Permian-Triassic CO2 before, during and after the mass extinction

The study of mass extinctions is invaluable for understanding the effects of extreme environmental change on the different components of the Earth system and their responses and implications. Growing interest in extinctions, combined with new field evidence and analytical breakthroughs over recent years, has enabled us to zoom into individual events, construct their high-resolution chronologies and proxy records and start untangling their cause mechanisms from consequences. This is fundamental to progressing our knowledge, however, how far can we zoom in without overlooking the wider context? To what extent does the prior background climate state influence the outcome and magnitude of an extinction? For example, how would our understanding of the Permian-Triassic mass extinction change if we were to find the late Permian had low or high background CO₂? And what was CO₂’s fate in its aftermath? We present a new multi-million-year boron isotope-derived record of ocean pH and atmospheric CO₂ spanning the Permian-Triassic, which allows us to establish the climate conditions before and after the mass extinction, as well as during the eruption of the Siberian Traps Large Igneous Province (LIPs) considered the ultimate cause (i.e. the trigger) of the extinction. We discuss the implications of our new CO₂ record, and more broadly reflect on the role of background climate as a generalizable component of extinctions.