EGU24-13848, updated on 09 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13848
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

The Development of Forecasting System Flood Travel Time by Dam Release for Supplying Flood Information Using Deep Learning at Flood Alert Stations in the Seomjin River Basin

Jieun Kang, Gayeong Lee, Sooho Park, Chunggil Jung, and Juyeong Yu
Jieun Kang et al.
  • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Graduate School, Chonnam National University, Korea, Republic of (kjieun486@hanmail.net)

We propose a hybrid deep learning model that combines long short-term memory networks (LSTMs) to capture both spatial and temporal dependencies in the river system. The LSTM component processes spatial information derived from topographical data and river network characteristics, allowing the model to understand the physical layout of the river basin. Simultaneously, the LSTM component exploits temporal patterns in historical dam release and rainfall data, enabling the model to discern the dynamics of flood propagation. In comparison of previous study, previous results accepted only hydrological models such as HECRAS, FLDWAV, FLUMEN. But, this study accept combination of HECRAS and Deep Learning algorithm, LSTM. The goal of this study is to predict the river highest level and travel time by dam release 3 to 6 hours in advance throughout the Seomjin river basin. In order to achieve, this study conducted hydrological modeling (HECRAS) and developed a deep learning algorithm (LSTM). Afterward, the developed model combining HECRAS and LSTM was verified at six flood alert stations. Finally, the models will provide the river highest level and travel time information up to 6 hours in advance at six flood alert stations. To train and validate the model, we compile a comprehensive dataset of historical dam release events and corresponding flood travel times from a range of river basins. The dataset includes various hydrological and meteorological features to ensure the model's robustness in handling diverse scenarios. The deep learning model is then trained using a subset of the data and validated against unseen events to assess its generalization capabilities. Preliminary results indicate that the hybrid HECRAS-LSTM model outperforms traditional hydrological models in predicting flood travel times. The model exhibits improved accuracy, particularly in cases of complex river geometries and extreme weather events. Additionally, the model demonstrates its potential for real-time forecasting, as it can efficiently process and assimilate incoming data. In conclusion, our study showcases the effectiveness of using a hybrid HECRAS-LSTM model for forecasting flood travel time by dam release. By leveraging the power of deep learning, we pave the way for more precise and reliable flood predictions, contributing to the overall resilience and safety of communities located downstream of dam-controlled river systems.

How to cite: Kang, J., Lee, G., Park, S., Jung, C., and Yu, J.: The Development of Forecasting System Flood Travel Time by Dam Release for Supplying Flood Information Using Deep Learning at Flood Alert Stations in the Seomjin River Basin, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13848, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13848, 2024.