Statistical study of multi-spacecraft events and shocks observed in solar cycle 25

Predictions of the intensities of solar particle events are often fraught with uncertainties. Insufficient knowledge and understanding of the solar sources of the particles, and the conditions in the corona and in the inner heliosphere, as well as magnetic connectivity, have been limiting factors in making further progress.
This presentation covers a study done by one of the Work Packages of the SERPENTINE project, and is based on the analysis of lists prepared by two other work packages of the same project, and logically consists of two parts.
In the first part we performed a statistical analysis of a list of 45 multi-spacecraft events in solar cycle 25 observed by five spacecraft located in the inner Heliosphere (Solar Orbiter, Parker Solar Probe, Stereo A, Bepi Colombo), and one located at 1 AU close to the Earth (SOHO or Wind). The list, while prepared with a focus on the detection of protons above 25 MeV by two or more spacecraft, contains also information about electron observations around 100 keV and 1 MeV, respectively.  Aiming to investigate the processes which are responsible for spreading energetic particles in longitude and latitude, and to estimate the importance of perpendicular diffusion in the latitudinal direction, we considered, together with other parameters, not only the longitudinal distances to the source, but also the differences in the total angle. In this part of our study we used methods such as correlation analysis and principal component analysis, and applied them to the list as a whole, as well as to different types of events. For example, we found that in the case of narrow-spread events perpendicular diffusion is sufficient to explain the spreading of particles from the solar source into the heliosphere, while in the case of wide-spread events an additional acceleration source is needed. We also evaluated the role of the speeds and sizes of the associated coronal mass ejections, as well as features of EUV waves appearing in the events, and relate different types of microwave (radio) emission to different groups of events.
In the second part of this work we performed a statistical analysis of a list of 61 interplanetary shocks, observed by Solar Orbiter.  By using a superposed epoch analysis, we built a statistical picture of ion time profiles around the shock front in several energy ranges. We also investigated which shock parameters are more important for particle energization by propagating interplanetary shocks, particularly in the case of an overlap in these lists.

This study has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No. 101004159 (SERPENTINE).