Two extremes: Investigating the impact of the co-occurrence of medicanes and marine heatwaves in the Mediterranean Sea.

The oceans are steadily warming, which affects global weather and climate and leads to an increase in extreme events such as storms, hurricanes and marine heatwaves (MHWs). Future warming scenarios predict an increase in the frequency and intensity of such events. In the Mediterranean region, both extratropical cyclones and occasional Mediterranean hurricanes (medicanes) occur, causing considerable damage to infrastructure and major socio-economic losses in coastal regions. Using ERA-5 atmospheric reanalysis data and satellite-derived sea surface temperatures (SST), this study looks at medicanes that occurred between 2011 and 2023 and examines their characteristics and impacts on the water column. The interaction with simultaneous MHWs in the Mediterranean is also investigated. A total of 15 medicanes occurred during the study period. Of these, 5 occurred in the western Mediterranean (WMed), mainly in November; 9 in the central Mediterranean and Ionian (CMed) between September and December, two of which terminated in the eastern basin; and 1 event was localised entirely in the eastern Mediterranean (EMed) in October. During the study period, 2014 recorded the highest number of medicanes with three events. One event, Ilona, occurred in January in the WMed, while the other two events, Qendresa and Xandra, occurred in November in the CMed and WMed respectively. Two events took place in both 2020 and 2021. In 2020, both Ianos in September and Elaina in December were in the CMed. In 2021, the CMed and WMed witnessed the passage of Apollo in October and Blas in November respectively. In the 15 medicanes, the mean sea level pressure (MSLP) was between 988 and 1005 hPa, while the wind speeds (Ws) were between 17 and 23 m/s. Among the events, Ilona in January 2014 had the lowest MSLP and highest Ws and the lowest associated MSLP anomaly. Of the 15 events, 11 (73%) were associated with anomalously high sea surface temperatures (SSTA) and five of these SSTAs were defined as MHW events. Moreover, the high SST anomalies were observed three or more days before the onset of these medicanes, which may have contributed to the intensification of the passing storms and amplified their impact through air-sea heat exchange. In turn, the medicanes were also observed to influence the MHWs, as the heat released from the ocean during the medicanes prevented the MHWs from deepening beyond the surface layer, demonstrating a dynamic interplay between these events. In summary, as the oceans warm, medicanes and MHWs in the Mediterranean increase, with complex interactions determining their behavior and impacts. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for predicting and mitigating the impacts of these events on marine ecosystems and coastal regions.