EGU24-12715, updated on 09 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12715
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Explainable AI for GNSS Reflectometry: Investigating Feature Importance for Ocean Wind Speed Estimation

Tianqi Xiao1,2, Milad Asgarimehr1,2, Caroline Arnold3, Daixin Zhao4,5, Lichao Mou4, and Jens Wickert1,2
Tianqi Xiao et al.
  • 1German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
  • 2Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
  • 3German Climate Computing Center, Hamburg, Germany
  • 4Technische Universität München, Munich, Germany
  • 5German Aerospace Center, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany

Spaceborne GNSS Reflectometry (GNSS-R) is a novel remote sensing technique providing accumulating data volume with global coverage and enhanced temporal resolution. The reflected pre-existing L-Band signal of opportunity transmitted by the Global Navigation Satellite System contains information about the reflection surface properties which can be quantified and converted into data products for further studies. To retrieve such information, Artificial intelligence (AI) models are implemented to estimate geophysical parameters based on the GNSS-R observations. With more and more complex deep learning models being proposed and more and more input features being considered, understanding the decision-making process of the models and the contributions of the input features becomes as important as enhancing the model output accuracy.

This study explores the potential of the Explainable AI (XAI) to decode complex deep learning models for ocean surface wind speed estimation trained by the Cyclone GNSS (CYGNSS) observations. The input feature importance is evaluated by applying the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) Gradient Explainer to the model on an unseen dataset. By analyzing the SHAP value of each input feature, we find that in addition to the two known parameters that are used in the operational wind speed retrieval algorithm, other scientific and technical ancillary parameters, such as the orientation of the satellite and the signal power information are also useful for the model.

We seek to offer a better understanding of the deep learning models for estimating ocean wind speed using GNSS-R data and explore the potential features for more accurate retrieval. In addition to building an efficient model with effective inputs, XAI also helps us to discover the important factors found by models which can enhance the physical understanding of the GNSS-R mechanism.

How to cite: Xiao, T., Asgarimehr, M., Arnold, C., Zhao, D., Mou, L., and Wickert, J.: Explainable AI for GNSS Reflectometry: Investigating Feature Importance for Ocean Wind Speed Estimation, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12715, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12715, 2024.