TS3.4 | Active Tectonics and Geodynamics of the Eastern Mediterranean: Special Emphasis on the 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Sequence
EDI
Active Tectonics and Geodynamics of the Eastern Mediterranean: Special Emphasis on the 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Sequence
Convener: Seda Özarpacı | Co-conveners: Sezim Ezgi Guvercin, Sylvain Barbot, Sinan Akciz, James Hollingsworth
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room K1
Posters on site
| Attendance Tue, 16 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X2
Posters virtual
| Attendance Tue, 16 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X2
Orals |
Mon, 16:15
Tue, 10:45
Tue, 14:00
The Eastern Mediterranean is an actively deforming region where the African, Arabian, and Eurasian tectonic plates interact, involving the interplay of subduction, collision, and extrusion of crustal blocks. This dynamic tectonic framework makes the Eastern Mediterranean region the most seismically active in Europe. The tectonic extrusion of Anatolia is accommodated by the North Anatolian and East Anatolian strike-slip faults, which together have produce large earthquakes in recent history.

The 6th February 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence affected a large region in southeastern Turkey and northern Syria by rupturing multiple tectonic structures within the East Anatolian fault zone, including the East Anatolian Fault itself, but also secondary faults, such as the Çardak fault, farther to the west. The Kahramanmaraş sequence occurred in a critical tectonic setting connecting the Dead Sea Fault and the Adana-Cilicia-Hatay basin, raising fears of additional earthquakes and tsunamis in the Middle-East.

We welcome contributions not only focused on the forensics of the 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence but also eastern Mediterranean, from a wide range of disciplines including, but not limited to paleoseismology, seismology, tectonic geodesy (e.g., GNSS, InSAR, optical), structural geology, and geodynamic modeling. Studies resolving crustal deformation before, during, and after the earthquakes, or unravelling the structural setting are particularly useful.
We strongly encourage the contribution of early career researchers.

Orals: Mon, 15 Apr | Room K1

Chairpersons: Seda Özarpacı, Sinan Akciz
16:15–16:20
16:20–16:30
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EGU24-14308
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solicited
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On-site presentation
Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Thomas Ulrich, Mathilde Marchandon, James Biemiller, and John Rekoske

The 2023 Turkey earthquake sequence involved unexpected ruptures across numerous fault segments. We present 3D dynamic rupture simulations to illuminate the complex dynamics of the earthquake doublet. Our models are constrained by observations available within days of the sequence and deliver timely, mechanically consistent explanations of the unforeseen rupture paths, diverse rupture speeds, multiple slip episodes, heterogeneous fault offsets, locally strong shaking, and fault system interactions. Our simulations link both earthquakes, matching geodetic and seismic observations and reconciling regional seismotectonics, rupture dynamics, and ground motions of a fault system represented by 10 curved dipping segments and embedded in a heterogeneous stress field.

The first, Mw 7.8 earthquake features delayed backward branching from a steeply branching splay fault, not requiring supershear speeds. The asymmetrical dynamics of the distinct, bilateral second Mw 7.7 earthquake are explained by heterogeneous fault strength, prestress orientation, fracture energy, and static stress changes from the previous earthquake. Our models explain the northward deviation of its eastern rupture and the minimal slip observed on the Sürgü fault. 3D dynamic rupture scenarios can elucidate unexpected observations shortly after major earthquakes, providing timely insights for data-driven analysis and hazard assessment toward a comprehensive, physically consistent understanding of the mechanics of multifault systems.

Our models illustrate the predisposition of complex fault geometries, prevalent in tectonically complex immature fault systems, for cascading multi-fault and multi-event earthquake sequences. The unexpected doublet dynamics maybe explained by stress and strength heterogeneity, and include branching and delayed triggering in backward direction; triggered high-stress drop events, a single fault system with variable relative strength hosting rupture propagating at highly variable rupture speeds across different segments and in different directions.

How to cite: Gabriel, A.-A., Ulrich, T., Marchandon, M., Biemiller, J., and Rekoske, J.: 3D Dynamic Rupture Modeling of the 6 February 2023, Kahramanmaraş, Turkey Mw 7.8 and 7.7 Earthquake Doublet Using Early Observations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-14308, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14308, 2024.

16:30–16:40
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EGU24-17052
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solicited
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Cengiz Zabcı, Taylan Sançar, Havva Neslihan Kıray, H. Serdar Akyüz, Gülsen Uçarkuş, Erdem Kirkan, Gürsel Sunal, M. Ersen Aksoy, Nurettin Yakupoğlu, Musa Balkaya, Mehmet Köküm, Asen Sabuncu, Bahadır Seçen, and Ahmet M. Akoğlu

On 6 February 2023, a series of earthquakes struck south-eastern Türkiye and northern Syria, causing a death toll of more than 50.000 people and an economic loss of billions of US Dollars. The devastating sequence started with the Mw ~7.0 Narlı Earthquake along a subsidiary splay, which was then instantly followed by the Mw 7.8 Pazarcık Earthquake bilaterally rupturing multiple structural elements in a complex triple junction system. These were followed ~9 hours later by the Mw 7.6 Elbistan Earthquake that took place on the Çardak and the Yeşilyurt faults. The involvement of multiple faults and the immense size of the affected region raise multiple questions such as the controlling factors, especially on the extent of the rupture length, slip distribution, width of the rupture zone, and any potential seismic gaps that were brought closer to failure.

This study aims to present our field investigations and measurement for the 6 February 2023 earthquakes with a particular emphasis on the tectonic complexity of the region. We have constructed a detailed surface rupture map and documented hundreds of offset measurements that suggest up to ~7 and ~8.5 meters of maximum sinistral displacements, for the Pazarcık and Elbistan earthquakes, respectively. The co-seismic slips differ from the offsets of the penultimate event in places, suggesting a variable slip behaviour, especially for the Çardak Fault. Our map does not only include the Principal Displacement Shear (PDS), but also almost all the secondary shears that provide an opportunity to determine the deformation width along the faults. One of the widest zones of surface breaks is observed within the Palaeozoic metamorphics and Mesozoic limestones of the Nurhak Mountain along the Çardak rupture, highlighting the influence of structural complexities on the distribution of deformation. A similar control occurs at the northeastern tip of the Pazarcık Rupture, which terminates in another structural complexity where the left-lateral East Anatolian Fault (EAF) connects with the Bitlis-Zagros suture zone. Field data suggests that this structural junction is responsible for arresting the rupture along the EAF, not the southern termination of the 24 January 2020 Mw 6.8 Sivrice (Elazığ) Earthquake rupture, producing a ‘seismic gap’ of about 20 km. To the south, the Pazarcık rupture reached the Dead Sea Fault, which has not had a significant surface rupturing earthquake to the north of Aqaba since the early 11th century.  Despite the widespread destruction that razed several towns to the ground, the 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Sequence provides invaluable information on understanding the geometry and kinematics of active faulting that accommodate the Eurasia-Africa-Arabia convergence in the eastern Mediterranean.

How to cite: Zabcı, C., Sançar, T., Kıray, H. N., Akyüz, H. S., Uçarkuş, G., Kirkan, E., Sunal, G., Aksoy, M. E., Yakupoğlu, N., Balkaya, M., Köküm, M., Sabuncu, A., Seçen, B., and Akoğlu, A. M.: 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Sequence: ‘supercycle’ events within a complex tectonic setting, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17052, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17052, 2024.

16:40–16:50
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EGU24-4163
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On-site presentation
Tolga Gorum, Hakan Tanyas, Abdussamet Yilmaz, Furkan Karabacak, and Gonghui Wang

The devastating Kahramanmaras earthquake sequence occurred on February 6, 2023. Two main events, Mw 7.8 and Mw 7.5, occurred 9 hours apart, affected 11 cities in Türkiye, and affected an area of ∼90,000 km2. This was the strongest historical earthquake doublet of magnitudes above 7.5 ever recorded in this region, and the consequences were catastrophic. The earthquake doublet triggered more than 3,600 landslides. Among these landslides, 35 of them have an area greater than 50,000 m2. Here, we focus on those largest coseismic landslides and show that 21 of them are pre-event landslides reactivated during the earthquake. They concentrate along a 5km-wide buffer zone around the surface rupture. Approximately 90% of these large landslides are distributed along the western section of the Eastern Taurus Mountain Belt, which is highly deformed and results in numerous overthrusts extending for 50 to 100 km. The geologic units in this part of the Taurus Mountain Belt consist of sedimentary, metamorphic, and igneous autochthonous and allochthonous units. The spatial distribution of landslides closely coincides with the topographic differences. They mostly (>82%) occurred on hillslopes where local relief varies between 500 and 700 m, and slope steepness ranges from 20° to 45°. Our preliminary analyses also revealed a relationship between the fault rupture dynamics and the distribution of large landslides. In addition to the rupture dynamics and topographic contrasts in the area, vertical lithological differences and the long-term tectonic deformations affecting autochthonous and allochthonous units have primary controls on the distribution of large landslides triggered by this earthquake doublet.

