilience at the Local Level: Three Francophone Urban Case Studies
(withdrawn)
Charlotte Heinzlef, Aglaé Casault, Damien Serre, and Isabelle Thomas
17:50–18:00

Posters on site: Wed, 26 Apr, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X4

Chairperson: Bruno Barroca
X4.97
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EGU23-2153
Sungsu Lee and Hee Jung Ham

Recent urbanization around globe shows tendency of high-rise buildings along the shoreline for many reasons, and South Korea is no exception. In spite of socio-economical gains from these development, the downside is so-called building wind, in particular, during the extreme wind in typhoon season, which often threats the livelihood during The realization of hazard has been damage to the structural integrity of the buildings, the threats to the pedestrian safety, and even higher risk due to the wind-borne debris. Another serious impacts are imposed on the existing and aged structures surrounding the newly developed region. Because those structures were built without consideration of additional building wind, they are seriously vulnerable to the newly emerged hazard. Since the urbanization near shoreline will be further accelerating, the problems at hand will be even worse in the future considering climate change. As a proactive measure to reduce and cope with the risk incurred by the building winds, it is important to improve the wind environment in the urban area by evaluating the local climate around buildings. One of recent development of the measures is the utilization of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) method to evaluate wind environment around buildings. With these computational approach, it would be possible to produce the engineered solution to the problems in the future. This research was supported by a grant (RS-2022-00155691) of Disaster-Safety Industry Technology Commercialization R&D Program, funded by Ministry of Interior and Safety (MOIS, Korea).

How to cite: Lee, S. and Ham, H. J.: How do we cope with extreme wind incurred by buildings along shoreline in typhoon prone region ?, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-2153, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-2153, 2023.

X4.98
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EGU23-14213
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ECS
Gaïa Marchesini, Bruno Barroca, and Hélène Beraud

Disasters produce huge amounts of waste, for instance, ten years of landfills were used for the Great Hanshi-Awaji earthquake waste in 1995 in Kobe (Japan) (Lauritzen, 1998). If poorly managed, disaster waste can slow down the rescue and reconstruction activities, spread diseases, affect the environment or reduce the long-term resiliency of the waste system (Brown et al., 2011). Thus, academics acknowledge the need of planning for disaster waste (Crowley, 2017; Gabrielli et al., 2018; Poudel et al., 2018).

Many countries have specific management policies for critical infrastructures. Critical infrastructures are activities that contribute to the production and distribution of goods or services essential to the exercise of State authority, the functioning of the economy, the maintenance of defence potential or the security of the Nation. These activities are, by nature, difficult to substitute or replace. Operators identified as “operators of vital importance” have been long included in national security strategies in terms of protection against malicious acts and natural, technological and health risks. They have to identify the risk they face, apply prevention measures and be ready to respond in case of an event. Therefore, operators of urban systems are generally used to planning for natural disasters.

Most urban systems, such as water management, energy and transportation, are considered critical infrastructures. It is generally not the case for waste management, as we can see in France, but also in New Zealand (Brown et al., 2010), Japan and the United-State (Aung and Watanabe, 2009).

Yet, waste system has many similarities with other urban systems in terms of management, functioning and modelling. We therefore argue that disaster waste management could benefit from learning from the emergency planning organisation of urban systems of vital importance.

This presentation will present the organisational obligations of urban lifeline systems to discuss whether or not the waste system should become an activity of vital importance and what it would change in its organisation and planning.

 

REFERENCES

Aung, Z.Z., Watanabe, K., 2009. A framework for modeling interdependencies in Japan’s critical infrastructures. IFIP Adv. Inf. Commun. Technol. 311, 243–257. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04798-5_17

Brown, C., Milke, M., Seville, E., 2011. Disaster waste management: A review article. Waste Manag. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2011.01.027

Brown, C., Milke, M., Seville, E., 2010. Waste Management as a “Lifeline”? A New Zealand Case Study Analysis. Int. J. Disaster Resil. Built Environ. 1, 192–206. https://doi.org/10.1108/17595901011056640

Crowley, J., 2017. A measurement of the effectiveness and efficiency of pre-disaster debris management plans. Waste Manag. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2017.02.004

Gabrielli, F., Amato, A., Balducci, S., Magi Galluzzi, L., Beolchini, F., 2018. Disaster waste management in Italy: Analysis of recent case studies. Waste Manag. 71, 542–555. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2017.10.012

Lauritzen, E.K., 1998. Emergency construction waste management. Saf. Sci. 30, 45–53.

