EGU24-8621, updated on 08 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8621
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Extratropical teleconnections in an ensemble of models nudged towards the observed equatorial QBO

Martin Andrews1, Neal Butchart1, James Anstey2, Ewa Bednarz3,4, Dillon Elsbury3,4, Vinay Kumar5, Froila Palmeiro6, Natasha Trencham7, Zhaoyang Chai8, Qi Tang9, Jinbo Xie9, Pu Lin10, Francois Lott11, Shingo Watanabe12, Aleena Jaison13, Jeff Knight1, Hiroaki Naoe14, and Kohei Yoshida14
Martin Andrews et al.
  • 1Met Office, Science, Exeter, UK (martin.andrews@metoffice.gov.uk)
  • 2Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada
  • 3Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
  • 4NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory (NOAA CSL), Boulder, CO, USA
  • 5University of Delhi, Delhi, India
  • 6Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC)
  • 7University of Arizona, USA
  • 8Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China
  • 9Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, USA
  • 10GFDL, Princeton University, USA
  • 11Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique, Ecole Normale Superieure, France
  • 12JAMSTEC, Japan
  • 13Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, University of Oxford, UK
  • 14Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan

The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is the leading natural model of interannual variability of the zonal mean wind in the equatorial stratosphere, consisting of alternating regions of easterly and westerly zonal wind that descend through the equatorial stratosphere with a mean period of approximately 28 months. Its dominant influence on the dynamical structure of the equatorial stratosphere raises the prospect of teleconnections to the extratropical atmosphere. For example, the QBO has been linked to variability in the Northern Hemisphere winter stratospheric polar vortex, the timing and frequency of sudden stratospheric warmings, the phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation, and the modulation of tropospheric mid-latitude waves in the Pacific region. However, the reproduction of these extratropical teleconnections in free-running models relies upon on a quantitatively realistic internally-generated QBO, and the ability of the model dynamics to respond to this QBO. To isolate the dynamical response, a new experiment protocol, defined by the Atmospheric Processes and their Role in Climate (APARC) Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi), describes how the observed equatorial stratospheric zonal winds can be imposed in model experiments. This allows the dynamical response across different models with similar and realistic QBOs to be analysed. Using a multi-model ensemble generated by QBOi modelling centres, we present an assessment of the extratropical teleconnections in comparison with observations.

How to cite: Andrews, M., Butchart, N., Anstey, J., Bednarz, E., Elsbury, D., Kumar, V., Palmeiro, F., Trencham, N., Chai, Z., Tang, Q., Xie, J., Lin, P., Lott, F., Watanabe, S., Jaison, A., Knight, J., Naoe, H., and Yoshida, K.: Extratropical teleconnections in an ensemble of models nudged towards the observed equatorial QBO, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-8621, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8621, 2024.