NP1.3 | Extremes in geophysical sciences: drivers, predictability and impacts
EDI
Extremes in geophysical sciences: drivers, predictability and impacts
Convener: Davide Faranda | Co-conveners: Gabriele Messori, Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Anupama K XavierECSECS, Meriem KroumaECSECS
Orals
| Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room K2
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 18 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X3
Orals |
Thu, 14:00
Posters on site
Thu, 10:45
Abstracts are solicited related to the understanding, prediction and impacts of weather, climate and geophysical extremes, from both an applied and theoretical viewpoint.

In this session we propose to group together the traditional geophysical sciences and more mathematical/statistical and impacts-oriented approaches to the study of extremes. We aim to highlight the complementary nature of these viewpoints, with the aim of gaining a deeper understanding of extreme events. This session is a contribution to the EDIPI ITN, XAIDA and CLINT H2020 projects and to the Swedish Centre for Impacts of Climate Extremes. We welcome submissions from both project participants and the broader scientific community.

Potential topics of interest include but are not limited to the following:

· Dynamical systems theory and other theoretical perspectives on extreme events;
· Data-driven approaches to study extreme events and their impacts, incl. machine learning;
· Representation of extreme events in climate models;
· Downscaling of weather and climate extremes;
· How extremes have varied or are likely to vary under climate change;
· Attribution of extreme events;
· Early warning systems and forecasts of extreme events;
· Methodological and interdisciplinary advances for diagnosing impacts of extreme events.

Orals: Thu, 18 Apr | Room K2

Chairpersons: Davide Faranda, Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Gabriele Messori
14:00–14:05
5-minute convener introduction
Extreme Event Drivers and Statistics
EGU24-16848
|
solicited
|
On-site presentation
Summer Deep Depressions Increase Over the North Atlantic
Fabio D'Andrea
EGU24-622
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Assessing changes in the intensity and dynamics of extreme cold spells in France from CMIP6
Camille Cadiou and Pascal Yiou
EGU24-2460
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
The outstanding European and Mediterranean heatwave activity during summer 2022
Ricardo Trigo et al.
EGU24-3164
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
Global emergence of regional heatwave hotspots outpaces climate model projections
Kai Kornhuber et al.
EGU24-10153
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
A Spatio-Temporal Optimization- Based Feature Selection Framework for detecting drivers of heatwaves
César Peláez-Rodríguez et al.
EGU24-10586
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Study of extreme heatwave seasons in South Asia using rare event simulations
Clément Le Priol et al.
EGU24-11807
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Drivers of heatwaves in CMIP6 models: an evaluation on historical simulations
Antonello A. Squintu et al.
EGU24-3633
|
On-site presentation
The Impact of Gulf Stream Moisture Flux Suppression on Atmospheric Blocks
Jamie Mathews et al.
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Meriem Krouma, Anupama K Xavier, Gabriele Messori
EGU24-13496
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Persistent winter merged jets over the Atlantic and extreme weather anomalies
Sohan Suresan et al.
Extreme Event Impacts
EGU24-12471
|
solicited
|
On-site presentation
European Windstorms: bridging the gap between fundamental research and practical applications
Joaquim G. Pinto
Extreme Event Projections and Predictions
EGU24-5328
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Persistence and the practical predictability of surface temperatures
Emma Holmberg et al.
EGU24-18866
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
A Gaussian framework for optimal prediction of extreme heat waves
Valeria Mascolo et al.
EGU24-11997
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Extreme events in a templex
Gisela Daniela Charó et al.
EGU24-13645
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Underestimating extremes due to random uncertainty
Nithin Sivadas and David Sibeck
17:45–18:00
Discussion

Posters on site: Thu, 18 Apr, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X3

Display time: Thu, 18 Apr 08:30–Thu, 18 Apr 12:30
EGU24-5138
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Assessment of the predictability of cold-wet-windy Pan Atlantic compound extremes
Meriem Krouma and Gabriele Messori
EGU24-6492
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Statistics of pan-oceanic extreme near-surface winds
Aleksa Stanković and Rodrigo Caballero
EGU24-7539
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Future Changes in European windstorm loss and seasonal loss clustering in the EURO-CORDEX dataset
Inovasita Alifdini et al.
EGU24-9093
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Assessing the climate drivers leading to winter wheat yield shock in Europe
Federico Stainoh et al.
EGU24-11046
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Maximal reachable temperatures for Western Europe in current climate
Robin Noyelle et al.
EGU24-16462
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Day- and nighttime heatwave clusters over Europe and their physical drivers
Felicitas Hansen et al.
EGU24-18308
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Dynamics of pan-Atlantic winter compound extremes in ERA5 and CMIP6 models
Richard Leeding et al.
EGU24-18316
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Investigating the Influence of Atmospheric Blocking Morphology on Predictability
Anupama K Xavier et al.
EGU24-20136
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
How atmospheric blockings is represented in a Dry GCM model
(withdrawn)
Vinita Deshmukh et al.
EGU24-18695
|
On-site presentation
Predictability of the low pressure systems leading concurrent events in the Iberian Peninsula.
Carmen Alvarez-Castro et al.