Sub-Ice Shelf Topography in Antarctica: Aerogeophysical Modelling and Implications for Ice Shelf Stability – A Case Study at the Evans Ice Stream

The ice sheets of the Antarctic continent are supported and stabilised by floating ice shelves. Any future decrease in ice shelf mass and stability is expected to increase ice sheet drainage thus potentially contributing to a rise in the global sea level. Basal melting is a critical factor concerning ice shelf stability. Its rates are strongly dependent on the bathymetry underneath the ice shelves, as this directly influences sub-ice water circulation and its interactions with the open ocean. Therefore, accurate knowledge of sub-ice bathymetry is crucial to estimate the exchange of water masses and heat with the open ocean. We have created a model of the seafloor topography beneath the Evans Ice Stream - draining into the Ronne Ice Shelf, one of the world’s largest ice shelves - by the inversion of legacy airborne gravity data constrained by seismic and ice-penetrating radar depth references. The new bathymetric model is a distinct improvement over existing topographic compilations based on interpolated depths, providing a range of new information on topographic characteristics beneath the ice shelf with increased resolution and detail. The model shows a deep, asymmetric and U-shaped trough beneath the Evans Ice Stream that follows the ice stream’s flow direction. The bathymetry shows that the retrograde slope of the seafloor on the continental shelf and beneath the outer Ronne Ice Shelf continues as far as the ice stream’s grounding line. Should warm water masses from the open ocean cross the continental shelf edge, this slope would permit intrusion of these water masses all the way up to the grounding line. The new bathymetric model thus enables a step towards being able to more confidentially estimate basal melt rates beneath the Evans Ice Stream and their effect on ice shelf and ice sheet stability. The depth and shape of the seabed beneath numerous other ice shelves and areas of permanent sea ice coverage around the Antarctic margins remains poorly constrained or completely unknown. As well as the Evans cavity model, new data and plans for upcoming bathymetric modelling of some of these other areas are highlighted.