How to cite: Gorum, T., Tanyas, H., Yilmaz, A., Karabacak, F., and Wang, G.: Geologic, Topographic, and Seismic Characteristics of Large Landslides Triggered by 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquakes, Türkiye, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4163, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4163, 2024.

16:50–17:00
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EGU24-20732
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On-site presentation
Arthur Delorme, Wenqian Yao, and Yann klinger

The Mw 7.7 Ekinozu Earthquake is the second shock of the devastating 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake doublet. It ruptured bilaterally along a ~150 km-long stretch of the Cardak-Surgu fault. Along its eastern section, instead of propagating along the Surgu fault to connect with the main East Anatolian Fault where the Mw7.8 shock occurred, the rupture unexpectedly turned to the northeast to propagate along a secondary structure. Surface ruptures and assessment of displacement along that section of the fault have been challenging to map, and these are less documented. This is crucial for unraveling the entire rupture process, fault growth, and related seismic hazards. In this study, we focus on the eastern end of the ~57-km long surface rupture caused by the Mw 7.7 Ekinozu Earthquake. By correlating high-resolution optical images SPOT (pre-earthquakes, resolution 1.5m) and Pléiades (post-earthquakes, resolution 50 cm), we computed displacement maps at 1.5 m ground resolution for the study area. In addition, using the post-event Pleiades images, we meticulously characterized the coseismic surface ruptures in detail. Our mapping presents a segmented surface rupture trace with azimuth variations and several distinguishably complex geometries, such as double bends and branches. Furthermore, our investigation includes precise measurements of on- and off-fault surface displacement with sub-pixel detection over the ~57-km long section. Our findings underscore the significance of detailed interpretations of coseismic surface rupture and coseismic displacement measurements in comprehending the propagation of the seismic rupture.

How to cite: Delorme, A., Yao, W., and klinger, Y.: Imaging the Northeastern End of the Mw7.7 Ekinozu Earthquake Rupture along the Çardak-Surgu Fault during the 2023 Kahramanmaraş, Türkiye, Earthquake Doublet, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-20732, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20732, 2024.

17:00–17:10
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EGU24-19798
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On-site presentation
Sigurjon Jonsson, Xing Li, Shaozhuo Liu, Zhangfeng Ma, Nicolas Castro-Perdomo, Simone Cesca, Frédéric Masson, and Yann Klinger

Geological studies, GPS observations, and plate motion models consistently show that the slip rate for most of the Dead Sea Fault (DSF) is 4-5 mm/year. However, for the northernmost DSF, just south of where the 2023 Kharamanmaraş earthquakes occurred, results differ, with GPS results from Syria (from before 2010) indicating a lower rate of only 2-3 mm/year. Conventional InSAR observations have not provided useful information about the present-day strain accumulation on the DSF, due to the fault’s north-south orientation and the insensitivity of InSAR to north-south displacements. Therefore, to study this slip-rate inconsistency and overcome limited access to the northern DSF in Syria, we employed time-series analysis of along-track burst-overlap interferometric (BOI) observations from 2014-2021 Sentinel-1 data to retrieve the interseismic horizontal fault-parallel displacements in the burst-overlap areas. Elastic modeling based on the BOI velocities indicates the fault slip rate decreases from ~5 mm/year in the south to only 2.8 mm/year at the northern DSF in Syria, in agreement with the GPS observations. Using what we know about earthquake clustering statistics on the DSF, we also demonstrate that the higher paloseismological slip rate on the northern DSF, which primarily comes from offset markers in the past 3500 years, could by chance be inflated by earthquake clustering. Furthermore, we suggest that the northern Sinai plate, west of the northern DSF is its own micro-plate (Latakia-Tartus plate), separated from the main Sinai plate in the south by a diffuse offshore plate boundary zone between Lebanon the Cyprus arc. This interpretation is supported by elevated offshore seismicity and the several moment tensor solutions we could determine. Together, our results resolve the long-standing slip-rate inconsistency along the northern DSF and indicate lower earthquake hazard for that part of the fault than previously thought.

How to cite: Jonsson, S., Li, X., Liu, S., Ma, Z., Castro-Perdomo, N., Cesca, S., Masson, F., and Klinger, Y.: Resolving the Slip-Rate Inconsistency of the Northern Dead Sea Fault , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19798, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19798, 2024.

17:10–17:20
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EGU24-17305
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Estelle Neyrinck, Baptiste Rousset, Cécile Doubre, Cécile Lasserre, Marie-Pierre Doin, Philippe Durand, and Flatsim Team

The detection and analysis of transient aseismic slip events is crucial for a better understanding of the seismogenic behavior of major active faults and the associated seismic hazard. The North Anatolian Fault (NAF) in Türkiye has ruptured from east to west since the 1930’s with a Mw 7+ earthquake sequence involving seven events. The two last events ruptured the Izmit and Düzce segments close to Istanbul in 1999, with Mw 7.6 and Mw 7.2 respectively. Postseismic studies of the Izmit earthquake reveal first a rapid and logarithmic decay of the afterslip, followed by a viscoelastic relaxation of the lower crust and upper mantle. Estimates of the mean shallow creep more than 20 years after the rupture using Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and Global Positioning System (GPS) data show an average velocity of 2.7 cm/year. An InSAR time series analysis of the aseismic behavior from Aslan et al. [2019], based on 2014-2017 Sentinel 1 data,  enabled the detection of a slow slip event modulating the creep in December 2016. This event was also observed by creepmeters. In this study, we used InSAR data over the extended period 2015-2021, from the Sentinel-1 A and B acquisitions, to analyze the aseismic slip dynamics of the Izmit segment. The InSAR data were processed with the FLATSIM workflow [Thollard et al., 2021] based on the NSBAS processing chain [Doin et al., 2011]. To extract the tectonic signal of the time series, we corrected for the annual seasonal components on each track, we decomposed the residual line of sight signals of the ascending and descending tracks into vertical and east-west (E-W) deformation fields and performed an Independent Component Analysis (ICA) decomposition on the Izmit sedimentary basin to correct for a high frequency signal. In the post-processed time series, we detect three main slow slip events in December 2016, March 2018 and November 2019, the first one corresponding to that  already detected by Aslan et al., [2019]. The average recurrence interval between the three events is 1.5 years. We extracted the E-W surface static displacements associated with each slow slip event and modeled the slip distribution at depth on a 2D-fault interface in a layered elastic half space. The slip associated with the transient slip pulses is localized at a depth of ~ 2 km, at the basis of the sedimentary basin. We estimated that along the central part of the Izmit segment, 50% of the total observed creep is occurring during the three 20 days-long slow slip events, and only 25-30% at the extremities of the segment. The characterization of a succession of slow slip events two decades after a Mw 7.6 earthquake on the Izmit segment and 70 years after a Mw 7.4 earthquakes on the Ismetpasa segment of the NAF [Rousset et al., 2016; Jolivet et al., 2023] question the logarithmic decay of postseismic slip and suggest a more transient and intermittent slip release, at least along some segments of the fault. 

How to cite: Neyrinck, E., Rousset, B., Doubre, C., Lasserre, C., Doin, M.-P., Durand, P., and Team, F.: The slow slip events cycle along the Izmit segment of the North Anatolian Fault , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17305, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17305, 2024.

