EGU24-22156, updated on 11 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-22156
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

FracAbility: A python toolbox for survival analysis in fractured rock systems

Gabriele Benedetti, Stefano Casiraghi, Andrea Bistacchi, and Daniela Bertacchi
Gabriele Benedetti et al.
  • Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, Dipartimento di Scienze dell’Ambiente e della Terra, Milano, Italy (g.benedetti6@campus.unimib.it)

When analysing fractured rock outcrops, the fracture network's topology and length statistics are of fundamental importance. Past literature focused on adopting a non-parametric approach for the unbiased estimation of fracture length data mean, and with some additional steps, the variance of a population. However, technology improved, and necessities shifted. Now it is possible to quickly obtain dense length datasets with thousands of measurements and the emergence of stochastic DFNs increased the demand for parametric solutions to correctly fit several types of distributions. These conditions highlighted an absence of works on these topics. Of particular interest is the right censoring bias effect of the interpretational boundary on the fracture length statistics. We tackle this problem by applying survival analysis techniques, a branch of statistics that includes methods for modelling time to event data and correctly estimating the model’s parameters with data affected by censoring. Synthetic testing has been carried out, showing a reliable estimate of the distribution parameters with up to 80% of the total measurements being censored. Moreover, it is shown that the correction is independent from the orientation of the fracture set or boundary geometry. We propose FracAbility, a new open-source Python package capable to both analyse the topology of fracture networks and, by using the latest SciPy version, correctly fit different parametrical distributions on length data with right censored measurements. The library and the proposed approach have been applied to real world data, successfully correcting length distributions affected by censoring.

How to cite: Benedetti, G., Casiraghi, S., Bistacchi, A., and Bertacchi, D.: FracAbility: A python toolbox for survival analysis in fractured rock systems, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-22156, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-22156, 2024.

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