EGU24-3902, updated on 08 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3902
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Strong contribution from sensible heat to global precipitation increase by climate models is not supported by observational based data. 

Gunnar Myhre and Caroline Jouan
Gunnar Myhre and Caroline Jouan
  • CICERO, CICERO, Norway (gunnar.myhre@cicero.oslo.no)

It has previously been shown that trends in sensible heat from climate models have had a substantial contribution to global precipitation changes. We illustrate that this is the case also in the most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). However, we find that over the period since 1980 reanalysis do not support the reduction in sensible heat from the CMIP6 models and rather estimate a global increase in sensible heat which would contribute to a precipitation reduction. Satellite data over a period of 2 decades over global ocean similarly to reanalysis show an opposite sign of the sensible heat trend to the CMIP6 models.

How to cite: Myhre, G. and Jouan, C.: Strong contribution from sensible heat to global precipitation increase by climate models is not supported by observational based data. , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-3902, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3902, 2024.