TS3.6 | Inter- and intraplate seismicity in subduction zones
Inter- and intraplate seismicity in subduction zones
Convener: Silvia Brizzi | Co-conveners: Iris van Zelst, Ake Fagereng, Marcel Thielmann
Orals
| Thu, 27 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
Room K1
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 27 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST)
 
Hall X2
Orals |
Thu, 14:00
Thu, 10:45
Since approximately 90% of the seismic moment released by earthquakes worldwide occurs near subduction zones, it is crucial to improve our understanding of seismicity and the associated seismic hazard in these regions. Seismicity in subduction zones takes many forms, ranging from relatively shallow seismicity on outer-rise and splay faults and the megathrust to intermediate-depth (70-300 km) and deep events (>300 km). While most research on subduction earthquakes focuses on the megathrust, all of these different seismic environments contribute to the seismic budget, hazard and broad dynamics of a subduction zone.

This session aims to integrate our knowledge on different aspects of subduction zone seismicity to improve our understanding of the interplay between such events and their relationship to subduction dynamics. We particularly invite abstracts that use geophysical and geological observations, laboratory experiments and/or numerical models to address questions such as: (1) What are the mechanisms behind intraplate seismicity? (2) How do outer-rise and splay fault seismicity relate to the seismogenic behaviour of the megathrust? (3) How do slab dynamics influence and potentially link both shallow and deep seismicity?

Orals: Thu, 27 Apr | Room K1

Chairpersons: Iris van Zelst, Silvia Brizzi
14:00–14:05
Shallow and megathrust seismicity
14:05–14:15
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EGU23-3600
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solicited
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Virtual presentation
Susan Bilek and Emily Morton

Slip observed within subduction zones falls within a broad range, with non-volcanic tremor (NVT), slow slip, repeating small earthquakes, to great earthquakes all contained within this spectrum.  The diversity of observed slip suggests diversity in fault zone conditions, which can be affected by a variety of factors, such as fluids, sediment inputs, upper plate structure, and topography on the subducting plate.  The role of subducting topography on seismicity appears to be regionally variable, with some bathymetric features leading to high slip during earthquakes, and others leading to plate creep and small earthquakes associated with upper plate deformation.  Seismicity characteristics in regions of subducting topography can be difficult to assess in many areas however, because traditional land-based seismic networks can easily miss offshore smaller earthquakes associated with this process. We use data from an amphibious seismic network deployed along the Cascadia subduction zone to examine seismic characteristics of thousands of newly detected and located earthquakes along the margin.  Over 5000 earthquakes in the catalog generally agree with asperity locations modeled from geodetic data and the 1700 M9 rupture, along with several clusters of upper plate earthquakes in areas of subducting topography.  Stress drop estimates, based on a spectral ratio technique, vary depending on earthquake location, with higher stress drop earthquakes occurring on the upper plate faults relative to the lower stress drop earthquakes occurring along the megathrust.  These variations may reflect important changes in fault conditions between upper plate splay faults and the megathrust.

How to cite: Bilek, S. and Morton, E.: Heterogeneous earthquake distributions and stress drop estimates along the Cascadia subduction megathrust and upper plate faults, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-3600, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-3600, 2023.

14:15–14:25
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EGU23-8201
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Carlos Peña, Oliver Heidbach, Bernd Schurr, Sabrina Metzger, Marcos Moreno, Onno Oncken, and Claudio Faccenna

Aftershocks are a time-dependent (exponential decay) phenomenon in the aftermath of large earthquakes. In subduction zones, those occurring in the upper plate are of special concern given their potential seismic hazard, as they may produce substantial surface shaking close to highly populated cities. Therefore, the understanding of the mechanisms that drive upper-plate aftershocks is of utmost importance to improving seismic hazard assessment. Transfer of static coseismic stresses has been commonly proposed to explain this; however, they fail to explain their exponential decay over time. This time-dependency is observed in postseismic geodetic measurements, suggesting that the processes that control the postseismic surface deformation also govern or at least are involved in the generation of upper-plate aftershocks. Here, the postseismic surface deformation is dominated by aseismic slip along the fault interface (afterslip), non-linear viscoelastic relaxation in the lower crust and upper mantle, and pore-pressure diffusion in the crust. Despite great research efforts, however, the key driver remains elusive.