17:20–17:30
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EGU24-378
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Tunahan Aykut, Cengiz Yıldırım, I. Tonguc Uysal, Uwe Ring, and Jian-xin Zhao

The Central Taurides is located at the southern margin of the Central Anatolian Plateau with a high relief up to a 2 km topography. This plateau margin rises in the upper plate north of the Cyprus Arc where the African Plate subducts beneath the Anatolian Plate. Although the relationship between regional surface uplift and mantle-driven processes, such as slab tearing/break-off and asthenospheric upwelling are well constrained in this area, the Quaternary faulting history and the seismic hazard potential remain hardly known. The Central Taurides between Alanya and Seydişehir (from the coast to the plateau), presents a series of NW-SE striking faults that control the topography across the highly erosional and karstified orogenic plateau margin. In this study, we utilize U-Th carbonate geochronology, microstructural analysis and fault-slip data to decipher the timing and mechanism of upper crustal brittle deformation. We date fault-related calcites and examine fault kinematics to constrain the <500 Ka faulting history of the overriding Anatolian Plate (southern part) that has uplifted 1.5 km since 450 Ka. Our kinematic measurements of the youngest generation of the brittle structures indicate widespread normal faulting due to NE-SW horizontal tension in the upper crust. Microscopy and scanning electron microscope analyses on calcite samples show twinning, brecciated zones, calcite gouges, slickenlines, slickenfibres, fault grooves, microfractures and displaced dilation veins; underlining microstructural footprints of faulting-related deformation. U-series dating of fault-related calcites yielded twenty-eight U-Th ages ranging between 714±285 ka and 18.76±0.53 ka. The results of this study constrain the temporal relationships between surface uplift, upper crustal brittle deformation and mantle-rooted processes above active subduction zones. This study is supported by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) “2232 International Fellowship for Outstanding Researchers Program” (Grant No: 118C275), and TUBITAK “2214-A International Research Fellowship Programme for PhD Students” (Grant No: 1059B142200520).

How to cite: Aykut, T., Yıldırım, C., Uysal, I. T., Ring, U., and Zhao, J.: Constraining the <500 Ka faulting history of the Central Taurides above the Cyprus Subduction Zone: Insights from U-Th carbonate geochronology, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-378, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-378, 2024.

17:30–17:40
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EGU24-15534
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On-site presentation
Vincent Roche, Bernhard Grasemann, David Schneider, Konstantinos Soukis, and Michael Pichler

Despite significant differences in the early tectonic histories, rocks in the eastern Mediterranean region partly share a common Cenozoic history characterized by several tectonic events including subduction, collision and extension. The correlations between the Aegean domain and the Menderes Massif have often been proposed, but few studies have considered the geology of the central Dodecanese Islands, which are located at the transition between the Aegean and Anatolian plates. In this study, we focus on the poorly studied island of Kos and investigate the tectonic history of the central Dodecanese Islands, as well as the general correlation with the Aegean and western Anatolian. Raman Spectroscopy of Carbonaceous Material (RSCM) analyses combined with white micas 40Ar/39Ar and zircon (U-Th)/He geochronology were carried out to determine peak temperatures and the timing tectonothermal events recorded by the various units. Three different tectonic units were identified from bottom to top: (1) the Paleozoic Unit overlain by the Permo-Triassic Wildflysch Unit in which primary sedimentary structures are well preserved. The units consist of low-grade meta-sediments including bedded meta-sandstones, meta-arkosic sandstones, meta-pelites and subordinate impure marble layers, bedded meta-chert with chaotic polymictic conglomerates containing huge blocks of metavolcanites, dolomitic limestones and marbles. Tmax of a graphitic phyllonite located in the Wildflysch Unit is 299 ± 14°C, confirming low-grade metamorphism. (2) The Marina Basement Unit consists of coarse-grained pure marbles, impure marbles with metachert layers, garnets, andalusite-mica schists, and quartzites, which was thrusted onto the Paleozoic and Wildflysch units with top-to-N kinematics during the Paleocene. Tmax from the Marina Basement are around 565 ± 35°C, suggesting a temperature difference of over 250°C with the previous units. (3) The Marina Cover Unit consists of unmetamorphosed dolomites, dolomitic limestones, and micritic limestones. Rocks of this unit are only preserved as isolated klippen juxtaposed onto the metasediments of the Paleozoic/Wildflysch Unit along the Oligocene Kos Detachment that exhibits an overall top-to-SSE shear sense. The western part of the Paleozoic Unit was intruded by a c. 10 Ma quartz-bearing biotite-hornblende monzonite intrusion which cooled until 5 Ma. The metamorphic aureole is a few 100 meters wide, which is similar in size to metamorphic aureole of other Miocene granitoids in the Cyclades. N-S extension is recorded after the intrusion as testified by cataclasites and W-E striking high-angle faults that control the current geomorphology of the island. At the regional scale, we propose that Oligocene extension occurred along the top-S Kos-Kalymnos Detachment System, and was localized in the Pelagonian Unit. Further west and a few million years later, the deformation started to propagate to deeper structural levels within the base of the Pelagonian, affecting the rocks of the Cycladic Blueschist Unit and favoring their relatively fast exhumation. Conversely, deformation in southwestern Turkey appears to record only compressional tectonics. Here, the Lycian nappes – the Turkish equivalent of the Pelagonian – were thrust to the SE upon the Menderes Massif and the Bey Daglari platform. This implies that the subduction dynamics differ from east to west in the eastern Mediterranean region.

How to cite: Roche, V., Grasemann, B., Schneider, D., Soukis, K., and Pichler, M.: Post-orogenic extension in Kos Island (Greece): geodynamic implications, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-15534, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-15534, 2024.

17:40–17:50
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EGU24-17515
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Silvia Crosetto, Claudio Faccenna, Paolo Ballato, Vasiliki Mouslopoulou, John Begg, and Sabrina Metzger

The Cephalonia-Lekfada Transform Fault Zone (CLTFZ) lies at the transition between the continental subduction of Adria microplate underneath Eurasia to the north, and the oceanic subduction of the Nubian plate along the Hellenic Arc to the south.

Since its onset, estimated around the Late Miocene-early Pliocene, the CLTFZ is considered to have accumulated between 40 and ~80 km right-lateral displacement, with most of the offset occurring in the last ~5 Ma. Currently, the intense crustal deformation characterising the area results in high seismicity affecting the western part of Lefkada and Cephalonia islands, as demonstrated by several Mw>6 earthquakes that struck this narrow region in the last two decades (Mw 6.2 Lefkada, 2003; Mw 6.1 and Mw 5.9 Cephalonia, 2014; Mw 6.4 Lefkada, 2015).

We use conventional structural mapping and geomorphic analysis to identify and measure the main onshore faults and their kinematic evolution along the western coast of Cephalonia and Lefkada islands.

We observe that the topography of the islands is mostly tectonically controlled: right-lateral transpression is expressed as elongated ridges, trending ~N15 and delimited by thrusts. Transtensive, NE-SW-trending en échelon faults develop on the ridge crests, where measured fault throw indicates up to 1.5 km NW-SE-directed extension on a single ridge. Similar structures have been recently observed in analogue modelling experiments, forming as Riedel-shears in the later stages of the transpressional system evolution.

Inactive, and hence older faults seem to have formed as opening fractures in an extensional regime (~W-E). The fractures are filled with calcite veins displaying multiple growth generations, which suggests formation in a fluid-rich environment. Active faults display at least two generations of striae indicating pure dip-slip and strike-slip/oblique movement. Where visible, the cross-cutting relationship between the two generations indicates a first phase of normal faulting followed by more recent transcurrent faulting. This is in agreement with geodetic data, reporting a dominant horizontal component of movement during the recent earthquakes.

The overall fault analysis indicates an important strain partitioning along the CLTFZ, providing relevant constraints to the seismotectonic pattern of the region.

How to cite: Crosetto, S., Faccenna, C., Ballato, P., Mouslopoulou, V., Begg, J., and Metzger, S.: Structures and kinematics of the Cephalonia-Lefkada Transform Fault zone, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17515, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17515, 2024.

17:50–18:00
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EGU24-992
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ECS
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On-site presentation
İlay Farımaz, Seda Özarpacı, Alpay Özdemir, Efe Turan Ayruk, Simon Orrego Astudillo, Figen Eskiköy, Havva Neslihan Kıray, Cengiz Zabcı, Semih Ergintav, and Uğur Doğan

In 1999, The North Anatolian Fault (NAF) generated two destructive earthquakes, namely, the Mw 7.4 Izmit earthquake and the Mw 7.1 Düzce earthquake, in the western part of Türkiye and broke more than 180 km of NAF. After 22 years of silence, at the overlapping section of these ruptures,  the region produced two earthquakes: one with a magnitude of 5 and another, a year later, with a magnitude of 5.9. In this study, we aim to examine the role of these recent earthquakes in terms of slip deficit between two ruptures.

Our primary focus is on the Düzce earthquake (Mw 5.9) that occurred on 23 November 2022.  Here we use a novel method to reconstruct the coseismic deformation field by  enhancing the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) from ~3 years of Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) Sentinel-1 TOPS data spanning the earthquake. We estimate a coseismic surface displacement of ~2 cm for this event.

Furthermore, data from the stations belonging to the Turkish National GNSS Network and data from eight new cGPS sites that we have established in the area have been processed to observe coseismic and postseismic displacement. Postseismic deformations are estimated for one month interval after the earthquake, maximum postseismic deformation is observed on the site named AKSU: 18.6 ± 2.18 mm at east and -1.5 ± 2.28 mm at north direction.

