Chloride Trends in the Fox River watershed: Stratton Dam to Illinois River

Applying road salt to melt ice on urban roads and pavements has raised the chloride levels in streams and rivers in the U.S. over time, which can damage aquatic life. High chloride levels in the waterbodies of the Fox River watershed, where one-third of the land is urban, are mainly caused by road salt application for deicing. This study analyzed how the chloride levels changed over the years and seasons in the Fox River watershed – from Stratton Dam to Illinois River. The Seasonal Kendall Tau (SKT) method was used to estimate the annual and seasonal trends in chloride concentration at 44 monitoring sites on the Fox River and its tributaries for three time periods (2017–2021, 2012–2021, and 1997–2021), after conducting exploratory data analysis and assessing the data suitability. The chloride concentration in the watershed varied over time, space, and season. From 2012 to 2021, it declined or remained stable at most of the monitoring sites, but it rose slightly from 1997 to 2021. The 5-year trend from 2017 to 2021 was similar, except that some sites showed an increase in summer and fall. The chloride concentration along the Fox River and Tyler Creek showed a longitudinal pattern, decreasing from upstream to downstream in most seasons and periods, except for the 5-year annual and fall trends, which increased. Weighted Regression on Time Discharge and Season (WRTDS) models were developed to estimate the trends in flow-normalized chloride flux for one site on the Fox River and two sites on its tributaries with daily flow data. The resulting trends indicate that the chloride fluxes dropped significantly at the Fox River and Polar Creek sites, mainly in the winter of 2012–2021. However, the site on Blackberry Creek had an opposite trend of increasing chloride flux, except for the winter flux, which also declined. Trends in selected streamflow statistics including mean, 7-day minimum, and 1-day maximum flows were also analyzed for the three monitoring sites to provide insight into how hydrologic variability affects chloride trends. The trends in annual and seasonal flow statistics exhibited a steep slope for low flows but a gradual slope for high flows, indicating more variability in the low flow statistics during the periods of analysis. The changes in chloride concentration and flux were partly related to the changes in flow, but other factors affecting water quality, such as watershed conservation, may also play a role. Assessing trends over distinct periods provides a nuanced understanding of how mitigation strategies may influence water quality improvements through the years and serves as a crucial guide for initiatives aimed at enhancing the overall health of the Fox River ecosystem. Choosing deicing methods that balance cost, performance, and environmental impacts should be a vital part of a mitigation plan. Moreover, monitoring and evaluating trends can help assess the current status of chloride levels in the watershed and inform future actions.