Poudel, R., Hirai, Y., Asari, M., Sakai, S. ichi, 2018. Establishment of unit generation rates of building debris in Kathmandu Valley, Nepal, after the Gorkha earthquake. J. Mater. Cycles Waste Manag. 20, 1663–1675. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10163-018-0731-8

How to cite: Marchesini, G., Barroca, B., and Beraud, H.: Organising disaster waste management as a critical infrastructure, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-14213, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14213, 2023.

X4.99
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EGU23-1383
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ECS
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Jonas Wassmer, Bruno Merz, and Norbert Marwan

Extreme weather events can drastically influence the dynamics and stability of networked infrastructure systems like transportation networks or power grids. Climate change is increasing the frequency of such events, making their impact on human society and ecosystems increasingly relevant. Prominent examples include damage of critical infrastructure caused by heavy rainfalls and landslides. The devastating floods that struck Germany’s Ahr valley in 2021 are yet another reminder of the threat posed by such extreme events. Due to washed-out roads and further severe infrastructure damages, critical bottlenecks effectively cut off a substantial share of the population from assistance, hampering or even impeding their rescue.

In this study, we investigate the impact of flood events on transportation networks where stability is particularly important in order to ensure the accessibility of emergency services. Local changes in the underlying network dynamics can affect the whole road network and, in the worst case, cause a total collapse of the system through cascading failures. Because of the severe consequences of cascading events, we aim to recognise such spreading processes at an early stage and, in a further step, be able to prevent them. To this end, we set up a gravity model of travel to simulate the changes of the traffic load after flooding events to identify vulnerabilities in the system. We further analyse how the accessibility of emergency services is affected and if the population can be effectively reached in time.

How to cite: Wassmer, J., Merz, B., and Marwan, N.: Resilience of emergency infrastructure networks after flooding events, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-1383, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-1383, 2023.

X4.100
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EGU23-9442
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ECS
Zhuyu Yang, Maria Fabrizia Clemente, and Bruno Brarroca

Road Infrastructures (RIs) support a wide variety of activities ranging in modern societies and play a critical role in economic competitiveness and quality of life. However, RIs are vulnerable to congestion, accidents, weather conditions, special events, and natural disasters. Therefore, the concept of “resilience”, which means the ability of a system exposed to hazards to absorb change and disturbance, and maintain and improve its state, gain more and more popularity in the field of RIs management. Moreover, many studies investigate the issue of cascading effects of infrastructure disruption, which could cause functional disruptions to other urban components.

The relationship between RIs and the Emergency Medical Services (EMSs) is evident; even though modern emergency medical transports can partly rely on helicopters, their operation and implementation are still largely dependent on RIs. The disruption of road transport is highly probable to delay ambulances and prevent patients from receiving timely treatment. Thus, a resilience-oriented strategy for RIs should not only make the road infrastructure able to respond to hazards but should also avoid the cascading effects of RIs dysfunction on medical services.

A resilient infrastructure should have different aspects of capabilities and involve actions to improve its capabilities. The management strategies for RIs, facing potential risks, require preparedness for both immediate and medium-long-term actions. This study, taking Nantes city with possible flood hazards as an example, firstly aims at assessing the impacts of RIs interruption on Nantes EMS facing different levels of flooding (low, medium, strong, and very strong). The studied impacts focus on the delay of ambulances and the reduction of the survival rate of patients with heart attacks.

Furthermore, this study, presents a resilience-oriented strategy for Nantes RIs management, including potential actions such as installations of temporary dykes or footbridges, the elevation of RIs, the use of sustainable materials, planting soil, and structural growing medium for green space and permeable pavement to implement groundwater drainage.