A joint inversion model was developed using the aforementioned geodetic and seismological data to estimate the region's final state and was linked to the potential slip deficit of previous major earthquakes in 1999.

How to cite: Farımaz, İ., Özarpacı, S., Özdemir, A., Ayruk, E. T., Astudillo, S. O., Eskiköy, F., Kıray, H. N., Zabcı, C., Ergintav, S., and Doğan, U.: Unveiling the Kinematics of the 2022 Düzce Earthquake (Mw 5.9) and Its Impact on Regional Tectonics, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-992, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-992, 2024.

Posters on site: Tue, 16 Apr, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X2

Display time: Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–Tue, 16 Apr, 12:30
Chairpersons: Sezim Ezgi Guvercin, Sylvain Barbot
X2.35
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EGU24-12188
Hayrullah Karabulut, Vadim Milyukov, Sezim Ezgi Guvercin, Seda Ozarpaci, Mironov Alexey Pavlovich, Semih Ergintav, Volkan Özbey, Cengiz Zabci, Ali Ozgun Konca, Ruslan Diyagilev, and Steblov Grigory Mikhailovich

The deformation and shortening in the Caucasus region are predominantly driven by the collision of Arabian and Eurasian plates with a possible contribution of the lithospheric deformation beneath the Caucasus.  The tectonic uplift/inversion, along with the formation of the Greater and Lesser Caucasus fold and thrust belts, is driven and maintained by the continental collision of the Arabian and Eurasian plates. However, the dominant factor for the regional variations of surface deformation and sub-crustal seismic activity, whether lithospheric delamination or slab detachment beneath the Caucasus region, is not well understood. Moreover, the variations in shortening along the Caucasus cannot be solely explained by plate boundary forces without constraints from lithospheric dynamics. The large uncertainties of the models lead to limited understanding of the formation and active deformation of this fold and thrust belt. The main reason for this shortcoming is the limited access to the seismic and geodetic data in the region. In this study, we merged seismic and geodetic data from Russia and surrounding countries.  We constructed a joint database for the period between 2007 and 2010 and updated 1D crustal velocity models for four sub-regions. We obtained the relocated seismicity within each region using the local velocity models. In addition, we updated the earthquake source mechanisms catalog in the Caucasus region.  A new Pn tomography model is computed using the new catalog. The crustal thickness variations are recomputed from receiver function analysis using the broad-band stations of Russia. We also update block boundaries and corresponding slip rates in the study region using both seismicity and geodetic data.

How to cite: Karabulut, H., Milyukov, V., Guvercin, S. E., Ozarpaci, S., Pavlovich, M. A., Ergintav, S., Özbey, V., Zabci, C., Konca, A. O., Diyagilev, R., and Mikhailovich, S. G.: Investigation of the Active Deformation in the Caucasus Region from Seismic and Geodetic Observations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12188, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12188, 2024.

X2.36
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EGU24-11845
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ECS
2023 Earthquake Doublet in Türkiye Reveals the Complexities of the East Anatolian Fault Zone: Insights from Aftershock Patterns and Moment Tensor Solutions
(withdrawn after no-show)
Sezim Ezgi Guvercin
X2.37
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EGU24-18328
Cengiz Zabcı, Havva Kıray, H. Serdar Akyüz, Taylan Sançar, Sinan O. Akçiz, Gülsen Uçarkuş, Erdem Kırkan, Gürsel Sunal, M. Ersen Aksoy, Davaasambuu Battogtokh, Nurettin Yakupoğlu, Mehmet Köküm, Musa Balkaya, and Asen Sabuncu

6 February 2023 Mw 7.8 Pazarcık (Kahramanmaraş) Earthquake generated about a 300 km-long surface rupture between the Antakya airport to the south and the Karaköse and Yarpuzlu villages (Sincik, Adıyaman) to the north and strong ground motions, resulting in extensive property damage and loss of lives. We rapidly started to document the deformation structures on the surface by the second day of the event, spreading into smaller mapping teams and covering nearly the entire rupture zone. In addition to walking the rupture and recording locations with GPS waypoints, we made surface offset measurements with a standard tape measure. We used several sUAS’ to acquire high-resolution Digital Orthophoto Maps and Digital Surface Models (between 3 to 5 cm pixel resolution) to map the coseismic slip and surface rupture zone details. We utilized high resolution stereo aerial images with 10 or 30 cm ground pixel resolution, collected by the General Directorate of Mapping, in areas where we could not collect high-quality sUAS imagery.

This poster presentation aims to show the full extent of our field and sUAS-based rupture map and horizontal slip measurements of the Pazarcık Earthquake. At the most southern section, the rupture along the Hatay Rift is ~115 km long with a maximum sinistral offset of about 4.5 m between Nurdağ and Şekeroba towns. Between Türkoğlu and Gölbaşı, the rupture is 85 km long and the maximum slip reaches up to ~7m to the north of the Pazarcık town, close to the junction of the East Anatolian and Narlı faults. Farther to the NE, between Gölbaşı and Çelikhan, the slip first decreases to a mean value of ~2.5 m, but then it increases again to ~6.5 m at Kurucaova village. This section of the fault zone is nearly one km wide and is characterized by numerous sub-parallel surface breaks. To the north east of Çelikhan, the slip drops to less than one meter. It diminishes to the north of the Karaköse village (Sincik, Adıyaman), leaving of about 20 km-long unbroken fault section at the surface until the southwest termination of the 2020 Mw 6.8 Sivrice Earthquake rupture.

How to cite: Zabcı, C., Kıray, H., Akyüz, H. S., Sançar, T., Akçiz, S. O., Uçarkuş, G., Kırkan, E., Sunal, G., Aksoy, M. E., Battogtokh, D., Yakupoğlu, N., Köküm, M., Balkaya, M., and Sabuncu, A.: 6 February 2023 Mw 7.8 Pazarcık (Kahramanmaraş) Earthquake: the rupture geometry and slip distribution, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18328, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18328, 2024.

X2.38
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EGU24-13350
Sinan O. Akciz, Taylan Sançar, Havva N. Kıray, Cengiz Zabcı, Mehmet Köküm, Musa Balkaya, Davaasambuu Battogtokh, and H. Serdar Akyüz

The February 06, 2023, Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence started with an earthquake with magnitude Mw 7.0 on the Narlı Fault and continued on the tectonic boundary between the Anatolian and Arabian plates. The main event, the Mw 7.8 Pazarcik earthquake, ruptured the East Anatolian Fault (EAF) bilaterally for over 300 km. This main event was followed nine hours later by the Mw 7.6 Elbistan earthquake, with the epicenter near the town of Ekinözü, about 100 kilometers away from the epicenter of the Pazarcik earthquake. The Elbistan earthquake also ruptured bilaterally, resulting in approximately 140 km of co-seismic surface rupture along a set of faults that form a major splay of the East Anatolian Fault Zone. Field investigations supplemented with interpretations of high-resolution photographs from small unmanned aircraft systems and helicopters show that the surface rupture associated with the Elbistan earthquake occurred on two different left-lateral strike faults: The first, known as the Çardak fault, extends from the town of Göksun in the west to Bıçakçı village in the east. The second is the newly identified Yeşilyurt Fault, an NE-SW-striking left-lateral fault with a subtle topographic expression that strikes parallel to the EAF.

 

The surface trace of the Çardak Fault can be divided into two geometric sections: The arc-shaped western section extends nearly 80 km between Göksun and Nurhak where the rupture was continuous and focused within a narrow zone. Horizontal slip along the eastern half of this section was typically over 6 meters, reaching over 8 meters at the maximum slip location just east of the epicenter. The average lateral slip drops to approximately 4 meters west of Ericek before decreasing uniformly to the west from Fındık until the surface rupture ends in Göksun. The second fault section extends nearly E-W between Nurhak and Bıçakçı for almost 20 km, including the structurally complex region associated with the Nurhak restraining bend, where only a handful of field slip measurements were made in this broadly deformed section. The average minimum horizontal slip measurements in this section of the Çardak fault is around 2.5 m. Our field investigations indicate that the rupture established a new trend parallel to the East Anatolian Fault instead of using the E-W-oriented Sürgü Fault to connect with it. The average slip along this new 40 km-long fault zone, here named Yeşilyurt Fault, is about 1m, with maximum left-lateral slip reaching  ~2.5m. Unlike the nearly continuous rupture along the Çardak fault, the rupture zone of the Yeşilyurt Fault generally consists of a series of right-stepping en-echelon arrays of discontinuous sinistral fault traces of various lengths and stepovers that range between tens of meters to several hundred meters.

