Addressing and understanding climate forcing and uncertainties in CMIP: Key insights and future directions
AGU and WMO
Convener:
Lina Teckentrup
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Co-conveners:
Thomas Aubry,
Michaela I. Hegglin,
Yiwen Li,
Camilla Mathison,
Julia Mindlin,
Alexander J. Winkler
Orals
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Wed, 17 Apr, 14:00–18:00 (CEST) Room N2
Posters on site
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Attendance Wed, 17 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Wed, 17 Apr, 08:30–12:30 Hall X5
We welcome diverse climate-forcing research, including historical and future, anthropogenic and natural forcing development, idealized Earth System Model studies, observational evaluations, and works spanning all climate system components. Topics may include identifying disparities in CMIP ESMs, quantifying uncertainties, and addressing key scientific priorities for future model development. Contributions on opportunities, challenges, and constraints in using CMIP output for impact research, especially at regional scales, are encouraged.
This session ultimately aims at fostering collaboration among climate scientists, observationalists and modelers to address climate change challenges. Convened by WCRP CMIP Forcing Task Team and Fresh Eyes on CMIP, it aims to enhance understanding of CMIP uncertainties and prepare for CMIP6Plus and CMIP7 climate-forcing datasets.
Climate forcing: quantifying the roles and responses of anthropogenic and natural climate drivers
14:00–14:05
Session introduction
14:05–14:25
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EGU24-9994
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solicited
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
14:25–14:35
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EGU24-7042
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
14:35–14:45
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EGU24-6774
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On-site presentation
14:45–14:55
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EGU24-5200
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On-site presentation
14:55–15:05
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EGU24-1657
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On-site presentation
15:05–15:15
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EGU24-20254
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On-site presentation
15:15–15:25
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EGU24-19839
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ECS
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On-site presentation
15:25–15:35
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EGU24-2964
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Lina Teckentrup, Yiwen Li, Alexander J. Winkler
Addressing and Understanding Uncertainties in CMIP: Key Insights and Future Directions
16:15–16:20
Session introduction
16:20–16:30
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EGU24-2903
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On-site presentation
16:30–16:40
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EGU24-10136
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ECS
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On-site presentation
16:40–16:50
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EGU24-5527
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On-site presentation
16:50–17:00
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EGU24-10567
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On-site presentation
17:00–17:10
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EGU24-14596
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ECS
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On-site presentation
17:10–17:20
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EGU24-5895
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ECS
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On-site presentation
17:20–17:30
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EGU24-10382
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
17:30–17:40
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EGU24-6750
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ECS
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On-site presentation
17:40–17:50
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EGU24-111
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ECS
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On-site presentation
17:50–18:00
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EGU24-7159
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On-site presentation
X5.104
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EGU24-597
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ECS
Evaluation and Projection of Diurnal Temperature Range in Maize Cultivation Areas in China Based on CMIP6 Models
(withdrawn after no-show)
X5.112
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EGU24-8690
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ECS
X5.118
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EGU24-17153
X5.119
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EGU24-20011
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ECS
Attribution analysis of streamflow changes based on large-scale hydrological modeling with uncertainties
(withdrawn after no-show)
X5.120
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EGU24-15167
Observational constraints for long-term climate forcing datasets: What do we know, and what do we need to know
(withdrawn)