In this study, we investigate which postseismic mechanism mainly controls the occurrence of aftershocks in the upper plate in subduction zones using the 2014 Mw=8.1 Iquique earthquake, northern Chile, as a study case. We employ a 4D numerical forward model to simulate the transient poroelastic and non-linear viscoelastic relaxation, whose contributions are subtracted from the cumulative Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) measurements to then invert for afterslip. Using realistic rock material properties, we first show that this approach explains the surface displacements during the first nine months of postseismic deformation recorded by continuous GNSS. For the same period, we then compute the spatiotemporal Coulomb Failure Stress changes (ΔCFS) that result from individual postseismic processes and compare them with the upper-plate aftershocks using a high-resolution seismicity catalog and focal mechanisms. We show for the first time that the ΔCFS produced by pore-pressure diffusion induced by the mainshock are unambiguously better correlated in space and time with the increase in upper-plate aftershocks than those from afterslip or non-linear viscous relaxation. In addition, pore-pressure diffusion lowers the effective normal stress of the stress tensor more effectively, while its resulting ΔCFS are relatively independent of the fault orientation. The latter would also explain the diversity of faulting styles in the upper plate exhibited by focal mechanisms following the 2014 Iquique earthquake and other subduction zone earthquakes. Our findings provide new insights into the link between pore-pressure diffusion and upper-plate deformation in subduction zones with implications for time-dependent seismic hazard.

How to cite: Peña, C., Heidbach, O., Schurr, B., Metzger, S., Moreno, M., Oncken, O., and Faccenna, C.: Does transient pore-pressure diffusion drive upper-plate aftershocks following megathrust earthquakes?, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-8201, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-8201, 2023.

14:25–14:35
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EGU23-4944
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On-site presentation
Luigi Passarelli, Simone Cesca, Nima Nooshiri, and Sigurjón Jónsson

Bathymetric highs resist subduction producing large- to small-scale change in the morphology of the subduction zone: Increase of the outer-rise curvature, trench indentation and large-scale slides and slumps in the fore-arc region. At the plate interface, bathymetric highs induce geometrical and frictional changes that can produce increase or decrease of the local coupling, and thus having an effect on the likelihood of occurrence of large megathrust earthquakes. Numerical models predict complex strain and stress patterns arising from subduction of such relief mainly driven by the size and relative geometry of trench and subducted high. However, the collision and subduction of bathymetric highs is investigated mainly via geophysical and geological surveys since seismic sequences have rarely illuminated the subduction of seafloor relief. Here, we report of a year-long and very energetic earthquake activity (10 Mw 6.5-7.5) at the Loyalty Ridge – Vanuatu trench at both the plate interface and in the outer-rise region. The spatio-temporal and magnitude of the earthquakes revealed complex release of the accrued flexural strain along the outer-rise and a pronounced segmentation of the interface with repeating M7 earthquakes, low aftershock activity and a large “aseismic” zone. The collision and subduction of the Loyalty Ridge along the Vanuatu trench seem to indicate a frictionally segmented interface where large megathrust earthquakes are unlikely to occur.

How to cite: Passarelli, L., Cesca, S., Nooshiri, N., and Jónsson, S.: Earthquakes illuminate the incipient collision and subduction of Loyalty Ridge at Vanuatu subduction zone, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-4944, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4944, 2023.

14:35–14:45
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EGU23-4981
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Irene Menichelli, Fabio Corbi, Silvia Brizzi, Elenora van Rijsingen, Francesca Funiciello, and Serge Lallemand

It has been widely recognized that the presence of seamounts can profoundly affect megathrust seismicity. With their outstanding topography, seamounts can tune interplate stress and favor the development of a fracture network in the overriding plate. Subducting seamounts can also control fluid accumulation and sediment porosity. However, their role as barriers or triggers for rupture propagation remains a matter of debate.