How to cite: Akciz, S. O., Sançar, T., Kıray, H. N., Zabcı, C., Köküm, M., Balkaya, M., Battogtokh, D., and Akyüz, H. S.: Primary Surface Rupture and Slip Distribution Associated with the Mw 7.6 06 February 2023 Elbistan Earthquake, Turkey, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13350, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13350, 2024.

X2.39
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EGU24-950
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ECS
Havva Neslihan Kıray Canik, Cengiz Zabcı, Hüsnü Serdar Akyüz, Erdem Kırkan, Gürsel Sunal, Nurettin Yakupoğlu, Asen Sabuncu, and Ahmet Murat Akoğlu

The south-southeastern Türkiye was struck by a series of earthquakes in February 2023 causing the death of more than 50,000 people and billions of USD of economical loss. The largest of these events, the February 6th Mw 7.8 Pazarcık and Mw 7.5 Ekinözü earthquakes occurred only 9 hours apart of each other generating surface ruptures of about 450 km and the majority of the destruction. All these events took place in a complex tectonic system where the boundary structures of the Anatolian Block, the Arabian Plate and the Adana-Cilicia-Hatay Basin merge together. The Pazarcık earthquake was initiated along a subsidiary splay, the Narlı Fault (NF), and continued with the bilateral rupturing of faults over a length of 300 km.

In this study, our aim is to document the surface deformation along the NF in order to have a better understanding of the initiation mechanism of the ‘multi-segment’ Pazarcık earthquake. In addition to our field observations, we operated a sUAS to map the rupture and measure offsets. We used a tape measure to determine the magnitude of slip across the well-established offset markers in the field, while the ultra-precise rupture mapping and a vast number of displacement measurements were made by using sUAS-based digital surface models (DSM) and orthophotos with a ground pixel resolution of ~3–5 cm.

We mapped two sets of continuous surface ruptures, the 14 km-long southern and the 10 km-long northern parts, separated by a ‘gap’ of 8 km. The average sinistral offset along the ~N20-30°–striking southern rupture is about 2 m, whereas the maximum value reaches up to 3.7 ± 0.7 meters. On the other hand, the horizontal slip along the N25-35°–striking northern rupture barely exceeds 1.2 m. In this section, it is highly probable that a large portion of the total horizontal deformation is shared by widely distributed surface shears within the wedge between the East Anatolian Fault and the NF, which can be an analogue to a variant of a Prandtl Cell Model. In addition, we identified semi-circular/elliptical surface cracks at more than 10 locations to the south of the NF rupture. These are interpreted as seismically induced sink-holes, given the widely distributed Eocene limestones in the region. The preliminary analysis of the time series of interferograms between 2015–2022 suggests a long-term systematic subsidence, supporting our hypothesis.

How to cite: Kıray Canik, H. N., Zabcı, C., Akyüz, H. S., Kırkan, E., Sunal, G., Yakupoğlu, N., Sabuncu, A., and Akoğlu, A. M.: The Narlı Fault: the characteristics of the surface rupture that initiated the 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Sequence (Türkiye), EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-950, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-950, 2024.

X2.40
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EGU24-18974
Nurcan Meral Ozel, Shinichiro Mori, Hitomi Murakami, Maki Koyama, Dilek Kepekçi, Gulten Polat, Yasemin Korkusuz Ozturk, Saki Yotsui, Hiroyuki Goto, Shigeto Osato, Tatsuro Chiba, Koji Hada, Masayuki Yamada, Takumi Hayashida, and Mayumi Sakamoto

The research conducted on the 6th of February 2023 Mw7.8 Kahramanmaraş earthquake represents
a comprehensive study aimed at understanding the distribution of seismic intensity in the affected
areas and developing a novel intensity calculation formula for Eastern-Southeastern Turkey. This
seismic event, the most catastrophic in Turkey&#39;s last century, was initiated on the Narli splay fault
and propagated bilaterally along the East Anatolian Fault (EAF). The rupture extended over a
significant seismic gap of the EAF and the Amanos Fault, affecting 11 provinces in Turkey&#39;s Southeast
region and bordering areas of Syria, resulting in a total rupture length exceeding 300 km and causing
over 50,000 fatalities.
The study evaluates seismic intensity distribution across seven cities: Hatay, Gaziantep,
Kahramanmaraş, Adıyaman, Malatya, Osmaniye, and Şanlıurfa. An online intensity questionnaire
survey was distributed to educational institutions in these provinces. In October 2023, a Turkish-
Japanese reconnaissance team collaborated with the National Education Directorate of the seven
provinces to disseminate the questionnaire format and URL link to all public high schools, middle
schools, and elementary schools, garnering responses from 14,739 participants. Geocoordinate
inputs were accurately assigned using the ArcGIS survey123 system, contributing to the preliminary
survey results which included damage observations.
Microtremor observations were conducted in Hatay, Gaziantep, Kahramanmaraş, and Adıyaman
using the Kinkei seismic measuring device developed in Japan. The research involved single-point
microtremor measurements at 20 locations within the earthquake zone, fault-fracture zones,
damaged residential areas, particularly near the AFAD seismic stations. Additionally, array
microtremor measurements were made at 31 AFAD station locations with strong motion records.
The analysis of 39 microtremor measurements revealed preliminary results indicating a correlation
between heavily damaged buildings and areas where the Vs30 values are less than 180 m/s. The
finding suggests that areas with lower Vs30 values may be more susceptible to damage during
earthquakes.

These observations, combined with the result of the online intensity questionnaire surveys and local
soil amplifications, are utilized to assess the correlation between microtremor amplification and
seismic damage. The objective is to formulate a new intensity calculation formula tailored to the
Eastern-Southeastern part of Turkey. This research&#39;s findings are anticipated to offer significant
contributions to earthquake intensity assessment methodologies, particularly in regions with distinct
geological and seismic profiles. The collaboration between Turkish and Japanese experts adds an
international dimension to the study, potentially leading to improved seismic risk assessment,
preparedness strategies, and recovery measures on a broader scale in the future.

How to cite: Meral Ozel, N., Mori, S., Murakami, H., Koyama, M., Kepekçi, D., Polat, G., Korkusuz Ozturk, Y., Yotsui, S., Goto, H., Osato, S., Chiba, T., Hada, K., Yamada, M., Hayashida, T., and Sakamoto, M.: 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaras, Turkey Earthquakes: Microtremor Measurement, Extensive Field Survey On Seismic Intensity  And Structural Damage Correlations To Develop The New Intensity Formula For The Region, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18974, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18974, 2024.

X2.41
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EGU24-4865
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ECS
Kai Wang and Yan Hu

The eastern Mediterranean hosts complex tectonic units with multiple strike-slip and collision plate boundaries. The Anatolian plate is being pushed away from the Eurasian plate and Arabian plate via two left-lateral transform faults with uncoupled crust and upper mantle inferred from anisotropy studies. The rheological structure is thus important to better understand the plate dynamics of the Anatolian and its surrounding plates. The 2023 Mw7.8 and Mw7.6 earthquake doublet in the East Anatolian Fault zone provides a unique opportunity to study viscoelastic relaxation of the upper mantle and time-dependent afterslip over the crustal faults. Here we have derived the first 3-month postseismic displacements from GNSS time series of 94 stations after the events to investigate the early postseismic deformation processes through a three-dimensional viscoelastic finite element model. Afterslip in the model is simulated through a 2-km thick weak shear zone attached to the fault. Viscoelastic relaxation is represented by the bi-viscous Burgers rheology. We find that the observed long-wavelength displacements is dominated by the viscoelastic relaxation even in this early postseismic stage, and the contribution from the afterslip is spatially limited. The viscosity of the Anatolian upper mantle should be lower than 1019 Pa s to better fit the observed horizontal and vertical displacements. This inferred weak upper mantle may result from the upwelling mantle due to the tearing African slab.

How to cite: Wang, K. and Hu, Y.: Weak Anatolian upper mantle inferred from postseismic deformation of the 2023 Türkiye earthquake doublet, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4865, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4865, 2024.

