EGU24-5106, updated on 08 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5106
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Relation between Latitude-dependent Sunspot Data and Near-Earth Solar Wind Speed

qirong Jiao1,2, wenlong liu1,2, dianjun zhang1,2, and jinbin cao1,2
qirong Jiao et al.
  • 1School of Space and Environment, Beihang University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
  • 2Key Laboratory of Space Environment Monitoring and Information Processing of MIIT, Beihang University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China

Solar wind is important for the space environment between the Sun and the Earth and varies with the sunspot cycle, which is influenced by solar internal dynamics. We study the impact of latitude-dependent sunspot data on solar wind speed using the Granger causality test method and a machine-learning prediction approach. The results show that the low-latitude sunspot number has a larger effect on the solar wind speed. The time delay between the annual average solar wind speed and sunspot number decreases as the latitude range decreases. A machine-learning model is developed for the prediction of solar wind speed considering latitude and time effects. It is found that the model performs differently with latitude-dependent sunspot data. It is revealed that the timescale of the solar wind speed is more strongly influenced by low-latitude sunspots and that sunspot data have a greater impact on the 30 day average solar wind speed than on a daily basis. With the addition of sunspot data below 7.°2 latitude, the prediction of the daily and 30 day averages is improved by 0.23% and 12%, respectively. The best correlation coefficient is 0.787 for the daily solar wind prediction model. 

How to cite: Jiao, Q., liu, W., zhang, D., and cao, J.: Relation between Latitude-dependent Sunspot Data and Near-Earth Solar Wind Speed, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-5106, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5106, 2024.