In this work, we used analog models to study how geometric and frictional heterogeneities associated with a single subducting seamount influence the seismogenic behavior of the megathrust. We used four different model configurations (i.e., a flat interface, a high-friction and low-friction seamount, and a low-friction patch) to investigate both the combined and individual effect of geometry and friction.

Our results show that low friction areas, either flat or with a seamount relief, reduce interplate coupling. Also the presence of a geometric feature tends to decrease seismic coupling and segment ruptures promoting earthquakes enucleation on the flat region. The maximum barrier efficiency is achieved with the low-friction patch model, where the accumulated stress is preferentially released by the occurrence of small earthquakes. This behavior is well suited to natural cases where seamounts are supposed to lower interplate friction due to fluid release or by the development of fracture systems development, causing microseismicity and slow slip events.

How to cite: Menichelli, I., Corbi, F., Brizzi, S., van Rijsingen, E., Funiciello, F., and Lallemand, S.: Seamount subduction and megathrust seismicity: the interplay between geometry and friction., EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-4981, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4981, 2023.

14:45–14:55
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EGU23-8028
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ECS
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On-site presentation
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Armin DIelforder, Gian Maria Bocchini, Kilian Kemna, Andrea Hampel, Rebecca Harrington, and Onno Oncken

Large megathrust earthquakes like the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku earthquake (Japan) are followed by numerous aftershocks in the subduction zone forearc overlying the seismogenic fault. The aftershocks in the forearc can include normal-faulting events despite the thrust mechanism of the main shock. Postseismic normal faulting has been explained by stress changes induced by the coseismic stress drop along the megathrust. However, details of stress changes in the forearc and aftershock triggering mechanisms remain poorly constrained. Here we use numerical force-balance models combined with Coulomb failure analysis to show that the megathrust stress drop indeed supports normal faulting, but that forearc-wide triggering of aftershocks is feasible within a narrow range of megathrust stress-drop values and forearc stress states only. We determine this range for the Tohoku earthquake and show that the associated stress changes explain the aftershock seismicity in unprecedented detail. In particular, our analysis reveals that ~78% of the aftershocks and ~92% of the seismic moment release occurred in areas where the Tohoku earthquake caused a stress increase, and that the detailed aftershock distribution was also governed by spatial variability in fault strength and forearc topography. Our findings provide new insights into aftershock triggering and help to understand where aftershocks occur after great earthquakes at subduction zones.

How to cite: DIelforder, A., Bocchini, G. M., Kemna, K., Hampel, A., Harrington, R., and Oncken, O.: Megathrust stress drop as trigger of aftershock seismicity in subduction zone forearcs: Insights from the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku earthquake, Japan, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-8028, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-8028, 2023.

14:55–15:05
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EGU23-10957
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
zhen tian, Jeffrey Freymueller, Zhiqiang Yang, Zhenhong Li, and Heping Sun

Postseismic deformation following subduction earthquakes includes the combined effects of afterslip surrounding the coseismic rupture areas and viscoelastic relaxation in the asthenosphere and provides unique and valuable information for understanding the rheological structure. Because the two postseismic mechanisms are usually spatiotemporally intertwined, we developed an integrated model combining their contributions, based on 5 years of observations following the 2016 Pedernales (Ecuador) earthquake. The results show that the early, near-field postseismic deformation is dominated by afterslip, both updip and downdip of the coseismic rupture, and requires heterogeneous interface frictional properties. Viscoelastic relaxation contributes more to far-field displacements at later time periods. The best-fit integrated model favors a 45-km thick lithosphere overlying a Burgers body viscoelastic asthenosphere with a Maxwell viscosity of 3 × 1019 Pa s (0.9 - 5 × 1019 Pa s at 95% confidence), assuming the Kelvin viscosity equal to 10% of that value. In addition to the postseismic afterslip, the coastal displacements of sites north and south of the rupture clearly require extra slip in the plate motion direction due to slow slip events that may be triggered by the coseismic stress changes (CSC), but are not purely driven by the CSC. Spatially variable afterslip following the Pedernales event, combined with the SSEs during the interseismic period, demonstrate that spatial frictional variability persists throughout the whole earthquake cycle. The interaction of adjacent fault patches with heterogeneous properties may contribute to the clustered large earthquakes in this area.