X2.42
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EGU24-1284
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Sara Carena, Anke Maria Friedrich, Alessandro Verdecchia, Beth Kahle, Stefanie M. Rieger, and Simon Kübler

The February 6th, 2023, Mw 7.8 Pazarcık earthquake in the Turkey-Syria border region raises the question of whether such a large earthquake could have been foreseen, as well as what is the maximum possible magnitude (Mmax) of earthquakes on the East Anatolian fault system and on continental transform faults in general. To answer such questions, knowledge of past earthquakes and of their causative faults is necessary. Here, we integrate data from historical seismology, paleoseismology, archeoseismology, and remote sensing to identify the likely source faults of fourteen Mw ≥ 7 earthquakes between AD 1000 and the present in the region. We conclude that, based on the historical seismic records of the region, the 2023 Mw 7.8 Pazarcık earthquake was foreseeable in space and time, but not in size. Mmax for the EAF is likely ~ 8.2, with the limit rupture length being the distance between the Karliova and Amik triple junctions. The 2023 earthquake may not have reached Mmax simply by a fortuitous combination of factors: if the 2020 Elȃziǧ earthquake had not happened where and when it did, would the 2023 rupture have continued propagating towards the northeast? This is a question that could be answered by combining Coulomb stress models and dynamic rupture models. If nothing else, what we have learned from the 2023 Mw 7.8 Pazarcık earthquake is that segmentation of continental transform faults is not relevant for calculating Mmax, because some earthquakes can jump across segment boundaries. Such earthquakes are so infrequent, however, that they are difficult to study, and therefore hard to foresee.

How to cite: Carena, S., Friedrich, A. M., Verdecchia, A., Kahle, B., Rieger, S. M., and Kübler, S.: Identification of Source Faults of Large Earthquakes in the Turkey-Syria Border Region Between AD 1000 and the Present, and their Relevance for the 2023 Mw 7.8 Pazarcık Earthquake, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1284, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1284, 2024.

X2.43
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EGU24-12525
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ECS
Volkan Özbey, Pierre Henry, Mehmet Sinan Özeren, Elliot C. Klein, Alan John Haines, Lifeng Wang, Anke Maria Friedrich, and Ali Mehmet Celal Şengör

Understanding the evolution of the crustal kinematic/dynamic response of the Kahramanmaraş triple junction after the occurrence of the destructive earthquake doublet on 6 February 2023 is of great interest to seismologists and geodesists. Along with the near-field postseismic effects such as the afterslip, it is also essential to study relatively far-field effects where the interaction of the brittle upper crust with the lower crust and upper mantle can be relevant in how the stress is redistirbuted during the months/years following the earthquake. The latter seems to be a particularly interesting problem for this case because the earthquake perturbation to the interseismic velocity field is very significant and extends approximately 400 km to the west of the rupture zone.  The affected region seemingly comprises a large part of the Central Anatolian Block where the interseismic internal deformation was less than 10 nanostrain/yr prior to the large event. Most tomographic studies show that the lithospheric mantle beneath Central Anatolia is either very thin or absent. This indicates a necessity to test various upper mantle and lower crust viscosity scenarios for the far-field effects.

We conducted a GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) campaign in July 2023, reoccupying 18 sites around the triple junction area to monitor the intermediate and far-field post-seismic effects caused by the ruptures and the subsequent loading behavior of the faults therein. Our primary aim was to characterize: (1) the postseismic effect on the relatively far-field, which likely includes viscoelastic responses in central Anatolia where the lower crust and mantle are presumably weak; (2) variations of the strain field stemming from aftershocks of the large earthquakes; and (3) the response of secondary faults such as the Ecemiş, Deliler, and Sariz faults in Adana and Kayseri provinces. 1-year GNSS time series of continuous stations broadly reveal the postseismic field behavior. The occurence of a postseismic signal is clear northwest of the rupture zone however, the signal is weak for the stations southwest of the earthquake area. The preliminary analysis of the survey mode sites is in agreement with continuous stations. Here we present the resulting post-seismic velocity, the strain rate field and its contrast from the pre-event strain rate field and a preliminary viscoelastic model to shed light onto the underlying physical processes.

How to cite: Özbey, V., Henry, P., Özeren, M. S., Klein, E. C., Haines, A. J., Wang, L., Friedrich, A. M., and Şengör, A. M. C.: Post-seismic analysis of the Kahramanmaraş triple junction using GNSS data acquired following the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12525, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12525, 2024.

X2.44
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EGU24-19720
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ECS
Seda Özarpacı, Celeste Hofstetter, Gareth Funning, Ugur Dogan, Semih Ergintav, Ziyadin Çakır, Cengiz Zabcı, Alpay Özdemir, Efe Turan Ayruk, and İlay Farımaz

On January 24, 2020 the Mw 6.8 Sivrice (Elazığ) earthquake was arrested by the ~80 km long Pütürge segment. On February 6, 2023, the first earthquake of the Kahramanmaras Earthquake Sequence, also ended at the southwest end of this segment. Is it creep also that arrest 2023 Pazarcik rupture? We analyzed InSAR data over the Pütürge segment to answer this question. We used over 5000 ARIA standard product interferograms from two ascending and two descending tracks of the Sentinel-1 satellites and the MintPy software to produce InSAR time series and velocity maps for the area. Also we processed both survey and continuous GNSS data with GAMIT/GLOBK GNSS software (v10.7) from 2014. We analysed the results in three time periods – before, between, and after the two earthquakes. InSAR shows that before both earthquakes the segment was creeping and GNSS data is confirming that outcome. We also are searching for any unbroken part of this segment and if this could be another danger in the future.

This work is supported by TUBITAK project numbers 114Y250, 118Y435 and 121Y400.

How to cite: Özarpacı, S., Hofstetter, C., Funning, G., Dogan, U., Ergintav, S., Çakır, Z., Zabcı, C., Özdemir, A., Ayruk, E. T., and Farımaz, İ.: Creeping Pütürge Segment with Geodetic Evidence, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19720, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19720, 2024.

X2.45
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EGU24-18829
Burak Akpinar, Seda Özarpacı, Cüneyt Aydın, Nedim Onur Aykut, Alpay Özdemir, Güldane Oku Topal, Özge Güneş, Fahri Karabulut, and Uğur Doğan

Geodetic GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems) measurement systems play a crucial role in studies aimed at monitoring crustal movements. From the past to the present, GNSS measurement systems have served as active measurement tools within the scope of these studies. In these studies, geodetic GNSS measurement systems can be used as continuous reference stations and are primarily employed in campaign-type measurements. However, the setup and operation of continuous reference stations require a significantly high financial budget. On the other hand, campaign-type measurements necessitate simultaneous data collection using multiple GNSS measurement systems, depending on criteria such as the size of the field and the number of points. This, in turn, increases the overall measurement costs. Today, due to the high expenses associated with geodetic GNSS measurement systems, research is being conducted on the use of low-cost GNSS systems in structural health monitoring, displacement determination, and other applications. Since the studies conducted so far have generally been limited to short-term observations at short baselines, there remain questions about the performance of low-cost GNSS measurement systems in monitoring crustal movements. In this study, the objective is to determine the performance of GNSS measurement systems, whose unit costs are considerably lower compared to geodetic GNSS systems, in monitoring crustal movements. For this purpose, two low-cost GNSS measurement systems will be deployed on the northeastern edge of the surface rupture caused by the earthquakes of Mw7.8 and Mw7.6 that occurred in Kahramanmaraş on 06.02.2023. This will enable the continuous monitoring of the post-earthquake effects in the Çelikhan segment on the East Anatolian Fault (DAF). Furthermore, the performance of low-cost GNSS measurement systems will be assessed. In addition to the measurements taken at permanent stations, campaign-type GNSS measurements will be conducted at four different points using both geodetic and two low-cost GNSS measurement systems throughout the project. By processing the data obtained from geodetic GNSS measurement systems and the data acquired from low-cost GNSS measurement systems in the same region, the results will be analyzed. This analysis aims to determine the performance of low-cost systems in monitoring tectonic structures through continuous measurements and campaign-type measurements. This is work is supported by TUBITAK project number 123Y147.

How to cite: Akpinar, B., Özarpacı, S., Aydın, C., Aykut, N. O., Özdemir, A., Oku Topal, G., Güneş, Ö., Karabulut, F., and Doğan, U.: Monitoring Tectonic Movements with Low Cost GNSS Measurement Systems, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18829, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18829, 2024.

X2.46
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EGU24-22128
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ECS
Ali Özkan, İbrahim Tiryakioğlu, Halil İbrahim Solak, Göksu Uslular, Baptiste Rousset, Frédéric Masson, and H. Hakan Yavaşoğlu

The East Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ) is a major tectonic feature in Anatolia, moving westward relative to the Eurasian plate, primarily due to the compressional behavior of the African, Sinai, and Arabian plates. The EAFZ has been historically significant as the epicenter of several major seismic events, including the recent devastating earthquakes in Kahramanmaraş on February 06, 2023. In this study, we provide a comprehensive tectonic analysis of the EAFZ, focusing specifically on the Hatay Triple Junction (HTJ), where the EAFZ meets with the continuation of the Dead Sea Fault Zone and the Cyprus Arc. Through the synthesis of pre-seismic evaluations and co-seismic data derived from our comprehensive geodetic network, we aim to extend the understanding of the seismic cycle and fault behavior in this tectonically complex region.

