Quantifying Uncertainty in Lagrangian Transport for Assessing Environmental Problems

In this presentation, I will describe a maritime oil spill case that affected the Eastern Mediterranean and several Middle Eastern countries' shorelines in early 2021 [1]. The sequence of events was successfully reconstructed, supported by remote sensing images and Lagrangian Coherent Structures. The comparison of the performance of various datasets found connections between Lagrangian Coherent Structures and Uncertainty Quantification [2].

Acknowledgments

Support from PIE project Ref. 202250E001 funded by CSIC, from grant PID2021-123348OB-I00 funded by MCIN/ AEI /10.13039/501100011033/ and by FEDER A way for making Europe.

References

[1] G. García-Sánchez, A. M. Mancho, A. G. Ramos, J. Coca, S. Wiggins. Structured pathways in the turbulence organizing recent oil spill events in the Eastern Mediterranean.   Scientific Reports 12, 3662 (2022).

[2] G. Garcia-Sanchez, A.M. Mancho, M. Agaoglou, S. Wiggins. New links between invariant dynamical structures and uncertainty quantification. Physica D 453, 133826 (2023).