How to cite: tian, Z., Freymueller, J., Yang, Z., Li, Z., and Sun, H.: Frictional properties and rheological structure at the Ecuadorian subduction zone revealed by the postseismic deformation due to the 2016 Mw 7.8 Pedernales (Ecuador) earthquake, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-10957, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10957, 2023.

15:05–15:15
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EGU23-3007
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ECS
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solicited
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Virtual presentation
Haipeng Luo and Kelin Wang

Postseismic deformation following large megathrust earthquakes is widely observed with geodetic measurements and coastal geological investigations and contains important information on subduction zone rheology and megathrust slip behaviour. Short-term (a few years) horizontal deformation exhibits a consistent pattern common to almost all large megathrust earthquakes. For example, the coastal area moves consistently in the seaward direction, but the trench area moves in the landward direction. The horizontal deformation is readily explained by the effects of viscoelastic relaxation (VER) of earthquake-induced stress and afterslip. However, the vertical deformation exhibits greater complexity. For example, the sense of coastal deformation varies not only between different earthquakes but also along strike for the same earthquake. In this work, by separately modelling the VER and afterslip processes of synthetic and real subduction earthquakes, we show that the vertical motion can be explained in a simple manner in the same conceptual framework as for the horizontal motion, although the vertical motion is more sensitive to details of the rheological structure and afterslip. VER results in a long-wavelength, tri-segment deformation pattern consisting of near-trench uplift, midway subsidence, and near-arc uplift. The near-trench uplift and midway subsidence follow coseismic uplift and subsidence, respectively, and are both controlled by the viscosity of the sub-slab oceanic mantle. The near-arc uplift results from viscoelastic relaxation in the presence of a cold and elastic forearc mantle wedge corner (the cold nose) and is controlled by the viscosity of the hot part of the mantle wedge beneath the arc and back arc (Luo & Wang, 2021). In contrast to VER, each afterslip patch results in a local bi-modal pattern of uplift and subsidence dominated by elastic deformation, with variable wavelengths depending on the location and size of the afterslip. The complexity in postseismic vertical motion arises mainly from the heterogeneity and site-specific nature of afterslip (Luo & Wang, 2022). If observations are made near the rupture area, the observed vertical postseismic motion can be very complex, because the effects of heterogeneous afterslip around or within the rupture zone can obscure or conceal the pattern of near-trench uplift and midway subsidence due to VER. Farther away from the rupture area, the observed postseismic deformation mainly reflects the contribution of VER, and near-arc uplift appears to be ubiquitous. Separating the common VER process and the site-specific afterslip effect helps to constrain mantle rheology and illuminate fault slip behaviour. Our work also has strong implications for deciphering paleoseismic estimates of coastal motion associated with ancient earthquakes to understand coseismic vs. postseismic contribution.

References:

Luo, H., & Wang, K. (2021). Postseismic geodetic signature of cold forearc mantle in subduction zones. Nature Geoscience, 14(2), 104-109. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-00679-9

Luo, H., & Wang, K. (2022). Finding simplicity in the complexity of postseismic coastal uplift and subsidence following great subduction earthquakes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 127(10), e2022JB024471. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JB024471

How to cite: Luo, H. and Wang, K.: Complex postseismic vertical motion following megathrust earthquakes explained by simple mechanisms, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-3007, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-3007, 2023.

Intermediate-depth and deep seismicity
15:15–15:25
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EGU23-2034
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
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Sam Wimpenny, Tim Craig, and Savvas Marcou

Changes in the frequency of intermediate-depth (60–300 km) earthquakes in response to static stress transfer can provide insights into the mechanisms of earthquake generation within subducting slabs. In this presentation, we will demonstrate that global and regional earthquake catalogues from Japan and northern Chile show that both aftershock productivity, and the changes in the frequency of intermediate-depth earthquakes around the timing of major megathrust slip, support the view that faults within the slab are relatively insensitive to static stress transfer on the order of earthquake stress drops. We interpret these results to suggest the population of faults within the slab are much further from their failure stress than is typical for shallow faults, and that the mechanism that enables faults to rupture at the high confining pressures within slabs is likely to be spatially heterogeneous over length-scales of a few tens of kilometres. We suggest dehydration-related weakening mechanisms can best account for this heterogeneity.