How to cite: Yang, Z., Clemente, M. F., and Brarroca, B.: Resilience-oriented Strategies for Planning and Design of Road Infrastructures in Considering Cascading Effects on Emergency Medical Service, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-9442, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-9442, 2023.

X4.101
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EGU23-2848
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ECS
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Highlight
Bastien Bourlier, Charlotte Heinzlef, Franck Taillandier, Corinne Curt, and Damien Serre

There are real needs to innovate in risk management approaches to address issues of vulnerable territories such as French overseas territories identified as particularly exposed to natural hazards. This communication focusses on the Tahiti urban environment in French Polynesia, a dense urban area, subject to coastal and river flooding hazards. French Polynesia is a semi-autonomous territory with a specific institutional context. The distribution of competences, the main development perspectives, or the management plans are specific to this territory. In addition, significant gaps and weaknesses in risk management have been identified in a governmental report in 2018 (isolation, lack of management plans). Our objective is to define the conditions for a resilient territorial organization for flood risk management, to highlight structure, issues and weaknesses.

The method is based on a qualitative analysis of the current organization for the management of flood in Tahiti. For this purpose, we interviewed fifteen local actors in charge of flood risk management on the urban area (semi-directive interviews of about 45min). These actors belong to the different territorial levels (municipality, country and state). The aim was to collect information about their intervention capacity, the spatial inequalities of these interventions, but also the processes of communication and exchange between actors as well as questions inherent to competences share and local governance autonomy.

The results highlight more precisely the gaps in risk management, better identify the specificities of the actions articulations, and finally to suggest ways of fostering the resilience of organizations. More precisely, they highlight the concentration of resources for crisis management phases, while other activities, such as prevention and urban planning, remain largely undeveloped. This research also emphasizes the adaptation capacities of the territory by solidarity processes and the existence of a significant risk culture. Furthermore, this study makes it possible to establish a framework, identify strengths and weaknesses as well as the role and methods of each stakeholder. Taking into consideration the bicephalous dimension of local governance (between French Polynesia and the French state) is a major issue implying the improvement of coordination and consultation processes.

This approach provides a comprehensive view of the territory's organization to flood management and allows us to frame the operational conditions for the implementation of a resilience observatory helping long-term thinking and collaboration and, consequently, improving the effectiveness of the processes in place. This observatory will facilitate sharing and co-construction of data, cooperation, and also communication with decision makers.

How to cite: Bourlier, B., Heinzlef, C., Taillandier, F., Curt, C., and Serre, D.: Analysis of the organization in place to manage flood resilience in Tahiti urban area (French Polynesia), as a framework for risk observatory, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-2848, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-2848, 2023.

X4.102
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EGU23-12732
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ECS
Maria Fabrizia Clemente and Bruno Barroca

Critical infrastructures (CIs) have a priority role for society, the interruption or partial operation of such infrastructures can compromise the functioning of the entire city, limiting the safety and well-being of the population. In recent years, the increasing number of natural hazards, combined with the growing intensity of such phenomena, have led to long interruptions and malfunctions of CIs. These infrastructures are also interdependent and, therefore, the failure of one can cause domino effects on others.

In coastal areas, CIs are subject to multiple natural hazards such as flooding, landslides, or storm surge; among them the maritime transport system represents a fundamental element of global and local economies, around 90% of international trade in goods are carried out by sea. Ports are therefore strategic nodes of this complex network; their operability must be guaranteed to not compromise the entire logistics chain.

Keeping ports operational means ensuring their functional resilience also during critical climate events. To support decision-makers in planning and design, innovative models need to be developed in order to read city-port systems as complex systems and to integrate natural hazards within the projects.

The contribution proposes an approach to analyze the dependencies and the interdependencies between and within the city-port systems, also in relation to other CIs (such as the energy system, road transport system or railway transport system). This approach can help decision-makers to plan measures, design uses and spaces, taking into account natural hazards considering long terms climate scenarios.

