Quantitative constraints on crustal stress and strength from seismological observations in the Armutlu Peninsula (northwestern Türkiye)

The Armutlu Peninsula in north western Türkiye, a horst zone in an active transtensional pull-apart basin, is bounded by two major sub-branches of the North Anatolian Fault zone and host high rates of seismicity in the northern part. The ~25-station SMARTnet surface seismic network was installed in 2019-2020 with the purpose of augmenting permanent seismic stations in the northern part of the Armutlu Peninsula and to help increase the detection of small-magnitude earthquakes. Here, we employ a waveform-based clustering method that integrates detailed information from the seismicity and focal mechanism distribution enabled by the added station coverage to investigate the geometry and kinematics of the seismically active structures. We start by using an enhanced earthquake catalog of >4,000 double-difference-relocated events and >150 focal mechanisms obtained using P-wave polarities and amplitudes in the time period between January 2019 and February 2020. We perform a formal inversion of the stress field orientation from focal mechanisms to investigate the regional deviatoric stress field and its relation with activated fault structures. The stress-field inversion uses input data that combines the enhanced focal-mechanism catalog from background seismic events together with published focal mechanisms of M≥2.5 events that occurred between 1999 and 2019. Stress inversion results show an extensional stress regime for the broader northern Armutlu Peninsula and a transtensional stress regime for a narrow region of ~80 km², referred to as the Esenköy Seismic Zone (ESZ). Within the ESZ, the minimum principal stress (σ₃) is approximately horizontal and NE-trending, while the maximum (σ₁) and intermediate (σ₂) principal stresses are close in magnitude and vary between near vertical and near horizontal. We observe clusters of normal and strike-slip faulting events identified in the ESZ through waveform-based clustering analysis that are optimally oriented with respect to the stress field we derive for the area. The minimum principal stress in the ESZ is rotated clockwise by ~10-15° with respect to the minimum principal stress inferred for the broader Armutlu Peninsula and eastern Sea of Marmara. Based on the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion, we quantify the relative and absolute magnitudes of the principal stresses, determine the local crustal stress and strength conditions, and will present a discussion of the implications for regional tectonic forces.