Joint volcanic source term estimation and SO2 dispersion forecasting by combining model emulators, observations, and empirical relationships within a hierarchical Bayesian model.

Talfan Barnie; Hadi Rezaee; Sara Barsotti; Leonardo Mingari; Manuel Titos; Melissa Anne Pfeffer

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13969

[Back] [Session NH2.3]

EGU25-13969, updated on 15 Mar 2025

https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13969

EGU General Assembly 2025

© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Joint volcanic source term estimation and SO2 dispersion forecasting by combining model emulators, observations, and empirical relationships within a hierarchical Bayesian model.

Talfan Barnie¹, Hadi Rezaee¹, Sara Barsotti¹, Leonardo Mingari², Manuel Titos

³, and Melissa Anne Pfeffer¹

Talfan Barnie et al.

¹Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavík, Iceland (talfan@vedur.is)
²Geosciences Barcelona (GEO3BCN-CSIC)
³University of Granada, Department of Signal Processing, Telematic and Communication

How to cite: Barnie, T., Rezaee, H., Barsotti, S., Mingari, L., Titos, M., and Pfeffer, M. A.: Joint volcanic source term estimation and SO2 dispersion forecasting by combining model emulators, observations, and empirical relationships within a hierarchical Bayesian model., EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13969, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13969, 2025.

This abstract has been withdrawn on 18 Apr 2025.