The city of Le Havre, in France, will be examined as case study. A special focus will be made on the coastal areas where is located the Grand Port Maritime du Havre (GPMH), the first port in France and one of the most important ports in Europe. As indicated in the PPRL (Plans de Prévention des Risques Littoraux), the GPMH will be, in fact, at risk due to the sea level rise scenarios by 2100, so it will be necessary to implement disaster risk prevention, preparedness and reduction measures, or even relocation of infrastructures.

How to cite: Clemente, M. F. and Barroca, B.: Integrating Natural Hazards into the Planning and Design of Critical Infrastructures in Urban Coastal Areas. A Case Study in Le Havre, France, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-12732, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12732, 2023.

X4.103
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EGU23-11885
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ECS
Fanny Josse, Katia Laffrechine, and Jeffrey Raven

In an era where the resilient planning of cities is mainly done by a multitude of digital tools for thinking, predicting, building, and observing, the data used remains globally in a static condition[1], however the city and its environment are in a perpetual state of change and must include dynamic data for being as close to reality as possible[2].
Coming from the industrial world, the emerging concept of the "Digital Twin" (DT) is positioned as a tool linking the 3D digital model and the implementation of continuous and dynamic information (from sensors among others), allowing to introduce the notion of piloting and maintenance of doubled physical objects[3]. Applied at different scales and functions the "DT" becomes a unique database allowing both the simulation of different climate risk scenarios and the real-time assessment of the existing environment[4].

Based on the existing literature[5] and on experimental projects such as European or National "DT" projects designed for resilient planning such as LEAD, DUET or DIAMS[6], this communication will first focus on the analysis of different dynamic and static environmental indicators used (definitions and management of the data). In a second step, we will concentrate on the different actors of these "DT" by questioning their expectations and needs (visualizations and simulations of the different impacts due to climate change as well as the maintenance of real subjects). But also by analyzing their processes of use to understand the advantages and the limits noticed during their experimentations. Finally, we will ask ourselves how this tool could evolve thanks to the feedback from these tests.
The aim is to evaluate the role that the "DT" can have on the dynamic and resilient planning of territories and conversely the impacts of programming on the use of this tool.

 

Keywords: Digital Twin, dynamic planning, urban resiliency


Références :

[1] Ramalho, Cristina E., et Richard J. Hobbs. “Time for a Change: Dynamic Urban Ecology” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 27, no 3 (2012): 179‑88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2011.10.008.

[2] Chunyang He et al., “Alternative Future Analysis for Assessing the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Urban Landscape Dynamics ”, Science of The Total Environment 532 (1 novembre 2015): 48‑60, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.05.103.

[3] A. Fuller, Z. Fan, C. Day and C. Barlow, "Digital Twin: Enabling Technologies, Challenges and Open Research," in IEEE Access, vol. 8, pp. 108952-108971, (2020), doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.2998358.

[4] Guillaud, M., & Chéreau, M. (2022). "3. Des outils techniques accessibles et des données ouvertes ". In Inventer les villes durables (p. 119‑133). Dunod. https://www.cairn.info/inventer-les-villes-durables--9782100834204-p-119.htm

[5] Shahat, Ehab, Chang T. Hyun, et Chunho Yeom. « City Digital Twin Potentials: A Review and Research Agenda ». Sustainability 13, no 6 (janvier 2021): 3386. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13063386.

[6]    Objectives Lead Project. (2023). https://www.leadproject.eu/objectives/  
About digital urban european twins. (s. d.). DUET. https://www.digitalurbantwins.com/digitaltwindemo  
Planification urbaine pour les collectivités pilotes DIAMS. (s. d.). https://www.airdiams.eu/planification-urbaine-pour-les-collectivites-pilotes

How to cite: Josse, F., Laffrechine, K., and Raven, J.: The Digital Twin, a tool for dynamic planning of an urban resilience, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-11885, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11885, 2023.

