Optimizing Maximum Height Inferences through Neural Networks for the Spanish Tsunami Early Warning System
- 1University of Málaga, Departamento de Análisis Matemático, Estadística e Investigación Operativa y Matemática Aplicada, Málaga, Spain (juanrg@uma.es)
- 2Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia INGV, Sezione di Pisa, Via Cesare Battisti, 53, Pisa 56125, Italy
- 3National Geographic Institute of Spain, E-28003 Madrid, Spain
Tsunami Early Warning Systems (TEWS) play a crucial role in minimizing the impact of tsunamis on coastal communities globally. In the NEAM region (North-East Atlantic, the Mediterranean, and connected Seas), historical approaches involve using Decision Matrices and precomputed databases due to the short time between tsunami generation and coastal impact. Overcoming real-time simulation challenges, the EDANYA group at the University of Málaga developed Tsunami-HySEA, a GPU code enabling Faster Than Real Time (FTRT) tsunami simulations. This code is successfully implemented and tested in TEWS of countries like Spain, Italy, and Chile, this code has undergone rigorous verification and validation processes.
In collaboration with the National Geographic Institute of Spain, we have extended the work previously done where we take advantage of the machine learning techniques and proposed a first approach to the use of neural networks (NN) to predict the maximum wave height and arrival time of tsunamis in the context of TEWS with very good results. This approach offers the advantage of minimal inference time and can be executed on any computer. It accommodates uncertain input data, delivering results within seconds.
As tsunamis are rare events, numerical simulations using the Tsunami-HySEA are used to train the NN model. This phase demands numerous simulations, necessitating substantial High-Performance Computing (HPC) resources. Approximately 300,000 simulations have been done to cover different faults in the Atlantic Ocean.
The goal is to develop neural network models for predicting the maximum wave height of such tsunamis at multiple coastal locations simultaneously. To cover Huelva and Cádiz coast, 78 points in the coastline have been selected for their predictions. The main importance of this work is that the models developed will be implemented in the Spanish TEWS which will produce an estimation of the tsunami impact in seconds.
Acknowledgements
- This project has received funding from the European High-Performance Computing Joint Undertaking (JU) through the projects eFlows4HPC (No 955558) and ChEESE-2P (No 101093038) and by the EU project DT-GEO (No: 101058129).
- Spanish Network for Supercomputing (RES) grants AECT-2022-1-002, AECT-2022-3-0015 and AECT-2023-1-0028.
How to cite: Rodríguez Gálvez, J. F., Macías Sánchez, J., Gaite, B., Castro Díaz, M. J., Cantavella, J. V., and Puertas, L. C.: Optimizing Maximum Height Inferences through Neural Networks for the Spanish Tsunami Early Warning System, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-8319, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8319, 2024.