How to cite: Wimpenny, S., Craig, T., and Marcou, S.: A Re-examination of Temporal Variations in Intermediate-Depth Seismicity, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-2034, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-2034, 2023.

15:25–15:35
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EGU23-5748
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Teresa Ninivaggi, Giulio Selvaggi, Salvatore Mazza, Marilena Filippucci, Fabrizio Tursi, and Wojciech Czuba

We found a previously unreported later seismic phase from intermediate-depth and deep earthquakes of the Southern Tyrrhenian subduction zone recorded by European seismic stations. Later phases are useful to constrain local-scale discontinuities, especially in subduction zones, but their observation is infrequent, since it depends on seismic stations distribution and slab geometry. Their detection, therefore, is a great opportunity to improve our knowledge of subduction systems and Earth’s interior. They also represent a powerful mean to retrieve the chemical composition of such deep structures. 

We analysed thousands of waveforms of the strongest earthquakes occurred in the Southern Tyrrhenian subduction system and recorded by European seismic stations from 1990 to 2020. 

The unknown seismic phase is visible at stations from 6 to 9 degrees from the epicentre, towards the north. Only earthquakes located in a well-defined region of the slab, in the depth range of 215–320 km, generate this secondary phase. We built a direct 2D P-velocity model of the Tyrrhenian slab to reproduce observed travel times and ray paths of direct and later phases. We interpret the later phase as a compressional (P) wave that propagates downward in a narrow, high P-wave velocity layer within the deepest part of the subducting slab. We proprose that the high P-wave velocity layer in the subducting slab could be related to the presence of the dense hydrous magnesium silicate phase A, which is probably the main (meta) stable hydrous phase in the upper-mantle deep slab. Our findings provide further insights on the Southern Tyrrhenian slab structure and have also relevant implications on water transport in the Earth’s mantle and slab petrology.

How to cite: Ninivaggi, T., Selvaggi, G., Mazza, S., Filippucci, M., Tursi, F., and Czuba, W.: Evidence of water transport in the Earth’s mantle from an Undetected Seismic Phase in Waveforms from Southern Tyrrhenian (Italy) intermediate-depth and Deep Earthquakes, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-5748, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5748, 2023.

15:35–15:45
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EGU23-9869
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Nipaporn Nakrong, Marnie Forster, Hielke Jelsma, Wim Spakman, and Gordon Lister

We report preliminary results based on the construction of a new 3D model for the geometry of the subducted lithosphere of the Nazca Plate. This new 3D model differs from Slab2 in that it enables capture of the slab geometry in greater detail and allows the identification of previously unrecognised potential slab tears, both down-dip and along strike, as well as slab gaping as tears open. These differences in the inferred 3D structure emerge because previous models were excessively smoothed. Here we use the interpolation of line strings derived from the interpretation of individual cross-sections: a method that has the capacity to capture detail, and to accurately drape and thus derive a 3D geometry consistent with the observed hypocenter patterns, by using Delaunay triangulation alongside with 3D grid interpolation. The 3D slab morphology obtained provides insight into the interplay between subduction earthquakes at different depths. The variation in slab morphology reinforces the concept that the megathrust comprises distinct rupture segments that behave differently in terms of their overall seismotectonic behaviour. The slab morphology also links to changes in the broad geodynamics of the subduction zone, with links between shallow, intermediate, and deep seismicity that are consistent with variation in 3D slab morphology. It is also possible to explain the variation in surficial crustal tectonic processes in the context of geodynamic processes inferred to be taking place at depth in specific segments of the descending slab.

