Eurasian plate-scale stress model considering driving and resistive forces

Our goal is to constrain magnitudes and directions of forces that may explain present-day natural stresses within the Eurasian plate. Driving forces such as horizontal gravitational stresses (HGSs), mantle convective tractions including dynamic topography, and plate interaction tractions with bounding plates are considered. HGS resulting from lateral variations in gravitational potential energy are particularly relevant in the context of the Eurasian plate because there are no major slabs attached to it (i.e., no slab pull force). We illustrate that recently published models of lithospheric density including lateral variations in the lithosphere-asthenosphere boundary result in significantly different HGSs. Furthermore, we include observed major faults into a 2D spherical cap elastic model of the Eurasian plate. We present results of forward FEM calculations and compare them with observed stress directions from the world stress map. We propose different objective functions that determine the misfit of the modelled and observed stresses, fault slip directions, and magnitudes, the deviation of the net torque on the plate from zero, and the model representation error. Our analysis represents a first step towards a Bayesian inference workflow to constrain the dynamics of the Eurasian plate.