Do earthquakes cause more damage in the summer?

Shallow soft sedimentary layers overlaying harder bedrock are known to amplify ground motion generated by earthquakes. Such an amplification occurs when seismic waves travel from high impedance (density times wave speed) to low impedance layers. Large impedance contrasts can lead to substantially larger earthquake damages. As the impedance contrast determines the amplification factor, variations in shallow shear-wave speed contribute directly to changes in site amplification.

Seasonal temperature fluctuations have been shown to induce shear-wave speed variations and, hence, affect site amplification factors. This naturally leads to the question: is the strength of earthquake damage season dependent? In this study we model by how much seasonal temperature variations affect site amplification. The site-specific physical properties determine whether site amplification is more pronounced during summer or winter. For parameters from the Groningen region of the Netherlands, affected by the gas extraction induced seismicity, we expect in the summer a relative increase in amplification of 8% with respect to the amplification factor in the winter.