Surficial structures in the form of megathrust ruptures can be seen to be both a consequence of the highly segmented nature of the overriding plate, particularly in the Peruvian Andes, as well as the deeper variation in 3D slab morphology. For example, the inferred slab tears at the northern (Puna) edge and the southern (Payenia) edge of the Pampean segment may be explained as due to significant variation of the slab morphology and are reflected in changes in the characteristics of earthquake ruptures, and different tectonic modes in the supra-subduction zone lithosphere. Lineaments that separate the segments of the frontal megathrust also coincide with inherited surface fault systems on the South American plate. Clusters of intermediate extensional earthquakes weaken the lithosphere south of the Taltal Ridge (TR) and north of the Juan Fernandez Ridge (JFR). These structures mark the edge of the magmatically inactive plate interface due to the termination of magmatism in shallow dipping slab segments associated with the JFR, or in the flat slab of the Pampean segment.

How to cite: Nakrong, N., Forster, M., Jelsma, H., Spakman, W., and Lister, G.: Slab segmentation of the Nazca plate across the Juan Fernández Ridge, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-9869, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-9869, 2023.

Posters on site: Thu, 27 Apr, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X2

Chairpersons: Silvia Brizzi, Iris van Zelst
X2.249
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EGU23-1315
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ECS
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Alice Blackwell, Timothy Craig, and Sebastian Rost

Intermediate-depth earthquakes, accommodating intra-slab deformation, typically occur within subduction zone settings at depths between 40-350 km. High magnitude events can pose a significant hazard to populations, and increase the risk of damaged infrastructure, injury and fatality. Despite improvements in recorded seismic data density and quality, the distribution and controls of these events remain poorly understood. Here, we demonstrate an automatic method for the detection of depth phases from these intermediate-depth earthquakes using seismic array data, with the aim of determining their hypocentral depths and locations to a greater level of accuracy. These will allow new comparisons and insights into the governing controls on the distribution of earthquakes in subducted slabs.

Depth phases (near-source surface reflections, e.g. pP and sP) are crucial for the accurate determination of earthquake source depth using global seismic data, however, they suffer from poor signal-to-noise ratios in the P-wave coda. This reduces the ability to systematically measure differential travel times to the corresponding direct arrival, particularly for the frequent lower-magnitude seismicity which highlights considerable seismogenic regions of the subducted slabs. To address this limitation, we have developed an automated approach to group globally distributed stations at teleseismic distances into sub-arrays, before optimising and applying phase-weighted beamforming techniques to each sub-array. Resultant vespagrams allow automated picking algorithms to determine differential arrival times between the depth phases (pP, sP) and their corresponding direct P arrival. These are subsequently used to invert for a new hypocentre location. We demonstrate this method by relocating intermediate-depth events associated with the Peruvian flat slab region of the subducting Nazca plate.

How to cite: Blackwell, A., Craig, T., and Rost, S.: Earthquake relocation at intermediate depths using automatically detected teleseismic depth phases, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-1315, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-1315, 2023.

X2.250
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EGU23-4603
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ECS
Wan-Lin Hu, Shengji Wei, Lujia Feng, Shih-Han Hsiao, Kuo-En Ching, and Jyr-Ching Hu

While intraslab events in subducting oceanic slabs have been widely studied, intraslab earthquakes in slabs of continent-oceanic transition zones, where lithospheric rheology differs, remain little understood. Here, we investigate the 2006 Pingtung (southwestern Taiwan) offshore intraslab earthquake doublet (Mw 7.0 and Mw 6.9), striking around the northern Manila subduction zone, where the highly thinned continental crust subducts. The two main shocks were at the depth of ~40 – 60 km, below the local MOHO, and ~8 minutes apart. The several source models that have been proposed vary, and do not consider all available observations. In this study, we incorporate comprehensive datasets, including teleseismic body waves, regional broadband, near-field strong motion waveforms, and high-rate GNSS, to propose a new source model, and further discuss source characteristics in the regional tectonic context. We first determine a reliable near-field velocity model and the frequency ranges for waveform inversions by path calibration based on inverting a nearby Mw 5.6 aftershock. We then constrain the multiple point sources (MPS) solutions for both events. The location and fault planes from MPS are used to resolve slip distributions by finite fault inversions. We finally validate this slip model by the static coseismic displacement observed by the dense, near-field campaign GNSS and precise leveling. Our results show that the Mw 7.0 normal event ruptured a west-dipping fault at the depth of ~40 km, characterized by at least two major asperities. This rupture was followed by the deeper Mw 6.9 strike-slip event, located ~40 km to the north. The earthquake sequence was located around a failed rift indicated by seismic tomography and likely represented a reactivation of the faults formed in the mantle lithosphere during the continental rifting in the northern South China Sea margin. The doublet’s complex mechanisms could be explained by stress fields imposed by the subducting transitional crust.

