EGU24-2377, updated on 08 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-2377
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Multivariate state and parameter estimation using data assimilation in a Maxwell-Elasto-Brittle sea ice model

Yumeng Chen1, Polly Smith, Alberto Carrassi2, Ivo Pasmans1, Laurent Bertino3, Marc Bocquet4, Tobias Sebastian Finn4, Pierre Rampal5, and Véronique Dansereau6
Yumeng Chen et al.
  • 1University of Reading, National Centre for Earth Observation, Department of Meteorology, United Kingdom of Great Britain – England, Scotland, Wales (yumeng.chen@reading.ac.uk)
  • 2Department of Physics and Astronomy “Augusto Righi", University of Bologna. Bologna, Italy
  • 3Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, 5007 Bergen, Norway
  • 4CEREA, École des Ponts and EDF R&D, Île-de-France, France
  • 5Institut de Géophysique de l’Environnement, Université Grenoble Alpes/CNRS/IRD/G-INP, CS 40700, 38 058 Grenoble CEDEX 9, France
  • 6Université Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Grenoble INP, Laboratoire 3SR, Grenoble, France

In an idealised setup, a dynamics-only sea ice model is used to investigate the fully multivariate state and parameter estimations that uses a novel Maxwell-Elasto-Brittle (MEB) sea ice rheology. In the fully multivariate state estimation, the level of damage, internal stress and cohesion are estimated along with the observed sea ice concentration, thickness and velocity. In the case of parameter estimation, we estimate the air drag coefficient and the damage parameter of the MEB model. The air drag coefficients adjust the strength of the forcing on the sea ice dynamics while the damage parameter controls the mechanical behaviour of the internal property of sea ice. We show that, with the current observation network, it is possible to improve all model state forecast and the parameter accuracy using data assimilation approaches even though problems could arise in such an idealised setup where the external forcing dominates the model forecast error growth.

How to cite: Chen, Y., Smith, P., Carrassi, A., Pasmans, I., Bertino, L., Bocquet, M., Finn, T. S., Rampal, P., and Dansereau, V.: Multivariate state and parameter estimation using data assimilation in a Maxwell-Elasto-Brittle sea ice model, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-2377, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-2377, 2024.