In the pre-seismic phase, we employed a dense GNSS network, including the Turkish National Fundamental GPS Network (TUTGA) and various campaign sites, to analyze the strain accumulation and fault kinematics at the HTJ. Analyses revealed that the EAFZ and Karataş-Osmaniye fault exhibit complete locking at depths of 15 km and 7 km, respectively, while the Karasu Fault (KF) demonstrates locking up to a depth of 7 km. Our kinematic models indicated significant slip rates, suggesting a high potential for large earthquakes. Remarkably, during the revision of our manuscript in “Tectonophysics”, two major earthquakes (Mw 7.7 and Mw 7.6) occurred near the KF and EAFZ in Pazarcık and Elbistan, Kahramanmaraş, respectively. These earthquakes, happening in close succession, dramatically corroborated our predictions for seismic activity near the HTJ. 

In the co-seismic phase, following the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes, we utilized a high-resolution GNSS network with 73 permanent and 40 campaign stations to assess surface displacements and fault slip distributions. Significant displacements were recorded, with the largest being 466 cm, and substantial fault ruptures were observed along the EAFZ and Çardak fault segment, including the left-lateral slips of 494 cm and 391 cm in the first and second earthquakes, respectively.  

Our ongoing projects will integrate pre-earthquakes geodetic data with new GNSS measurements to analyze the postseismic deformation following the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes, including afterslip and its relation with aftershocks, as well as stress perturbations on the neighboring faults. This integrated approach is expected to further refine our ability to understand the behavior of the fault in the post-seismic phase and delineate the complete seismic cycle along the EAFZ.    

How to cite: Özkan, A., Tiryakioğlu, İ., Solak, H. İ., Uslular, G., Rousset, B., Masson, F., and Yavaşoğlu, H. H.: The seismic cycle of the Hatay Triple Junction from GNSS analysis: interseismic, coseismic and postseismic deformations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-22128, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-22128, 2024.

X2.47
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EGU24-18563
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ECS
Deniz Ertuncay, Ezgi Karasözen, Pınar Büyükakpınar, Elif Oral, and Emre Havazlı

The recent M 7.5 earthquake that struck Japan on January 1st, 2024, marked a significant event due to its substantial magnitude and surprisingly minimal damage. This occurrence serves as a stark contrast to Türkiye's experience, notably the devastating Kahramanmaraş earthquake of February 2023. Japan's impressive success in earthquake resilience, achieved through strict building code enforcement and effective public awareness campaigns, stands in sharp contrast to Türkiye's ongoing struggle with seismic vulnerability. This discrepancy underscores the urgent need to bridge the gap between scientific knowledge and societal preparedness in Türkiye.

To address this pressing issue, we propose a set of actionable guidelines. Firstly, there is a need to integrate geoscience into Türkiye's educational system, thereby enhancing public understanding of earthquake risks. Simultaneously, opportunities for geoscientists should be expanded to facilitate expertise growth. Establishing local earthquake centers is paramount to improving seismic monitoring, research, and outreach efforts, bolstering the nation's preparedness for seismic events. Furthermore, geoscientists should prioritize science communication training to effectively engage the public and combat misinformation, thereby fostering a more informed and proactive society. In addition to these measures, implementing earthquake scenario modeling and regular preparedness exercises are instrumental in enhancing nationwide earthquake readiness and preparing Türkiye for future seismic events. Lastly, we emphasize the importance of fostering an earthquake culture through memory and awareness initiatives. This approach will instill a collective consciousness about seismic risks and responses, creating a more resilient society.

It is essential to recognize that the successful implementation of these guidelines will require active participation from scientists, institutions, and the public. By following these recommendations, Türkiye can build resilience and mitigate the impact of future earthquakes, ultimately ensuring a safer future for its citizens.

How to cite: Ertuncay, D., Karasözen, E., Büyükakpınar, P., Oral, E., and Havazlı, E.: Fostering an Earthquake Culture: Towards Enhancing Seismic Resilience in Türkiye, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18563, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18563, 2024.

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EGU24-19513
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ECS
Muhammed Turgut, Seda Özarpacı, Alpay Özdemir, Efe T. Ayruk, İlay Farımaz, Uğur Doğan, and Aynur Dikbaş

The Aegean region is under the influence of tectonic extension due to subduction zone along the Hellenic Arc. This extension leads to many earthquakes of magnitude 6 and above in the region. The earthquake that occurred on July 21, 2017, in Bodrum Mw 6.7 increased curiosity about the region due to the seismic activities in the Gulf of Gökova and the absence of an active fault in the area according to the active fault map published by the General Directorate of Mineral Research and Exploration (MTA). In the nearby region of the 2017 earthquake, there are the Gökova Fault Zone and the Fethiye-Burdur Fault Zone. Morphological linearity and the seismicity are observed between these two fault zones, and some recent studies indicate the existence of active faults. The aim of this study is to determine whether there are active faults in the Akyaka-Ula region with geodetic measurements. For this purpose we started to observe the area with GNSS campaigns and continuous data since 2021.

For this purpose, the data of Turkish National Permanent GNSS Network (CORS-TR) continuous stations, Turkish National Fundamental GNSS sites campaign measurements and survey data of a GNSS network established by our research group were processed together. The GNSS network stations were strategically placed in both near field and far field to the potential fault. GNSS data processed by using Bernese 5.2 software. According to the calculations based on the data from TNPGN-Active and TNFGN stations, the region exhibits an southwestward movement at a rate of approximately 3cm/year.

This work is supported by TUBITAK Project Number 121Y300

How to cite: Turgut, M., Özarpacı, S., Özdemir, A., Ayruk, E. T., Farımaz, İ., Doğan, U., and Dikbaş, A.: Akyaka-Ula Region Tectonics based on Geodetic Observations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19513, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19513, 2024.

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EGU24-13021
Ali Özgün Konca, Birsen Can, Arkadaş Özakın, and Mustafa Aktar

In this study we explore the seismicity along the Eastern Marmara Sea using machine learning techniques to improve the detection threshold and improve the earthquake locations. The Sea of Marmara comprises network of faults including the northern strand of the North Anatolian Fault, the Main Marmara Fault (MMF). MMF features a ~150 km seismic gap that did not rupture in the last 250 years. In addition to the MMF, other normal and strike-slip faults generate seismicity in the vicinity especially to the south of the Princes’ Islands.  It is therefore crucial to understand whether this seismicity is related to the MMF or other faults.

Here by employing a convolutional neural network detection and phase picking algorithm (Mousavi et al., 2020) and using a phase associator based on a grid search of locations (Zhang et al., 2019) we show that we can increase the detected number of earthquakes significantly and obtain a catalog with very low travel time residuals. Our primary objective is to acquire an improved earthquake catalog to facilitate subsequent clustering and focal mechanism analysis, thereby illuminating the underlying fault system responsible for these seismic events.

(This study is funded by TÜBİTAK Project No 121Y407).

How to cite: Konca, A. Ö., Can, B., Özakın, A., and Aktar, M.: Investigating the Seismicity of Eastern Marmara Using Machine Learning Algorithms, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13021, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13021, 2024.

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EGU24-17400
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ECS
Shijie Shang, Bertram Uunk, Klaudia Kuiper, Fraukje Brouwer, and Jan Wijbrans

The Cycladic Archipelago in Greece preserves widespread evidence for high-pressure (HP) metamorphism and subduction and extension tectonics, during the evolution of a NE dipping subduction zone. How and at what rates various HP rocks were subducted and exhumed and how the associated complex deformation patterns originated remains controversial. We collected 26 samples from the Cycladic Blueschist Unit (CBU), the overlying Makrotantalon Unit (MU) and their contact zone on Andros for white mica single grain 40Ar/39Ar dating and combined the results with field and petrological observations to constrain the tectonic evolution of the NW Cyclades. To investigate the thermal state during tectonic evolution and the duration of deformation, we conducted 40Ar/39Ar multiple single crystal dating on different grain size fractions of white mica from the same sample.

