EGU24-14039, updated on 09 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14039
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Historical changes in the seasonality and timing of extreme precipitation events

Gaby Gründemann1,2, Enrico Zorzetto3, Nick van de Giesen2, and Ruud van der Ent2
Gaby Gründemann et al.
  • 1University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada (gaby.grundemann@ucalgary.ca)
  • 2Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands
  • 3New Mexico Tech, Socorro, United States
Global warming alters the hydrological cycle, influencing the seasonality and timing of extreme precipitation events. Understanding historical changes in the occurrence of extreme precipitation is important for assessing their effects. This study examines the timing and seasonality of extreme precipitation using 63 years of ERA5 data. By using relative entropy, we can assess changes in extreme daily precipitation occurrence on the global domain. Findings show notable regional differences. In the second half of the 20th century, Africa and Asia had high clustering of extreme precipitation events. Over 60 years, clustering intensified in Africa but became more spread out in Asia. North America and Australia, initially with less clustering, saw slight increases. Extreme precipitation events in extra-tropical land regions mainly occurred in summer, with minor shifts in timing. These results are important for improving risk management for hazards like flash floods and landslides and highlight the need for region-specific strategies in adapting to these changes.

How to cite: Gründemann, G., Zorzetto, E., van de Giesen, N., and van der Ent, R.: Historical changes in the seasonality and timing of extreme precipitation events, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-14039, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14039, 2024.