X4.104
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EGU23-4368
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ECS
Progress in assessing resilience to climate-related flood risks thanks to a comparative study between two francophone methods
(withdrawn)
Charlotte Heinzlef, Aglaé Casault, Isabelle Thomas, and Damien Serre
X4.105
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EGU23-13585
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ECS
Angela Ruggiero

In the book “Puissances de la norme 1, Catherine Thibierge talks about “standards’ densification”: both an increase in the number of existing technical standards, and an extension of the field of standardization. Technical standards were, in fact, initially developed to provide a common framework in the product's market; their application by enterprises, although voluntary, ensures greater interoperability and dissemination 2. In the 2000s, standardization started to turn to new fields such as the management of cities and territories, and, to date, almost 600 environmental standards have been produced by ISO (1). This interest in environmental issues eventually led to the creation of a technical committee (2), the ISO/TC 268 “Sustainable cities and communities”. This committee published, in 2016, the standard ISO 37101, which provides territories with recommendations for adopting a methodological approach to sustainable development. This standard belongs to the category of Management System Standards (MSS), standards that provide all types of organizations with a continuous improvement process model, the Plan-Do-Control-Act process.

The ISO 37101 represents an innovative document compared to other MSS, adding an element to the classic process: a 6x12 matrix that outlines 6 long-term goals and 12 areas of action for sustainable development. Through an iterative cross-analysis of this grid, organizations can assess their contribution to the goals and how the different areas of action are taken into account. Therefore, ISO 37101 aims to give territories a “management tool” capable of “conveying a common language”, enough flexible to be used in conjunction with other existing policies and to be territorialized in different local conditions.

The French government recognized the potential of this standard and so the French Ministry of Ecological Transition engaged in the dissemination of this standard through an experimental action 3 with about 25 territories. These territories are appropriating the standard in different ways, mainly using the matrix and not the entire proposed process. Indeed, the implementation of a management system with the Plan-Do-Control-Act process could require times that don’t necessarily fit with a political mandate. On the other hand, the matrix allows territories to “not omit anything” from public policies and to then add up their ambitions.

One of the first territories to implement ISO 37101 was Grenoble, within the Presqu'Île development project. Here, the matrix has been used to review the project’s main goals and to couple them with the existing local and national regulations, allowing the evolution and prioritization of these goals. Furthermore, demonstrating the matrix’s flexibility, the grid was filled with the project’s requirements to compare and choose between different project managers’ offers.

The French experimental action shows how this methodological framework allows the implementation of larger objectives even at smaller scales. Therefore, this contribution wishes to open a reflection on the role that ISO 37101, and standards in general, could have as a bridge between planning policies and urban plans and projects.

 

Notes

1. International Organization for Standardization;

2. Thematic groups that elaborate standards;

References

1 [Joan Le Goff et al, 2017] Joan Le Goff, Stéphane Onnee, Puissances de la norme. Défis juridiques et managériaux des systèmes normatifs contemporains, EMS, 2017.

2 https://europa.eu/youreurope/business/product-requirements/standards/standards-in-europe/index_it.htm

3 https://www.ecocites.logement.gouv.fr/l-utilisation-du-standard-international-iso-37101-a172.html

How to cite: Ruggiero, A.: Grenoble’s Presqu’île project: ISO 37101 as a bridge between planning policies and urban projects, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-13585, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-13585, 2023.

Posters virtual: Wed, 26 Apr, 10:45–12:30 | vHall NH

Chairperson: Bruno Barroca
vNH.21
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EGU23-270
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ECS
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I-Yun Chen and Szu-Yun Lin

