Exploring Mantle Dynamics of the Cascadia Subduction System through Anisotropic Tomography with Transdimensional Inference Methods

The Cascadia subduction system is an ideal location to investigate the nature of mantle flow and associated driving forces at a convergent margin owing to the dense network of on- and off-shore seismic instrumentation. While numerous shear wave splitting and tomography studies have been performed with these data, they have produced conflicting views of mantle dynamics collectively referred to as the Cascadia Paradox. On the overriding plate, splitting observations are consistent with large-scale 3D toroidal flow while off-shore splitting patterns are more easily explained by 2D plate-driven flow. Either geometry is difficult to reconcile with seismic tomographic models that image a fragmented Juan de Fuca slab descending beneath the Western USA. However, these observations offer only an incomplete image of Cascadia mantle structure. Shear wave splitting provides a depth integrated view of anisotropic fabrics making inferences regarding the 3D nature of mantle deformation difficult. Prior high-resolution body wave tomography typically neglects anisotropic effects which can in turn yield significant isotropic imaging artefacts that complicate model interpretation. To overcome these limitations, we invert P-wave delay times for a 3D hexagonally anisotropic model with arbitrarily oriented symmetry axes using the reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. This stochastic imaging approach is particularly well-suited to the highly non-linear and under-determined nature of the anisotropic seismic tomography problem. The resulting ensemble of solutions allows us to rigorously assess model parameter uncertainties and trade-off between isotropic and anisotropic heterogeneity. We investigate whether the fragmented nature of the subducted Juan de Fuca slab is a well-resolved feature and to what extent its geometry trades off with anisotropic parameters. In light of our new 3D anisotropic model, we re-evaluate the Cascadia Paradox and attempt to reconcile disparate views of Western USA mantle dynamics.