How to cite: Hu, W.-L., Wei, S., Feng, L., Hsiao, S.-H., Ching, K.-E., and Hu, J.-C.: The 2006 Pingtung intraslab earthquake doublet offshore southwestern Taiwan: Complex normal and strike-slip faulting in the northern Manila subduction zone where the continent-oceanic transitional slab subducts, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-4603, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4603, 2023.

X2.251
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EGU23-6214
Ismay Vénice Akker, Whitney M. Behr, Luiz F.G. Morales, and Zoe Braden

The subduction interface is a shear zone that defines the boundary between two convergent tectonic plates, the subducting slab and its overriding upper plate. The rheological and seismic behavior of the plate interface is a function of interacting physicochemical processes such as metamorphic grade and mineral dehydration reactions. Here we study the role of initial oceanic crustal composition in controlling these low-grade (prehnite-pumpellyite facies) conditions, and investigating the potential links between composition, deformational styles and modes of fault slip along subduction megathrusts. Our study area is located on the Kenai Peninsula in southern Alaska where the Jurassic-Cretaceous Chugach accretionary complex is preserved. This complex comprises underplated slices of basaltic oceanic crust and sedimentary material. We compare two field sites at similar metamorphic temperatures that each represent an interface shear zone: a basalt dominated section and a sediment-rich section. Raman spectroscopy to determine graphite crystallinity and deformation temperatures, combined with detrital zircon dating (U-Pb) are examined as function of structural depth and provide constraints on the metamorphic conditions and timing of underplating, and the peak temperature reached in underplated slices. Observations from field work and drone imaging shows that the sediment-rich interface shear zone includes a chert-argillite mélange zone of up to 15-m thick. Within this mélange, greywacke blocks occur and are surrounded by brittle-deformed and heavily veined basalt and/or greywacke slabs. The basalt dominated section includes several localized duplex faults. The fault planes are much narrower fault surfaces (< 5 cm thicknesses) and are decorated by highly orientated laths of chlorite. Microstructural observations will allow us to decipher the microphysical deformation mechanisms. Comparing the deformation structures and mechanisms at these two sites provides new insights into the compositional control on the rheology of the subduction interface.

How to cite: Akker, I. V., Behr, W. M., Morales, L. F. G., and Braden, Z.: The role of sediments in the mechanics of the subduction plate interface – Chugach accretionary prism Alaska, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-6214, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6214, 2023.

X2.252
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EGU23-6754
Tatsuya Ishiyama, Toshimichi Nakanishi, Daisuke Hirouchi, Nobuhisa Matsuta, Naoko Kato, and Hiroshi Sato

We show new geomorphic and geologic evidence for historical activity of the onshore deformation front of the Nankai subduction zone, constrained by Holocene tectonic geomorphology, high-resolution borehole stratigraphy, and seismic reflection profile.  Borehole transect across a newly recognized late Holocene fold scarp contains middle to late Holocene fluvial sedimentary units. Structures of these units correlated based on sedimentary facies, diatom assemblages and radiocarbon dating illuminates that around 12-15th century to middle Holocene units are repeatedly folded and cut by a shallowly dipping thrust fault, suggesting multiple seismic events.  In addition, a new high-resolution seismic reflection profile suggests that these structures are associated with west-dipping imbricate thrust faults comprising a deformation front of the onshore subduction zone. This historical fault activity is also consistent with land use changes linked with pre- and post-earthquake flood events revealed by geographic analysis on early-modern maps drawn in early to middle 19th century and contemporaneous documents.  These multidisciplinary observations suggest that the onshore deformation front activated during the AD 1854 Ansei Tokai megathrust earthquake (M8.4),  the most recent historical event,  comprising the northern end of the ruptured area. 