Our results show three distinct episodes of deformation:

  • D0 is only locally preserved within the MU and the underlying contact zone and derives from the Early Cretaceous (128-119 Ma) Vardar ophiolite obduction above the Pelagonian margin, driving metamorphism and deformation of the passive margin. The white mica grains from the MU present Early Cretaceous ages of ~128 Ma (500-1000 mm) and ~117 Ma (120-250 mm). We suggest that the 11 Ma difference indicates a slower cooling rate.
  • D1 recorded in the contact zone and in the CBU, indicating that the CBU was exhumed along this contact zone from subduction depths during the Eocene (52-48 Ma). The white mica grains from the CBU present Eocene ages of ~52 Ma (500-1000 mm) and ~48 Ma (120-250 mm), with a gap of 4 Ma suggesting a faster cooling rate.
  • D2 is characterized by ductile-to-brittle deformation preserved in the contact zone and within the CBU, indicating they accommodated extension from around 28 Ma, with the initiation of slab rollback in the eastern Mediterranean. The contact zone between the MU and CBU exhumed greenschist-facies rocks of the CBU as a detachment until 21 Ma, when the rocks crossed the brittle-ductile transition and initiated brittle deformation, characterized by top-to-NE normal faulting.

We further redefine the structure of North Andros. In our study, we merge the MU and the ophiolites of the upper unit exposed in North Andros, previously thought to be separate units, in one unit equivalent of the Pelagonian unit. The contact between the MU and CBU, previously thought to be a thrust, is remapped as a brittle-ductile detachment fault between this one Pelagonian unit and the lower CBU and represents the NW extension of the Tinos, Mykonos detachments. This contact has accommodated syn-orogenic exhumation the CBU below the Pelagonian unit during Eocene HP metamorphism, and accommodated regional extension as part of the North Cycladic Detachment System during the Miocene.

How to cite: Shang, S., Uunk, B., Kuiper, K., Brouwer, F., and Wijbrans, J.: The Early Cretaceous to Miocene tectonic evolution of NW Cyclades based on 40Ar/39Ar multiple single crystal dating from Andros, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17400, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17400, 2024.

Posters virtual: Tue, 16 Apr, 14:00–15:45 | vHall X2

Display time: Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–Tue, 16 Apr, 18:00
Chairpersons: Seda Özarpacı, Sinan Akciz
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EGU24-18791
Ahmet M. Akoğlu, Cengiz Zabcı, and Ziyadin Çakır

The 6 February 2023 sequence that was initiated by the failure of the <40 km-long Narlı fault turned out to be the biggest seismic event to occur in and around Türkiye during the modern times. While reaching a total rupture length of almost 450 km, the two separate sinistral events of Mw 7.7 and Mw 7.6 that took place 9 hours apart on the very same day also gave rise to an extremely heavy aftermath: loss of >50.000 lives and > USD 100 billion in economic damages.

We have analysed the first 12 months of postseismic movements following the February 2023 sequence using both Sentinel-1 and ALOS2 radar imagery. Movement along both the East Anatolian and Çardak fault zones are evident with the latter being more pronounced owing (probably) to the line-of-sight N-S insensitivity of the satellites. The time series analysis also shows movement along the westernmost part of the Sürgü fault and a ~20 km N-S oriented fault towards the western end of the Çardak rupture. The continuation of the dominantly E-W oriented Çardak rupture to northeast towards the city of Malatya is also evident in the postseismic data emphasizing once again the elevated seismic risk posed on the city.

Apart from the postseismic activity associated with the 2023 sequence another prominent feature observable in the radar data is the continuing aseismic movement along the Pütürge segment of the East Anatolian Fault Zone which was reported earlier by Çakır et al. (2023). Taking into account moderate earthquakes like the August 4th, 2020 Mw 5.6 earthquake that took place in between the 2020 Mw 6.8 Sivrice-Elazığ earthquake rupture zone and the Yarpuzlu restraining bend where the Mw 7.7 event of the 2023 sequence has terminated; we propose that at least 20 km of the segment could still be unbroken.

 

How to cite: Akoğlu, A. M., Zabcı, C., and Çakır, Z.: Analysis of the First Year of Postseismic Movements Following the 2023 Kahramanmaraş (Türkiye) Earthquake Sequence Using InSAR Measurements, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18791, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18791, 2024.

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EGU24-8446
Spyridon Mavroulis, Emmanuel Vassilakis, Ioannis Argyropoulos, Panayotis Carydis, and Efthymios Lekkas

On 6 February 2023, the Eastern Anatolia experienced significant devastation due to two major seismic events, leading to the collapse of hundreds of thousands of structures and causing tens of thousands of human casualties, injuries, and homeless people. The substantial magnitude of these impacts is attributed to the extensive occurrence of heavy and very heavy structural damage, categorized as damage grades 4 and 5 according to the European Macroseismic Scale EMS-98, within the earthquake-affected area.

The discernible factors contributing to the disaster encompassed the substantial magnitude of the earthquakes, the occurrence of the initial seismic event during nighttime, thereby locating a considerable portion of the population within their residences, and the demographic attributes of the region characterized by densely constructed and populated zones, coupled with the close proximity of numerous residential areas to the ruptured faults. Additionally, the confluence of significant factors, closely associated with the seismotectonic context of the region, the effects of earthquake environmental effects, and the characteristics of the impacted structures, culminated in one of the most extensive earthquake disasters in the recent history of Turkey.

This study aims to highlight the factors controlling associated with building properties and the manifestation of earthquake environmental effects that govern the severity and spatial dispersion of structural damage within the earthquake-affected regions under study in the southeastern Turkey. The findings presented herein derive from field surveys undertaken by the authors in the immediate aftermath of the seismic events (7th to 11th February) and subsequently, almost two months later (31st March to 6th April). The field surveys included conventional techniques of geological mapping alongside innovative methodologies, including the deployment of Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS).

With regard to building construction characteristics, insufficient adherence to building codes, arbitrary urban planning solutions, and substandard construction practices constitute primary deficiencies contributed to the disaster. Concerning geological factors, the generation of both primary and secondary earthquake environmental effects significantly influenced the intensity and distribution of damage. Locations where coseismic surface ruptures intersected with built-up areas exhibited heavy to very heavy structural damage, as evidenced along the ruptured segments of the East Anatolian Fault Zone. Liquefaction proximal to water bodies resulted in damage indicative of building foundation load-bearing capacity. Earthquake-triggered landslides predominantly impacted mountainous and semi-mountainous villages and areas characterized by pre-existing susceptibility. The substantial susceptibility to EEEs generation was extensively corroborated in numerous cases, leading to widespread damage. The presented information highlights the pivotal role of such studies in informing hazard mitigation and facilitating disaster risk reduction measures.

How to cite: Mavroulis, S., Vassilakis, E., Argyropoulos, I., Carydis, P., and Lekkas, E.: Geological Effects and Constructional Properties Controlling Structural Damage triggered by the 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquakes in Southeastern Turkey, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-8446, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8446, 2024.

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EGU24-15112
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ECS
Muhammed İbrahim Hoşses, Seda Özarpacı, Alpay Özdemir, Efe Turan Ayruk, Muhammed Turğut, İlay Farımaz, Uğur Doğan, and Semih Ergintav

The East Anatolian Fault (EAF) is an approximately 420 km long sinistral strike-slip fault extending between Karlıova (Bingöl) in the northeast and Türkoğlu (Kahramanmaraş) in the southwest. The earthquake in Sivrice (Elazığ) on January 24, 2020, with a magnitude of Mw 6.8, along with the earthquakes in Pazarcık (Kahramanmaraş) on February 6, 2023, with a magnitude of Mw 7.8, and Elbistan (Kahramanmaraş) with a magnitude of Mw 7.6, has increased the seismic potential of the left-lateral strike-slip East Anatolian Fault.

This study involved a total of 12 campaign measurements conducted at a GNSS network consisting of six sites in Palu (Elâzığ) segment of EAF  between the years 2015 and 2023. The distance of the survey GNSS sites and continuous GNSS stations from the fault varies between approximately tens of meters to hundred of kilometers. Before and after the earthquakes on February 6, 2023, near field GNSS data were utilized in the analysis of crustal movements related with  the earthquakes in 2020-2023. The estimated deformation in the GNSS network campaign results between September 2021 and September 2023, varies from approximately 10 ± 2.6 mm to 40 ± 2.9 mm in Palu segment. These estimations include not only the postseismic effects of the 2020 Sivrice (Elaz) earthquake, but also the coseismic and early postseismic effects of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence, along with ongoing shallow creep observations.

How to cite: Hoşses, M. İ., Özarpacı, S., Özdemir, A., Ayruk, E. T., Turğut, M., Farımaz, İ., Doğan, U., and Ergintav, S.: Effects of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Sequence on the Palu Segment of the East Anatolian Fault, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-15112, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-15112, 2024.