Natural disasters may severely impact critical infrastructure and lifelines and even cause the shutdown of essential facilities. This research proposes a novel assessment framework for earthquake risk and resilience of the power system. It aims to find the most feasible disaster prevention and emergency strategies to improve community resilience by comprehensively considering the 4R (Robustness, Rapidity, Redundancy, Resourcefulness) indicators. In this study, the power system in Taipei City was adopted as the case study. Graph Analysis was first conducted to analyze the centrality of each station and the influence after its breakdown for determining the critical nodes. Then, Monte Carlo simulations were carried out to simulate the damage and recovery of the power system under the considered earthquake scenario. Also, the quantitative measurements for Robustness, Rapidity, Redundancy, and Resourcefulness of the power system have been well-defined individually. The high-risk and vulnerable areas in the case study are recognized. Afterward, based on the results of multi-objective optimization, the optimal disaster prevention and emergency strategies from 4R perspectives can be investigated. The result indicates that the critical power plants and substations can be served as the priority protection targets. However, with limited resources, there is a trade-off between 4R, such as enhancing resisting capacity in advance, providing alternatives during a disaster, or accelerating the restoration of the power system in the aftermath of earthquakes. By comparing the obtained optimal resilience strategies with the government's current policies, the feasibility of the strategies can be discussed. The goal of the research is to enhance the resilience performance of cities when facing disasters. The assessment framework can be applied to other lifeline systems, and the interdependencies between different critical infrastructures should be taken into account in future studies.

How to cite: Chen, I.-Y. and Lin, S.-Y.: Resilience Analysis of Power System for Seismic Disaster Mitigation, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-270, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-270, 2023.

vNH.22
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EGU23-9793
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ECS
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Laura Esbrí, Montserrat Llasat-Botija, Raul Marcos, Erika Pardo, Sandra Racionero, and Maria Carmen Llasat

The impacts of Climate Change in extensive metropolitan areas have been one of the hot topics of the last years. To deal with these impacts and comply with European Green Deal, a transformation process that simultaneously encompasses mitigation and adaptation needs to be achieved. For this transformation to take place, there is the need to mobilize social commitment: citizens must be engaged to change their habits. To this aim, in the context of I-CHANGE project, the Barcelona Living Lab on Extreme Events (BLLEE) has been created. The Metropolitan area of Barcelona, composed of 36 municipalities and over 3,239,337 inhabitants in 636 km2, is a good example of a Mediterranean coastal region that can be severely affected by climate change impacts. As is extensively documented, meteorological extreme events occur with a high frequency in this region, being heavy rainfalls and extreme temperatures the most common ones (Gilabert et al. 2021, Llasat et al. 2021), and the frequency trends of both these events are expected to increase with Climate Change. Consequently, the challenges of the Barcelona Living lab are multiple and related to the urban floods and flash floods, the increase in vulnerability and exposure to high temperatures and the unequally distributed impacts and damages associated with Climate Change.

This contribution will present the methodology followed in the development of the BLLEE. The process is divided into four stages: mapping of stakeholders, identification of needs and research questions through online meetings and surveys, a first workshop with stakeholders to select the main challenges, and the creation of a steering committee to supervise the implementation. In the Stakeholders Mapping potential stakeholders from different sectors (Academia, civil society, public sector and industry) were selected according to the BLLEE interests (a total of 122 persons/teams). In the second stage, the stakeholders were contacted and individual online meetings were organized according to their different backgrounds. The third step, consisted on the first in-person stakeholder workshop, with the successful participation of 33 representatives from the different identified entities from the first and second steps. A mix of presentations, participative dynamics, and a design thinking activity were used to co-define and improve the challenges of the BLLEE, to identify the barriers and drivers to the implementation of already defined adaptation routes and to propose new adaptation solutions. Finally, the implementation of some measures and citizen science activities that were previously agreed with the stakeholders. This step has recently started and has a double objective: to acquire more information about extreme events in the Metropolitan Area of Barcelona and to modify habits, improving the resilience to face those extremes and reducing the GHG footprint. Periodic meetings with the stakeholders are going to be held to keep the discussion on the course of action. In this communication, the key aspects identified through the participatory activities and workshops in these first stages will be shown.

This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement 101037193.

How to cite: Esbrí, L., Llasat-Botija, M., Marcos, R., Pardo, E., Racionero, S., and Llasat, M. C.: Cocreation of a Living Lab as a tool to deal with extreme events and improve Climate Change mitigation and adaptation: The Barcelona Living Lab on extreme events, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-9793, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-9793, 2023.