How to cite: Ishiyama, T., Nakanishi, T., Hirouchi, D., Matsuta, N., Kato, N., and Sato, H.: Historical activity of an onshore subduction thrust and related geomorphic changes, northeastern Nankai subduction zone, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-6754, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6754, 2023.

X2.253
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EGU23-7253
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ECS
Celine Marsman, Femke Vossepoel, Ylona van Dinther, Mario D'Acquisto, and Rob Govers

Geodetic observations of 3-component surface motions following a megathrust earthquake are key to a better understanding of features and processes controlling the dynamics at subduction margins. The relative contributions of dominant drivers during the postseismic phase, such as viscoelastic relaxation, afterslip, and relocking, remain difficult to estimate individually and are often derived at the end of an observation period, without showing the temporal evolution of the processes. Data assimilation combines physical models with observations, and can be a way to constrain these contributions by estimation of model parameters, the associated uncertainties, and identifying parameter tradeoffs. We use Bayesian inference in the form of an ensemble smoother to estimate geodynamic parameters during the postseismic phase of the megathrust earthquake cycle. The ensemble smoother uses a Monte Carlo approach to represent the probability density distribution (pdf) of model states with a finite number of realizations. Prior estimates of the imperfect physical model are combined with the likelihood of noisy observations to estimate the posterior pdf of model parameters. We first discuss a synthetic data experiment where observations are sampled from a 3D earthquake cycle model and where we added variable levels of noise. We assimilate 3-component surface displacements into a 2D finite element viscoelastic earthquake cycle model. We incorporate an a priori heterogeneous temperature field to estimate the asthenospheric viscosity distribution through power-law parameters (e.g., stress power). Preliminary results show that model parameters, such as the extent of the cold nose, maximum depth of afterslip, and power-law parameters can be recovered remarkably well by assimilating synthetic on- and offshore surface observations. We show preliminary results of data assimilation of postseismic surface displacements following the 2011 Tohoku earthquake.

How to cite: Marsman, C., Vossepoel, F., van Dinther, Y., D'Acquisto, M., and Govers, R.: Probabilistic estimation of postseismic relaxation parameters and processes following the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-7253, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-7253, 2023.

X2.254
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EGU23-11030
Ching-Yu Cheng, Chin-Shang Ku, Yu-Ting Kuo, Hao Kuo-Chen, Bor-Shouh Huang, and Yue-Gau Chen

Mw 6.3 and 6.0 earthquakes occurred on January 27 and 29 in 2020 in the southeastern Solomon Islands which is one of the most seismically active areas in the southern Pacific. To investigate the seismogenic mechanism and structure of the southeastern Solomon Islands, we locate the foreshocks-main-shock-aftershocks sequence of two moderate earthquakes recorded by the regional seismic network. In this study, we establish the new database and locate earthquakes for analyzing the seismogenic structures and deriving the new regional 1D velocity model. Based on the special distribution of the foreshock-aftershock sequence, the interaction of subduction and transform zones between the Pacific and the Australia Plates leads to the near-vertical dip-slip tear structure in the southeastern Solomon Islands. Confirmed with PREM and the new 1D velocity model for testing the robustness of the earthquake locations, the seismic gap at depths from 25 to 35 km is observed as the “jelly sandwich” rheology. In addition, seismic events with large-amplitude, high-frequency signals could be observed in the fore-arc area is due to waves that guided by the subducted Australia plate. In order to improve the capability of earthquake detection, we generate templates from foreshocks-aftershocks sequence to detect repeating or near-repeating seismicity. Our study provides unprecedented seismic data and velocity model for the study area that could benefit understanding detailed structure beneath the region and promoting the initial reference model for locating earthquakes and seismic tomography.

How to cite: Cheng, C.-Y., Ku, C.-S., Kuo, Y.-T., Kuo-Chen, H., Huang, B.-S., and Chen, Y.-G.: A near-vertical slab tear in southeastern Solomon Islands, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-11030, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11030, 2023.