Shifting nitrate seasonality along decades of anthropogenic impact in western European catchments

Nitrate pollution in streams, although attempts have been made to combat it, remains a persistent problem, especially in highly anthropogenically impacted landscapes such as Western Europe. Nitrate concentrations and discharge typically vary with the seasons, as does the vulnerability of water bodies to high nitrate inputs. However, the degree of variability and seasonal timing vary in space and time while nitrate inputs in catchments have undergone drastic long-term changes. The changing N sources and distribution in the catchments and their variable hydrological activation suggest that different nitrate seasonality has emerged across catchments over the decades. In this study, we hypothesize that nitrate concentrations respond faster to changes in input during the high-flow season than during the low-flow season, as shallow sources are typically activated during high flow and are the first to be affected by changes in management. To test this hypothesis, we propose a hysteresis approach of long-term nitrate seasonality during low- and high-flow seasons, which we applied in 290 catchments in Germany and France with nitrate and discharge time series of 20 or more years. Our results show that in the majority of catchments, nitrate and discharge vary synchronously with peaks in winter. Deviating average nitrate-discharge typologies could be linked to topography and hydroclimatic seasonality as well as to the regionally characteristic source heterogeneity and lithology in northwestern France. Contrary to our hypothesis, we found both types of trajectories with preceding high-flow and low-flow nitrate concentrations were equally present. We could exemplarily show high-flow concentrations responded first in an agricultural catchment and low-flow concentrations reacted first in a more point source intense catchment. However, across the large number of catchments, consistency was not observed suggesting higher complexity of interacting processes. In a further step, we plan to investigate the long-term trajectories of phosphorus to account for the ratios of the major nutrients affecting the resulting impact of land-stream transfer processes on eutrophication.

References: Ebeling, P., Dupas, R., Abbott, B., Kumar, R., Ehrhardt, S., Fleckenstein, J. H., & Musolff, A. (2021). Long-term nitrate trajectories vary by season in Western European catchments. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 35, e2021GB007050. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GB007050