Salinity Change and Its Implications for Ocean Stratification in the Tropical Pacific under Global Warming

The climatological mean and trend of salinity change evidently due to the acceleration of hydrological cycle under global warming. However, no systematic research has been focused on the decadal and long-term changes of salinity and their contributions to ocean stratification during 1940-2019. In this study, the nonlinear trend of salinity is firstly exacted using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition method, and the corresponding long-term trends and their impacts on stratification in the tropical Pacific are analyzed emphatically. The results confirm that the sea surface water becomes fresher in the tropical western Pacific and southern Pacific convergence zone, while saltier in the southeastern Pacific under global warming. Moreover, the salinity changes are regional- and time-dependent, which the salinity trends in different regions of the tropical Pacific show differences at different periods responding to SST trend. As results, under the combined effects of temperature and salinity, the sea surface density reduces significantly in the tropical Pacific, with the largest reduction centered in the warm pool, while the subsurface density in the tropical western Pacific increases. These opposite changes enhance the contrast for the density between the surface and the subsurface water, leading to more stable ocean stratification. Then, the mixed layer becomes shallower near the equatorial dateline and deeper in the warm pool, mainly due to salinity variations. Salinity and temperature contribute differently to the variations of barrier layer thickness in different regions, where the changes of salinity (temperature) correspond to the thickening of barrier layer located at 160°E east (west). It is suggested that the salinity variations in the Pacific affect the ocean thermodynamic processes under global warming, which then modulate the climate variability.